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Howmet Aerospace (NYSE:HWM) Pulls Back 7.6% This Week, but Still Delivers Shareholders Favorable 12% CAGR Over 5 Years
Howmet Aerospace (NYSE:HWM) Pulls Back 7.6% This Week, but Still Delivers Shareholders Favorable 12% CAGR Over 5 Years
If you buy and hold a stock for many years, you'd hope to be making a profit. But more than that, you probably want to see it rise more than the market average. But Howmet Aerospace Inc. (NYSE:HWM) has fallen short of that second goal, with a share price rise of 31% over five years, which is below the market return. But if you include dividends then the return is market-beating. Looking at the last year alone, the stock is up 11%.
While this past week has detracted from the company's five-year return, let's look at the recent trends of the underlying business and see if the gains have been in alignment.
Check out our latest analysis for Howmet Aerospace
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
During the last half decade, Howmet Aerospace became profitable. That would generally be considered a positive, so we'd expect the share price to be up. Given that the company made a profit three years ago, but not five years ago, it is worth looking at the share price returns over the last three years, too. We can see that the Howmet Aerospace share price is up 28% in the last three years. In the same period, EPS is up 9.6% per year. This EPS growth is reasonably close to the 9% average annual increase in the share price (over three years, again). That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. There's a strong correlation between the share price and EPS.
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
NYSE:HWM Earnings Per Share Growth September 20th 2022We know that Howmet Aerospace has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? If you're interested, you could check this free report showing consensus revenue forecasts.
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Howmet Aerospace the TSR over the last 5 years was 75%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
We're pleased to report that Howmet Aerospace shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 11% over one year. That's including the dividend. Having said that, the five-year TSR of 12% a year, is even better. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Howmet Aerospace (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored) .
We will like Howmet Aerospace better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
如果你购买并持有一只股票多年,你就有希望盈利。但更重要的是,你可能希望看到它比市场平均水平更高。但豪迈航空航天公司。(纽约证券交易所股票代码:HWM)没有达到第二个目标,股价在五年内上涨了31%,低于市场回报率。但如果计入股息,回报就会超过市场。仅去年一年,该股就上涨了11%。
虽然过去一周该公司的五年回报率有所下降,但让我们来看看基本业务的近期趋势,看看收益是否一致。
查看我们对Howmet航空航天公司的最新分析
虽然有效市场假说继续被一些人传授,但事实证明,市场是过度反应的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。考察市场情绪如何随时间变化的一种方法是观察一家公司的股价和每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。
在过去的五年里,豪迈航空航天公司实现了盈利。这通常会被认为是积极的,所以我们预计股价会上涨。考虑到该公司三年前实现了盈利,但不是五年前,过去三年的股价回报也值得一看。我们可以看到,豪迈航空航天的股价在过去三年里上涨了28%。同期,每股收益每年增长9.6%。这一每股收益的增长相当接近股价年均9%的涨幅(同样是在三年内)。这表明,在这段时间里,围绕该公司的市场情绪没有太大变化。股价和每股收益之间存在着很强的相关性。
您可以在下图中看到EPS是如何随着时间的推移而变化的(单击图表可查看精确值)。
纽约证券交易所:HWM每股收益增长2022年9月20日我们知道Howmet AerSpace最近提高了利润,但它会增加收入吗?如果你感兴趣,你可以看看这个免费显示一致收入预测的报告。
那股息呢?
在考察投资回报时,重要的是要考虑到股东总回报(TSR)和股价回报。TSR是一种回报计算,计入了现金股息的价值(假设收到的任何股息都进行了再投资),以及任何贴现融资和剥离的计算价值。公平地说,TSR为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的图景。我们注意到,豪美航空过去5年的TSR为75%,好于上述股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!
不同的视角
我们很高兴地报告,豪迈航空航天公司的股东在一年内获得了11%的总股东回报。这还包括股息。话虽如此,每年12%的五年期TSR更是好得多。虽然值得考虑市场状况对股价可能产生的不同影响,但还有其他更重要的因素。为此,您应该了解2个警告标志我们已经发现了Howmet AerSpace(包括一家不应被忽视的公司)。
如果我们看到一些大的内部收购,我们会更喜欢Howmet AerSpace。在我们等待的时候,看看这个免费最近有大量内幕收购的成长型公司名单。
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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