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Earnings Release: Here's Why Analysts Cut Their Dime Community Bancshares, Inc. (NASDAQ:DCOM) Price Target To US$36.40
Earnings Release: Here's Why Analysts Cut Their Dime Community Bancshares, Inc. (NASDAQ:DCOM) Price Target To US$36.40
Dime Community Bancshares, Inc. (NASDAQ:DCOM) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 9.3% to US$29.76 in the week after its latest annual results. Revenues came in 2.2% below expectations, at US$413m. Statutory earnings per share were relatively better off, with a per-share profit of US$3.73 being roughly in line with analyst estimates. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.
View our latest analysis for Dime Community Bancshares
Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Dime Community Bancshares' five analysts is for revenues of US$436.0m in 2023, which would reflect a reasonable 5.7% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to decrease 2.7% to US$3.67 in the same period. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$451.8m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$4.03 in 2023. It's pretty clear that pessimism has reared its head after the latest results, leading to a weaker revenue outlook and a minor downgrade to earnings per share estimates.
The consensus price target fell 6.7% to US$36.40, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading valuation estimates. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Dime Community Bancshares at US$42.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$34.00. The narrow spread of estimates could suggest that the business' future is relatively easy to value, or thatthe analysts have a strong view on its prospects.
Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Dime Community Bancshares' revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2023 expected to display 5.7% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 26% over the past five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 6.5% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it looks like Dime Community Bancshares is forecast to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Dime Community Bancshares. Sadly, they also downgraded their sales forecasts, but the business is still expected to grow at roughly the same rate as the industry itself. The consensus price target fell measurably, with the analysts seemingly not reassured by the latest results, leading to a lower estimate of Dime Community Bancshares' future valuation.
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for Dime Community Bancshares going out to 2024, and you can see them free on our platform here.
However, before you get too enthused, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Dime Community Bancshares that you should be aware of.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
DIME社区银行股份有限公司。纳斯达克(Youku)股东可能感到有点失望,因为在公布最新年度业绩后的一周里,该公司股价下跌9.3%,至29.76美元。营收为4.13亿美元,低于预期的2.2%。法定每股收益相对较好,每股收益为3.73美元,与分析师的预期大致一致。盈利对投资者来说是一个重要的时刻,因为他们可以跟踪一家公司的表现,看看分析师对明年的预测,以及对该公司的情绪是否发生了变化。考虑到这一点,我们收集了最新的法定预测,看看分析师对明年的预期是什么。
查看我们对DIME Community BancShares的最新分析
考虑到最新的业绩,DIME Community BancShares的五位分析师目前的共识是,2023年的收入将达到4.36亿美元,这将反映出其在过去12个月的销售额合理增长5.7%。预计同期法定每股收益将下降2.7%,至3.67美元。在本报告发布前,分析师们一直在预测2023年的收入为4.518亿美元,每股收益(EPS)为4.03美元。很明显,在最新财报公布后,悲观情绪已经抬头,导致营收前景黯淡,每股收益预期略有下调。
共识目标价下跌6.7%,至36.40美元,较弱的盈利前景显然领先于估值预期。不过,还有另一种方式来考虑价格目标,那就是看看分析师提出的价格目标的范围,因为广泛的估计可能表明,对企业可能出现的结果有不同的看法。目前,最乐观的分析师对DIME Community BancShares的估值为每股42.00美元,而最悲观的分析师将其估值为34.00美元。估值之间的狭窄差距可能表明,该公司的未来相对容易估值,或者分析师对其前景有很强的看法。
从现在的大局来看,我们能够理解这些预测的方法之一,是看看它们如何与过去的业绩和行业增长预期相比较。很明显,人们预计DIME Community BancShares的收入增长将大幅放缓,截至2023年底的收入预计将按年率计算增长5.7%。相比之下,过去五年的历史增长率为26%。将这一点与分析师覆盖的行业内其他公司进行比较,预计这些公司的收入(总计)每年将增长6.5%。考虑到增长预期放缓,DIME Community BancShares预计将以与整个行业大致相同的速度增长。
底线
最大的担忧是,分析师们下调了每股收益预期,这表明未来可能会出现业务逆风。遗憾的是,他们也下调了销售预期,但预计该业务的增长速度仍将与行业本身大致相同。共识目标价大幅下降,分析师似乎对最新结果并不放心,导致对DIME Community BancShares未来估值的估计较低。
话虽如此,该公司盈利的长期轨迹比明年重要得多。我们对2024年之前的DIME社区银行股进行了预测,你可以在我们的平台上免费看到。
然而,在你太兴奋之前,我们已经发现1个一角社区银行股的警告标志这一点你应该知道。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗?保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
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