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The Past Year for XPO Logistics (NYSE:XPO) Investors Has Not Been Profitable
The Past Year for XPO Logistics (NYSE:XPO) Investors Has Not Been Profitable
The simplest way to benefit from a rising market is to buy an index fund. When you buy individual stocks, you can make higher profits, but you also face the risk of under-performance. Unfortunately the XPO Logistics, Inc. (NYSE:XPO) share price slid 43% over twelve months. That's disappointing when you consider the market declined 20%. We note that it has not been easy for shareholders over three years, either; the share price is down 34% in that time. Even worse, it's down 15% in about a month, which isn't fun at all. However, we note the price may have been impacted by the broader market, which is down 9.0% in the same time period.
It's worthwhile assessing if the company's economics have been moving in lockstep with these underwhelming shareholder returns, or if there is some disparity between the two. So let's do just that.
View our latest analysis for XPO Logistics
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
During the unfortunate twelve months during which the XPO Logistics share price fell, it actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 183%. It could be that the share price was previously over-hyped.
It's surprising to see the share price fall so much, despite the improved EPS. So it's well worth checking out some other metrics, too.
XPO Logistics managed to grow revenue over the last year, which is usually a real positive. Since we can't easily explain the share price movement based on these metrics, it might be worth considering how market sentiment has changed towards the stock.
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
NYSE:XPO Earnings and Revenue Growth September 30th 2022XPO Logistics is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts
A Different Perspective
While the broader market lost about 20% in the twelve months, XPO Logistics shareholders did even worse, losing 43%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 3%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that XPO Logistics is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
从上涨的市场中获益的最简单方式是购买指数基金。当你购买个股时,你可以获得更高的利润,但你也面临表现不佳的风险。不幸的是,XPO物流有限公司(纽约证券交易所代码:XPO)股价在12个月内下滑了43%。当你考虑到市场下跌了20%时,这是令人失望的。我们注意到,三年来,股东的日子也不好过;在此期间,该公司股价下跌了34%。更糟糕的是,它在大约一个月内下跌了15%,这一点都不好玩。然而,我们注意到价格可能受到了大盘的影响,大盘在同一时期下跌了9.0%。
值得评估的是,该公司的经济状况是否一直与这些平淡无奇的股东回报同步,或者两者之间是否存在一些差距。所以我们就这么做吧。
查看我们对XPO物流的最新分析
虽然有效市场假说继续被一些人传授,但事实证明,市场是过度反应的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。考察市场情绪如何随时间变化的一种方法是观察一家公司的股价和每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。
不幸的是,在XPO物流股价下跌的12个月里,它的每股收益(EPS)实际上提高了183%。可能是股价之前被过度炒作了。
令人惊讶的是,尽管每股收益有所改善,但股价却下跌了这么多。因此,也有必要检查一下其他一些指标。
XPO物流在去年设法实现了收入增长,这通常是一个真正的积极因素。由于我们不能轻易地根据这些指标来解释股价走势,或许值得考虑一下市场情绪是如何改变对股票的看法的。
该公司的收入和收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看具体数字)。
纽约证券交易所:XPO收益和收入增长2022年9月30日XPO物流为投资者所熟知,许多聪明的分析师曾试图预测未来的利润水平。因此,我们建议您查看以下内容免费显示共识预测的报告
不同的视角
虽然大盘在过去12个月里下跌了约20%,但XPO物流股东的表现更糟,下跌了43%。话虽如此,在下跌的市场中,一些股票不可避免地会被超卖。关键是要密切关注基本面的发展。较长期的投资者不会如此沮丧,因为他们在五年内每年会获得3%的收益。如果基本面数据继续显示长期可持续增长,当前的抛售可能是一个值得考虑的机会。我发现,把股价作为衡量企业业绩的长期指标是非常有趣的。但为了真正获得洞察力,我们还需要考虑其他信息。即便如此,请注意XPO物流正在显示我们的投资分析中的3个警告信号,其中一条不太适合我们……
如果你喜欢和管理层一起买股票,那么你可能会喜欢这本书免费公司名单。(提示:内部人士一直在买入这些股票)。
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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