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Remote Work Drove Over 60% of House-Price Surge, Fed Study Finds

Remote Work Drove Over 60% of House-Price Surge, Fed Study Finds

美联储研究发现,远程工作推动了超过60%的房价飙升
Yahoo Finance ·  2022/09/26 19:39

(Bloomberg) -- The shift to working from home drove more than half of the increase in house and rent prices during the pandemic and will likely drive up costs and inflation going forward as the shift becomes permanent, according to research from the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

彭博社--根据旧金山联邦储备银行的研究,在大流行期间,在家工作的转变推动了一半以上的房价和租金上涨,随着这种转变成为永久性的,未来可能会推高成本和通胀。

"The transition to remote work because of the COVID-19 pandemic has been a key driver of the recent surge in housing prices," economists Augustus Kmetz and John Mondragon, of the San Francisco Fed, and Johannes Wieland of the University of California, San Diego, wrote in a note published Monday.

旧金山联邦储备银行的经济学家奥古斯塔斯·克梅茨和约翰·蒙塔龙,以及加州大学圣地亚哥分校的约翰尼斯·威兰德在周一发布的一份报告中写道:“新冠肺炎疫情引发的向远程工作的过渡,一直是近期房价飙升的关键推动因素。”

House prices rose 24% in the two years ended November 2021, the authors wrote. More than 60% of that increase is attributable to the rise in work from home during the pandemic -- a trend that has persisted, with 30% of work still being done from home as of last month.

两位作者写道,在截至2021年11月的两年里,房价上涨了24%。其中超过60%的增长归因于疫情期间在家工作的增加--这一趋势一直持续,截至上个月,仍有30%的工作在家中完成。

"This suggests that the fundamentals of housing demand have changed, such that the persistence of remote work is likely to affect the future path of real estate prices and inflation," the economists wrote.

经济学家们写道:“这表明住房需求的基本面已经改变,因此远程工作的持续很可能会影响房地产价格和通胀的未来走势。”

The authors, who adjusted housing data to account for the migration from expensive cities to more affordable areas that occurred during the pandemic, found that each 1 percentage point increase in remote work results in about a 0.9 percentage point increase in house prices. The impact on rent prices has been identical.

两位作者调整了住房数据,以计入疫情期间从昂贵城市向更负担得起的地区的迁移。他们发现,远程工作每增加1个百分点,房价就会上涨约0.9个百分点。对房租价格的影响也是一样的。

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