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Is AutoNation (NYSE:AN) Using Too Much Debt?
Is AutoNation (NYSE:AN) Using Too Much Debt?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that AutoNation, Inc. (NYSE:AN) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for AutoNation
What Is AutoNation's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2022 AutoNation had debt of US$4.74b, up from US$3.46b in one year. On the flip side, it has US$336.5m in cash leading to net debt of about US$4.40b.
NYSE:AN Debt to Equity History October 3rd 2022How Strong Is AutoNation's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, AutoNation had liabilities of US$2.78b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$4.20b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$336.5m in cash and US$408.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$6.24b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's US$5.70b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
We'd say that AutoNation's moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 1.9), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its strong interest cover of 15.5 times, makes us even more comfortable. It is well worth noting that AutoNation's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 42% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if AutoNation can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, AutoNation produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 79% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Our View
The good news is that AutoNation's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its level of total liabilities. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that AutoNation can handle its debt fairly comfortably. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example AutoNation has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
马克斯说得很好,他不是担心股价波动,而是我担心的是永久亏损的可能性……我认识的每个实际投资者都担心。当你考察一家公司的风险有多大时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为当一家企业倒闭时,债务往往会涉及到它。我们可以看到AutoNation公司(纽约证券交易所股票代码:AN)确实在其业务中使用债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务造成了多大的风险?
为什么债务会带来风险?
债务是帮助企业发展的一种工具,但如果一家企业无法偿还贷款人的债务,那么它就只能听从贷款人的摆布。如果情况真的变得很糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。尽管这并不常见,但我们确实经常看到负债累累的公司永久性地稀释股东的权益,因为贷款人迫使他们以令人沮丧的价格筹集资金。当然,在企业中,债务可以是一个重要的工具,特别是资本密集型企业。在考虑一家公司的债务水平时,第一步是同时考虑其现金和债务。
查看我们对AutoNation的最新分析
AutoNation的债务是什么?
下图显示,截至2022年6月,AutoNation的债务为47.4亿美元,高于一年内的34.6亿美元。另一方面,它拥有3.365亿美元的现金,导致净债务约为44亿美元。
纽约证券交易所:债转股历史2022年10月3日AutoNation的资产负债表有多强劲?
根据最新报告的资产负债表,AutoNation有27.8亿美元的债务在12个月内到期,42亿美元的债务在12个月后到期。作为抵消,它有3.365亿美元的现金和4.085亿美元的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比现金和近期应收账款加起来还要多62.4亿美元。
当你考虑到这一缺口超过了该公司57亿美元的市值时,你很可能倾向于专心审查资产负债表。在该公司不得不迅速清理其资产负债表的情况下,股东似乎可能会遭受广泛的稀释。
我们使用两个主要比率来告知我们债务相对于收益的水平。第一个是净债务除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA),第二个是其息税前收益(EBIT)覆盖其利息支出(或简称利息覆盖)的多少倍。因此,我们考虑债务相对于收益,包括折旧和摊销费用。
我们会说,AutoNation的净债务与EBITDA的比率适中(为1.9),表明在债务方面是谨慎的。而其15.5倍的强劲利息覆盖,让我们更加舒心。值得注意的是,AutoNation的息税前利润如雨后春笋般迅速增长,在过去12个月中上涨了42%。这将使其更容易管理债务。当你分析债务时,资产负债表显然是你关注的领域。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定AutoNation能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。所以,如果你关注未来,你可以看看这个免费显示分析师利润预测的报告。
最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润只是不能削减这一点。因此,我们显然需要看看息税前利润是否会带来相应的自由现金流。在过去的三年里,AutoNation产生了强劲的自由现金流,相当于其息税前利润的79%,这与我们预期的差不多。这种冷酷的现金意味着,它可以在想要的时候减少债务。
我们的观点
好消息是,AutoNation被证明有能力通过息税前利润来支付利息支出,这让我们感到高兴,就像一只毛茸茸的小狗对待蹒跚学步的孩子一样。但严酷的事实是,我们对其总负债水平感到担忧。综合上述因素,AutoNation可以相当轻松地处理债务,这让我们感到震惊。有利的一面是,这种杠杆可以提高股东回报,但潜在的不利因素是更大的亏损风险,因此值得监控资产负债表。当你分析债务时,资产负债表显然是你关注的领域。然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表中--远非如此。例如,AutoNation具有3个警示标志(还有一条是关于的)我们认为你应该知道。
归根结底,关注那些没有净债务的公司往往更好。你可以访问我们的这类公司的特别名单(都有利润增长的记录)。这是免费的。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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