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At US$254, Is Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:MTN) Worth Looking At Closely?
At US$254, Is Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:MTN) Worth Looking At Closely?
Vail Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:MTN) saw a significant share price rise of over 20% in the past couple of months on the NYSE. As a large-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company's outlook is already priced into the stock. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Vail Resorts's outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.
Check out our latest analysis for Vail Resorts
Is Vail Resorts Still Cheap?
Vail Resorts appears to be expensive according to my price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average. I've used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there's not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock's ratio of 29.27x is currently well-above the industry average of 19.07x, meaning that it is trading at a more expensive price relative to its peers. But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Given that Vail Resorts's share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
Can we expect growth from Vail Resorts?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let's also take a look at the company's future expectations. Vail Resorts' earnings growth are expected to be in the teens in the upcoming years, indicating a solid future ahead. This should lead to robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in MTN's positive outlook, with shares trading above industry price multiples. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe MTN should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping an eye on MTN for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for MTN, which means it's worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
If you'd like to know more about Vail Resorts as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 3 warning signs with Vail Resorts, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you are no longer interested in Vail Resorts, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Vail Resorts,Inc.(纽约证券交易所股票代码:MTN)在过去几个月里在纽约证券交易所的股价大幅上涨超过20%。作为一只分析师覆盖率很高的大盘股,你可以假设该公司前景最近的任何变化都已经计入了股价。然而,如果这只股票仍然是便宜货呢?今天,我将分析关于Vail Resorts前景和估值的最新数据,看看机会是否仍然存在。
查看我们对Vail Resorts的最新分析
维尔度假村还便宜吗?
根据我的市盈率模型,Vail Resorts似乎很贵,该模型将该公司的市盈率与行业平均水平进行了比较。我之所以在这种情况下使用市盈率,是因为没有足够的可见性来预测其现金流。该股目前的市盈率为29.27倍,远高于19.07倍的行业平均水平,这意味着它的交易价格比同行更高。但是,未来有没有另一个低位买入的机会?鉴于Vail Resorts的份额相当不稳定(即其价格变动相对于市场其他部分被放大),这可能意味着价格可能会下跌,给我们未来另一个买入机会。这是基于其较高的贝塔系数,这是一个很好的股价波动指标。
我们能指望Vail Resorts实现增长吗?
寻求投资组合增长的投资者可能希望在购买一家公司的股票之前考虑其前景。以低廉的价格收购一家前景稳健的伟大公司永远是一笔不错的投资,所以让我们也来看看该公司的未来预期。预计Vail Resorts在未来几年的收益增长将在十几岁左右,这表明未来前景广阔。这应该会带来强劲的现金流,从而推动更高的股价。
这对你意味着什么
你是股东吗?市场似乎已经很好地、真实地反映了MTN的积极前景,其股价高于行业市盈率。在目前的价格下,股东们可能会问一个不同的问题--我应该卖出吗?如果你认为MTN的交易价格应该低于当前价格,那么当其价格跌至行业水平时,逢高抛售并再次买入,市盈率可能是有利可图的。但在你做出这个决定之前,先看看它的基本面是否发生了变化。
你是潜在的投资者吗?如果你已经关注MTN一段时间了,现在可能不是进入该股的最佳时机。这一价格已经超过了业内同行,这意味着错误定价很可能不会带来更多的好处。然而,积极的前景对MTN来说是令人鼓舞的,这意味着为了利用下一次价格下跌,值得更深入地研究其他因素。
如果您想更多地了解Vail Resorts作为一家企业,了解它所面临的任何风险是很重要的。在投资风险方面,我们已经确定了三个警告信号与Vail Resorts合作,了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。
如果您对Vail Resorts不再感兴趣,您可以使用我们的免费平台查看我们的50多只具有高增长潜力的其他股票。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗?保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
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