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The One-year Earnings Decline Has Likely Contributed ToLocal Bounti's (NYSE:LOCL) Shareholders Losses of 74% Over That Period
The One-year Earnings Decline Has Likely Contributed ToLocal Bounti's (NYSE:LOCL) Shareholders Losses of 74% Over That Period
As every investor would know, you don't hit a homerun every time you swing. But it should be a priority to avoid stomach churning catastrophes, wherever possible. It must have been painful to be a Local Bounti Corporation (NYSE:LOCL) shareholder over the last year, since the stock price plummeted 74% in that time. That'd be enough to make even the strongest stomachs churn. We wouldn't rush to judgement on Local Bounti because we don't have a long term history to look at. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 33% in the last three months.
If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Local Bounti isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Local Bounti
Local Bounti isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.
In the last twelve months, Local Bounti increased its revenue by 3,483%. That's a strong result which is better than most other loss making companies. So the hefty 74% share price crash makes us think the company has somehow offended market participants. Something weird is definitely impacting the stock price; we'd venture the company has destroyed value somehow. We'd recommend taking a very close look at the stock (and any available forecasts), before considering a purchase, because the share price is not correlated with the revenue growth, that's for sure. Of course, investors do over-react when they are stressed out, so the sell-off could be unjustifiably severe.
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
NYSE:LOCL Earnings and Revenue Growth December 20th 2022It's probably worth noting we've seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. You can see what analysts are predicting for Local Bounti in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.
A Different Perspective
We doubt Local Bounti shareholders are happy with the loss of 74% over twelve months. That falls short of the market, which lost 21%. That's disappointing, but it's worth keeping in mind that the market-wide selling wouldn't have helped. With the stock down 33% over the last three months, the market doesn't seem to believe that the company has solved all its problems. Basically, most investors should be wary of buying into a poor-performing stock, unless the business itself has clearly improved. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Local Bounti , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
正如每个投资者都知道的那样,你不会每次挥杆都打出本垒打。但只要有可能,这应该是避免令人反胃的灾难的优先事项。作为一名当地邦蒂公司(纽约证券交易所股票代码:LOCL)的股东在过去一年,因为在此期间股价暴跌74%。这足以让最强壮的人胃里翻腾。我们不会急于对当地邦蒂下结论,因为我们没有长期的历史可以看。股价最近加速下跌,在过去三个月里下跌了33%。
如果以过去一周为标准,投资者对Local Bounti的情绪并不乐观,所以让我们看看基本面和股价之间是否存在错配。
查看我们对Local Bounti的最新分析
Local Bounti目前没有盈利,因此大多数分析师都会关注收入增长,以了解基础业务的增长速度。一般来说,没有利润的公司预计每年都会有收入增长,而且增长速度很快。这是因为快速的收入增长可以很容易地推断出预期利润,通常是相当大的规模。
在过去的12个月里,Local Bounti的收入增长了3483%。这是一个强劲的结果,比大多数其他亏损的公司都要好。因此,74%的股价暴跌让我们认为该公司以某种方式冒犯了市场参与者。一些奇怪的东西肯定在影响着股价;我们敢说,该公司不知何故已经摧毁了价值。我们建议在考虑收购之前,仔细看看股票(以及任何可用的预测),因为股价是不与收入增长相关,这一点是肯定的。当然,当投资者感到压力过大时,他们确实会反应过度,因此抛售可能会毫无理由地严重。
您可以在下图中看到收益和收入随时间的变化(单击图表查看确切的值)。
纽约证券交易所:本地收益和收入增长2022年12月20日可能值得注意的是,我们在上个季度看到了大量的内幕收购,我们认为这是一个积极的因素。另一方面,我们认为收入和收益趋势是衡量业务的更有意义的指标。您可以在这里看到分析师对Local Bounti的预测互动未来利润预估图表。
不同的视角
我们怀疑Local Bounti的股东对过去12个月损失74%的情况感到满意。这一数字低于大盘,大盘下跌21%。这令人失望,但值得记住的是,整个市场的抛售不会有任何帮助。过去三个月,该公司股价下跌了33%,市场似乎并不认为该公司已经解决了所有问题。基本上,大多数投资者应该对买入表现不佳的股票保持警惕,除非业务本身已经明显改善。虽然值得考虑市场状况对股价可能产生的不同影响,但还有其他更重要的因素。例如,考虑一下无处不在的投资风险幽灵。我们已经确定了两个警告信号与Local Bounti合作,了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。
如果你喜欢和管理层一起买股票,那么你可能会喜欢这本书免费公司名单。(提示:内部人士一直在买入这些股票)。
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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