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Investors Five-year Losses Continue as BAIC Motor (HKG:1958) Dips a Further 4.0% This Week, Earnings Continue to Decline
Investors Five-year Losses Continue as BAIC Motor (HKG:1958) Dips a Further 4.0% This Week, Earnings Continue to Decline
Long term investing works well, but it doesn't always work for each individual stock. We really hate to see fellow investors lose their hard-earned money. For example, we sympathize with anyone who was caught holding BAIC Motor Corporation Limited (HKG:1958) during the five years that saw its share price drop a whopping 81%. And we doubt long term believers are the only worried holders, since the stock price has declined 41% over the last twelve months. Furthermore, it's down 22% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 17% decline in the broader market, throughout the period. While a drop like that is definitely a body blow, money isn't as important as health and happiness.
With the stock having lost 4.0% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.
Check out our latest analysis for BAIC Motor
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
Looking back five years, both BAIC Motor's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 9.0% per year. Readers should note that the share price has fallen faster than the EPS, at a rate of 28% per year, over the period. This implies that the market was previously too optimistic about the stock. The less favorable sentiment is reflected in its current P/E ratio of 3.83.
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
SEHK:1958 Earnings Per Share Growth October 25th 2022We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. This free interactive report on BAIC Motor's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, BAIC Motor's TSR for the last 5 years was -76%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
A Different Perspective
We regret to report that BAIC Motor shareholders are down 37% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 31%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 12% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that BAIC Motor is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
长期投资效果不错,但并不总是对每只股票都有效。我们真的不愿看到其他投资者失去他们的血汗钱。例如,我们同情任何被抓到持有北汽集团有限公司(HKG:1958)在这五年中,它的股价暴跌了81%。我们怀疑长期投资者是唯一忧心忡忡的持有者,因为股价在过去12个月里下跌了41%。此外,它在大约四分之一的时间里下跌了22%。对于持有者来说,这并不是什么乐趣。当然,在此期间,这一股价走势很可能受到了大盘17%跌幅的影响。虽然像这样的下降绝对是对身体的打击,但金钱并不像健康和幸福那么重要。
鉴于该公司股价在过去一周下跌了4.0%,我们有必要看看公司的业绩,看看是否有任何危险信号。
查看我们对北汽的最新分析
虽然市场是一种强大的定价机制,但股价反映的是投资者情绪,而不仅仅是潜在的企业表现。评估围绕一家公司的情绪变化的一个有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。
回顾五年,北汽股价和每股收益双双下滑,后者以每年9.0%的速度下滑。读者应该注意到,在此期间,苹果股价以每年28%的速度下跌,比每股收益下跌得更快。这暗示市场此前对该股过于乐观。这种不那么有利的情绪反映在其目前3.83的市盈率上。
该公司的每股收益(在一段时间内)如下图所示(点击查看具体数字)。
联交所:1958年10月25日每股盈利增长我们很高兴地报告,这位首席执行官的薪酬比类似资本公司的大多数首席执行官都要低。关注首席执行官的薪酬总是值得的,但更重要的问题是,该公司是否会在未来几年实现盈利增长。这免费如果你想进一步调查北汽的股票,北汽的收益、收入和现金流的互动报告是一个很好的起点。
那股息呢?
在考察投资回报时,重要的是要考虑到股东总回报(TSR)和股价回报。TSR包括任何剥离或贴现融资的价值,以及任何股息,基于股息再投资的假设。可以说,TSR更全面地描绘了一只股票产生的回报。碰巧的是,北汽近5年的TSR为-76%,超过了前面提到的股价回报。该公司支付的股息因此提振了总计股东回报。
不同的视角
我们遗憾地报告,北汽控股股东今年以来下降了37%(甚至包括股息)。不幸的是,这比大盘31%的跌幅还要糟糕。然而,这可能只是因为股价受到了更广泛的市场紧张情绪的影响。也许有必要关注基本面,以防出现良机。遗憾的是,去年的业绩为糟糕的表现画上了句号,股东们在五年内面临着每年12%的总亏损。一般来说,股价长期疲软可能是一个坏信号,尽管反向投资者可能会希望研究这只股票,希望它能好转。我发现,把股价作为衡量企业业绩的长期指标是非常有趣的。但为了真正获得洞察力,我们还需要考虑其他信息。即便如此,要注意的是,北汽正在展示在我们的投资分析中出现1个警告信号,你应该知道关于……
如果你更愿意看看另一家公司--一家财务状况可能更好的公司--那么不要错过这一点免费已证明自己能够实现盈利增长的公司名单。
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
风险及免责提示
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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