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Is Marcus (NYSE:MCS) A Risky Investment?
Is Marcus (NYSE:MCS) A Risky Investment?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, The Marcus Corporation (NYSE:MCS) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Marcus
What Is Marcus's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Marcus had US$261.4m of debt in June 2022, down from US$329.8m, one year before. On the flip side, it has US$61.6m in cash leading to net debt of about US$199.9m.
NYSE:MCS Debt to Equity History September 27th 2022How Strong Is Marcus' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Marcus had liabilities of US$212.5m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$509.4m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$61.6m as well as receivables valued at US$26.3m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$634.1m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's US$435.7m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Even though Marcus's debt is only 2.2, its interest cover is really very low at 1.3. The main reason for this is that it has such high depreciation and amortisation. While companies often boast that these charges are non-cash, most such businesses will therefore require ongoing investment (that is not expensed.) Either way there's no doubt the stock is using meaningful leverage. Notably, Marcus made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of US$22m in the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Marcus's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Marcus actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Our View
On the face of it, Marcus's level of total liabilities left us tentative about the stock, and its interest cover was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making Marcus stock a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Marcus (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
巴菲特(Warren Buffett)曾说过一句名言:波动性远非风险的代名词。当我们考虑一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢看它对债务的使用,因为债务过重可能导致破产。重要的是马库斯公司(纽约证券交易所代码:MCS)确实背负着债务。但这笔债务对股东来说是一个担忧吗?
为什么债务会带来风险?
债务是帮助企业发展的一种工具,但如果一家企业无法偿还贷款人的债务,那么它就只能听从贷款人的摆布。资本主义的一部分是“创造性破坏”的过程,破产的企业被银行家无情地清算。然而,一种更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,一家公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东的股份,才能控制债务。当然,在企业中,债务可以是一个重要的工具,特别是资本密集型企业。当我们考虑一家公司的债务用途时,我们首先会把现金和债务放在一起看。
看看我们对马库斯的最新分析
马库斯的债务是什么?
你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,马库斯在2022年6月的债务为2.614亿美元,低于一年前的3.298亿美元。另一方面,它拥有6160万美元的现金,导致净债务约为1.999亿美元。
纽约证券交易所:MCS债转股历史2022年9月27日马库斯的资产负债表有多强劲?
我们可以从最近的资产负债表中看到,马库斯有2.125亿美元的债务在一年内到期,还有5.094亿美元的债务在这之后到期。为了抵消这些债务,它有6160万美元的现金以及价值2630万美元的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比现金和近期应收账款的总和高出6.341亿美元。
当你考虑到这一缺口超过了该公司4.357亿美元的市值时,你很可能倾向于专心审查资产负债表。在该公司不得不迅速清理其资产负债表的情况下,股东似乎可能会遭受广泛的稀释。
我们使用两个主要比率来告知我们债务相对于收益的水平。第一个是净债务除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA),第二个是其息税前收益(EBIT)覆盖其利息支出(或简称利息覆盖)的多少倍。因此,我们考虑债务相对于收益,包括折旧和摊销费用。
尽管马库斯的债务只有2.2英镑,但它的利息覆盖率真的很低,只有1.3英镑。主要原因是它的折旧和摊销如此之高。虽然公司经常吹嘘这些费用是非现金的,但大多数此类业务因此都需要持续投资(即不计入费用)。无论哪种方式,毫无疑问,该股正在使用有意义的杠杆。值得注意的是,马库斯去年息税前利润水平出现亏损,但在过去12个月中有所改善,息税前利润为正2200万美元。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个起点。但马库斯未来保持健康资产负债表的能力将取决于未来的收益,而不是任何东西。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。
最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。因此,重要的是要检查其息税前收益(EBIT)中有多少转换为实际的自由现金流。对于任何股东来说,令人高兴的是,马库斯去年产生的自由现金流实际上比息税前利润还多。这种强劲的现金转换让我们像傻朋克演唱会上节奏下降时的观众一样兴奋。
我们的观点
从表面上看,马库斯的总负债水平让我们对这只股票持怀疑态度,它的利息覆盖率并不比一年中最繁忙的夜晚的一家空荡荡的餐厅更诱人。但至少它在将息税前利润转化为自由现金流方面相当不错;这是令人鼓舞的。看看资产负债表,并考虑到所有这些因素,我们确实认为债务让马库斯的股票有点冒险。这并不一定是一件坏事,但我们通常会在杠杆较少的情况下感到更舒服。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到的债务最多。但归根结底,每家公司都可能包含存在于资产负债表之外的风险。我们已经确定了三个警告信号与马库斯(至少1,这是有点不愉快),并了解他们应该是你投资过程的一部分。
当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,今天就来看看我们的净现金成长型股票独家名单。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
风险及免责提示
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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