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The Five-year Underlying Earnings Growth at ManpowerGroup (NYSE:MAN) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time
The Five-year Underlying Earnings Growth at ManpowerGroup (NYSE:MAN) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time
In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in ManpowerGroup Inc. (NYSE:MAN), since the last five years saw the share price fall 41%. We also note that the stock has performed poorly over the last year, with the share price down 35%. More recently, the share price has dropped a further 12% in a month. But this could be related to poor market conditions -- stocks are down 8.4% in the same time.
After losing 4.8% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.
View our latest analysis for ManpowerGroup
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
During the unfortunate half decade during which the share price slipped, ManpowerGroup actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 4.3% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or possibly, the market was previously very optimistic, so the stock has disappointed, despite improving EPS.
Based on these numbers, we'd venture that the market may have been over-optimistic about forecast growth, half a decade ago. Having said that, we might get a better idea of what's going on with the stock by looking at other metrics.
The revenue fall of 1.7% per year for five years is neither good nor terrible. But if the market expected durable top line growth, then that could explain the share price weakness.
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
NYSE:MAN Earnings and Revenue Growth September 21st 2022ManpowerGroup is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. If you are thinking of buying or selling ManpowerGroup stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst consensus estimates for future profits.
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for ManpowerGroup the TSR over the last 5 years was -33%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
We regret to report that ManpowerGroup shareholders are down 33% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 16%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 6% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for ManpowerGroup that you should be aware of before investing here.
For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
为了证明挑选个股的努力是合理的,值得努力超越市场指数基金的回报。但在任何投资组合中,个股之间的结果都会喜忧参半。在这一点上,一些股东可能会质疑他们在万宝盛华集团。(纽约证券交易所代码:MAN),自过去五年以来,股价下跌了41%。我们还注意到,该股在过去一年表现不佳,股价下跌了35%。最近,该公司股价在一个月内进一步下跌了12%。但这可能与糟糕的市场状况有关--同期股市下跌了8.4%。
在过去一周下跌4.8%后,有必要调查一下该公司的基本面,看看我们可以从过去的表现中推断出什么。
查看我们对万宝盛华的最新分析
虽然有效市场假说继续被一些人传授,但事实证明,市场是过度反应的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。考察市场情绪如何随时间变化的一种方法是观察一家公司的股价和每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。
在股价下滑的不幸的五年里,万宝盛华的每股收益(EPS)实际上以每年4.3%的速度增长。考虑到股价的反应,人们可能会怀疑,每股收益不是这段时间内业务表现的良好指南(可能是因为一次性的亏损或收益)。也有可能,此前市场非常乐观,因此尽管每股收益有所改善,但该股仍令人失望。
根据这些数据,我们敢打赌,五年前,市场可能对增长预期过于乐观。话虽如此,我们可能会通过查看其他指标来更好地了解股票的走势。
收入连续五年以每年1.7%的速度下降,既不好也不可怕。但如果市场预期营收会持续增长,那么这可以解释股价疲软的原因。
下图描述了收益和收入随时间的变化(通过单击图像来揭示确切的价值)。
纽约证券交易所:MAN收益和收入增长2022年9月21日万宝盛华为投资者所熟知,许多聪明的分析师曾试图预测未来的利润水平。如果你正在考虑购买或出售万宝盛华的股票,你应该看看这个免费显示分析师对未来利润的一致估计的报告。
那股息呢?
在考察投资回报时,重要的是要考虑到股东总回报(TSR)和股价回报。虽然股价回报只反映股价的变动,但TSR包括股息的价值(假设股息再投资),以及任何折价集资或分拆所带来的利益。公平地说,TSR为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的图景。我们注意到万宝盛华过去5年的总回报率为-33%,好于上述股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异是没有好处的!
不同的视角
我们遗憾地报告,万宝盛华的股东今年以来下跌了33%(甚至包括股息)。不幸的是,这比大盘16%的跌幅还要糟糕。然而,这可能只是因为股价受到了更广泛的市场紧张情绪的影响。也许有必要关注基本面,以防出现良机。不幸的是,去年的表现可能预示着尚未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年6%的年化损失更糟糕。我们意识到,罗斯柴尔德男爵曾说过,投资者应该“在街上血淋淋的时候买入”,但我们警告投资者,首先应该确保他们购买的是一家高质量的企业。我发现,把股价作为衡量企业业绩的长期指标是非常有趣的。但为了真正获得洞察力,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,我们发现万宝盛华的1个警告标志在这里投资之前你应该意识到这一点。
对于那些想要找到赢得投资这免费最近有内幕收购的不断增长的公司名单可能就是合适的选择。
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
风险及免责提示
moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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