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While Shareholders of Bumitama Agri (SGX:P8Z) Are in the Red Over the Last Five Years, Underlying Earnings Have Actually Grown
While Shareholders of Bumitama Agri (SGX:P8Z) Are in the Red Over the Last Five Years, Underlying Earnings Have Actually Grown
It's possible to achieve returns close to the market-weighted average return by buying an index fund. But even in a market-beating portfolio, some stocks will lag the market. The Bumitama Agri Ltd. (SGX:P8Z) stock price is down 24% over five years, but the total shareholder return is -6.1% once you include the dividend. And that total return actually beats the market decline of 7.3%. But it's up 9.3% in the last week.
Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last five years, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.
Check out our latest analysis for Bumitama Agri
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
While the share price declined over five years, Bumitama Agri actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 23% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.
Because of the sharp contrast between the EPS growth rate and the share price growth, we're inclined to look to other metrics to understand the changing market sentiment around the stock.
The steady dividend doesn't really explain why the share price is down. It's not immediately clear to us why the stock price is down but further research might provide some answers.
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
SGX:P8Z Earnings and Revenue Growth October 20th 2022We know that Bumitama Agri has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? Take a more thorough look at Bumitama Agri's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Bumitama Agri, it has a TSR of -6.1% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
We're pleased to report that Bumitama Agri shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 16% over one year. And that does include the dividend. There's no doubt those recent returns are much better than the TSR loss of 1.2% per year over five years. The long term loss makes us cautious, but the short term TSR gain certainly hints at a brighter future. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Bumitama Agri (1 is significant) that you should be aware of.
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on SG exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
通过购买指数基金,有可能获得接近市场加权平均回报的回报。但是,即使在超越市场的投资组合中,一些股票也会落后于市场。该 Bumitama Agri Ltd. (SGX: P8Z) 股价在五年内下跌了24%,但如果将股息包括在内,股东总回报率为-6.1%。而总回报率实际上超过了7.3%的市场跌幅。但上周上涨了9.3%。
尽管过去一周令股东更加放心,但在过去五年中,他们仍处于亏损状态,所以让我们看看基础业务是否是造成下降的原因。
看看我们对 Bumitama Agri 的最新分析
虽然市场是一种强大的定价机制,但股价反映了投资者的情绪,而不仅仅是潜在的业务表现。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和一段时间内的股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。
尽管股价在五年内下跌,但Bumitama Agri实际上设法做到了 增加 每股收益平均每年增长23%。鉴于股价的反应,人们可能会怀疑每股收益不能很好地指导该期间的业务表现(可能是由于一次性亏损或收益)。或者,过去的增长预期可能不合理。
由于每股收益增长率与股价增长形成鲜明对比,我们倾向于参考其他指标来了解围绕该股的市场情绪变化。
稳定的股息并不能真正解释股价下跌的原因。我们目前尚不清楚为什么股价下跌,但进一步的研究可能会提供一些答案。
您可以在下面看到收入和收入如何随着时间的推移而变化(点击图片了解确切的值)。
新加坡交易所:P8Z 收益和收入增长 2022 年 10 月 20 日我们知道Bumitama Agri在过去三年中已经提高了利润,但是未来会怎样?用这个更全面地看看 Bumitama Agri 的财务状况 免费的 在其资产负债表上报告。
那股息呢?
除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报率(TSR)。基于股息再投资的假设,TSR包括任何分拆或贴现资本筹集的价值以及任何股息。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报。就Bumitama Agri而言,它在过去5年中的总回报率为-6.1%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了分歧是没有道理的!
不同的视角
我们很高兴地向大家报告,Bumitama Agri的股东在一年内获得了16%的股东总回报。这确实包括股息。毫无疑问,最近的回报远好于五年内每年1.2%的TSR亏损。长期亏损使我们谨慎,但短期TSR的上涨无疑暗示着更光明的未来。我发现从长远来看,将股价视为业务表现的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得洞察力,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,我们已经确定了 Bumitama Agri 的 2 个警告信号 (1 很重要),你应该注意。
如果你和我一样,那么你会 不 想错过这个 免费的 内部人士正在收购的成长型公司名单。
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在新加坡交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧? 取得联系 直接和我们联系。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是一般性的。 我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章无意提供财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未将最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简而言之,华尔街对上述任何股票都没有头寸。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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