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Aussie Eyes 60 Cents After Psychological, Technical Level Broken

Aussie Eyes 60 Cents After Psychological, Technical Level Broken

澳元眼睛60美分后心理,技术水平打破
BNN Bloomberg ·  2022/09/27 21:42

(Bloomberg) -- The Australian dollar may fall to its weakest level against the greenback since markets were ravaged in the early days of the pandemic, after breaking key technical and psychological supports.

(彭博社)--澳元兑美元可能跌至自疫情初期市场遭受重创以来的最低水平,此前澳元打破了关键的技术和心理支撑。

The currency closed under 64.64 US cents for a second day on Tuesday, a level that marks a 61.8% Fibonacci pullback of its March 2020 to February 2021 rally. Further declines could see the Australian dollar fall toward 60 US cents, unwinding the remainder of that advance.

周二,人民币连续第二天收于64.64美分以下,这一水平标志着2020年3月至2021年2月的涨势回落了61.8%的费波纳奇。如果澳元进一步下跌,可能会跌至1澳元兑60美分,回吐剩余的涨幅。

The Aussie has slumped 11% against the greenback this year and dropped below the psychological 65 US cents level as the dollar rallied on bets the Federal Reserve will aggressively raise interest rates and as traders sought haven assets in anticipation of a potential recession. The currency has also weakened because of concern over slowing growth in China, Australia's largest trading partner.

澳元兑美元汇率今年已下跌11%,跌破65美分的心理关口,原因是美元因押注美联储将大举加息而上涨,交易员因预期经济可能出现衰退而寻求避险资产。此外,由于对澳大利亚最大贸易伙伴中国经济增长放缓的担忧,澳元走弱。

"The tumult in global financial markets, lower metal prices, higher volatility and the weakening world economic outlook are weights on the Australian dollar," Joseph Capurso, head of international economics at Commonwealth Bank of Australia, wrote in a note to clients. CBA expects the currency to fall to 62 cents early next year.

澳大利亚联邦银行国际经济主管约瑟夫·卡普尔索在给客户的一份报告中写道:“全球金融市场动荡、金属价格下跌、波动性上升以及世界经济前景趋弱,都令澳元承压。”CBA预计,明年初人民币汇率将跌至62美分。

2022 Bloomberg L.P.

2022年彭博L.P.

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