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Chinney Alliance Group Limited (HKG:385) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 33%
Chinney Alliance Group Limited (HKG:385) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 33%
Chinney Alliance Group Limited (HKG:385) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 33% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 21% over that time.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Chinney Alliance Group may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.4x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios greater than 9x and even P/E's higher than 20x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
For instance, Chinney Alliance Group's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Chinney Alliance Group
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Chinney Alliance Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Chinney Alliance Group's Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Chinney Alliance Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 7.6% decrease to the company's bottom line. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 63% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 17% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's understandable that Chinney Alliance Group's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.
The Bottom Line On Chinney Alliance Group's P/E
Chinney Alliance Group's stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Chinney Alliance Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its sliding earnings over the medium-term, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Chinney Alliance Group (at least 1 which is a bit concerning), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you're unsure about the strength of Chinney Alliance Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
钦尼联盟集团有限公司(HKG:385)股价经历了令人印象深刻的一个月,在经历了一段不稳定的时期后,上涨了33%。不幸的是,上个月的收益几乎没有弥补去年的损失,在此期间,该股仍下跌了21%。
尽管股价强劲反弹,Chinney Alliance Group目前可能仍在发出看涨信号,其市盈率为5.4倍,因为几乎一半的香港公司的市盈率高于9倍,即使市盈率高于20倍也并不少见。尽管如此,仅仅以面值来看待市盈率是不明智的,因为可能会有一个解释为什么它是有限的。
例如,Chinney Alliance Group最近不断下滑的收益肯定值得深思。许多人可能预计令人失望的盈利表现将继续或加速,这抑制了市盈率。然而,如果这不是最终的结果,那么现有股东可能对未来股价的走势感到乐观。
查看我们对Chinney Alliance Group的最新分析
我们没有分析师的预测,但您可以通过查看我们的免费Chinney Alliance Group的收益、收入和现金流报告。Chinney Alliance Group的增长趋势如何?
为了证明其市盈率是合理的,Chinney Alliance Group需要实现落后于市场的低迷增长。
回顾过去一年,该公司的利润令人沮丧地下降了7.6%。因此,三年前的整体收益也下降了63%。因此,股东们会对中期盈利增长率感到悲观。
与该公司形成鲜明对比的是,市场其他部分预计明年将增长17%,这确实让人对该公司最近中期收益的下降有了正确的认识。
有鉴于此,Chinney Alliance Group的市盈率低于其他大多数公司也是可以理解的。尽管如此,不能保证市盈率已经触底,盈利出现了逆转。即使只是维持这样的价格也可能很难实现,因为最近的收益趋势已经在拖累股价。
Chinney Alliance Group市盈率的底线
Chinney Alliance Group的股票可能得到了强劲的提振,但其市盈率肯定没有达到任何很高的水平。我们会说,市盈率的力量主要不是作为一种估值工具,而是衡量当前投资者的情绪和未来预期。
我们已经确定,Chinney Alliance Group在中期盈利下滑的疲软情况下维持低市盈率,正如预期的那样。在这个阶段,投资者认为盈利改善的潜力还不够大,不足以证明提高市盈率是合理的。如果近期的中期盈利趋势继续下去,在这种情况下,很难看到股价在不久的将来向任何一个方向强劲移动。
总是有必要考虑到投资风险的幽灵无处不在。我们已经与Chinney Alliance Group确认了4个警告信号(至少1个,这有点令人担忧),理解它们应该是你投资过程的一部分。
如果你.不确定Chinney Alliance Group的业务实力,为什么不探索我们的互动列表,为其他一些你可能没有达到预期的公司提供坚实的商业基本面。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗?保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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