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Loss-making Elastic (NYSE:ESTC) Has Seen Earnings and Shareholder Returns Follow the Same Downward Trajectory Over Past -31%
Loss-making Elastic (NYSE:ESTC) Has Seen Earnings and Shareholder Returns Follow the Same Downward Trajectory Over Past -31%
Elastic N.V. (NYSE:ESTC) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 11% in the last month. But that doesn't change the reality of under-performance over the last twelve months. The cold reality is that the stock has dropped 31% in one year, under-performing the market.
On a more encouraging note the company has added US$458m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the one-year loss for shareholders.
See our latest analysis for Elastic
Because Elastic made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally expect to see good revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.
In the last twelve months, Elastic increased its revenue by 33%. We think that is pretty nice growth. Meanwhile, the share price is down 31% over twelve months, which is disappointing given the progress made. This implies the market was expecting better growth. But if revenue keeps growing, then at a certain point the share price would likely follow.
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
Elastic is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. Given we have quite a good number of analyst forecasts, it might be well worth checking out this free chart depicting consensus estimates.
A Different Perspective
The last twelve months weren't great for Elastic shares, which performed worse than the market, costing holders 31%. The market shed around 8.1%, no doubt weighing on the stock price. The three-year loss of 4% per year isn't as bad as the last twelve months, suggesting that the company has not been able to convince the market it has solved its problems. Although Baron Rothschild famously said to "buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own", he also focusses on high quality stocks with solid prospects. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Elastic you should be aware of.
We will like Elastic better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
弹性N.V.(纽约证券交易所股票代码:ESTC)股东应该很高兴看到股价在上个月上涨了11%。但这并没有改变过去12个月表现不佳的现实。冷酷的现实是,该股在一年内下跌了31%,表现逊于大盘。
更令人鼓舞的是,仅在过去的7天里,该公司的市值就增加了4.58亿美元,所以让我们看看我们是否能确定是什么导致了股东一年的亏损。
查看我们对Elastic的最新分析
由于Elastic在过去12个月中出现亏损,我们认为市场可能更关注收入和收入增长,至少目前是这样。当一家公司没有盈利时,我们通常预计会看到良好的收入增长。这是因为快速的收入增长可以很容易地推断出预期利润,通常是相当大的规模。
在过去的12个月里,Elastic的收入增长了33%。我们认为这是相当不错的增长。与此同时,该公司股价在过去12个月里下跌了31%,考虑到取得的进展,这是令人失望的。这意味着市场预期会有更好的增长。但如果收入持续增长,那么在某个时候,股价可能会随之而来。
你可以在下面看到收入和收入是如何随着时间的推移而变化的(点击图片可以发现确切的价值)。
Elastic为投资者所熟知,许多聪明的分析师曾试图预测未来的利润水平。鉴于我们有相当多的分析师预测,可能很值得查看以下内容免费描绘共识估计的图表。
不同的视角
过去12个月对Elastic股票来说不是很好,它的表现逊于大盘,持有者损失了31%。股市下跌了约8.1%,无疑拖累了股价。三年来每年4%的亏损没有过去12个月那么糟糕,这表明该公司未能让市场相信它已经解决了问题。尽管罗斯柴尔德男爵曾说过一句名言:“当街上有血的时候就买进,即使血是你自己的”,但他也专注于前景看好的高质量股票。虽然值得考虑市场状况对股价可能产生的不同影响,但还有其他更重要的因素。一个恰当的例子:我们发现了弹性的3个警告标志你应该意识到。
如果我们看到一些大的内部收购,我们会更喜欢Elastic。在我们等待的时候,看看这个免费最近有大量内幕收购的成长型公司名单。
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗?保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
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