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These 4 Measures Indicate That Mueller Water Products (NYSE:MWA) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
These 4 Measures Indicate That Mueller Water Products (NYSE:MWA) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Mueller Water Products, Inc. (NYSE:MWA) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Mueller Water Products
What Is Mueller Water Products's Net Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Mueller Water Products had US$445.2m in debt in June 2022; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has US$154.9m in cash leading to net debt of about US$290.3m.
NYSE:MWA Debt to Equity History September 19th 2022A Look At Mueller Water Products' Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Mueller Water Products had liabilities of US$202.3m due within a year, and liabilities of US$603.5m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$154.9m in cash and US$233.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$417.5m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Mueller Water Products has a market capitalization of US$1.65b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
With net debt sitting at just 1.5 times EBITDA, Mueller Water Products is arguably pretty conservatively geared. And this view is supported by the solid interest coverage, with EBIT coming in at 8.2 times the interest expense over the last year. But the other side of the story is that Mueller Water Products saw its EBIT decline by 8.1% over the last year. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Mueller Water Products's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Mueller Water Products recorded free cash flow of 45% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
Mueller Water Products's interest cover was a real positive on this analysis, as was its net debt to EBITDA. On the other hand, its EBIT growth rate makes us a little less comfortable about its debt. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Mueller Water Products's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Mueller Water Products has 2 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
一些人说,作为投资者,考虑风险的最佳方式是波动性,而不是债务,但巴菲特曾说过一句名言:波动性远非风险的同义词。因此,当你考虑到任何一只股票的风险有多大时,你需要考虑债务可能是显而易见的,因为太多的债务可能会让一家公司倒闭。与许多其他公司一样米勒水产公司(纽约证券交易所代码:MWA)利用债务。但这笔债务对股东来说是一个担忧吗?
什么时候债务是个问题?
一般来说,只有当一家公司无法轻松偿还债务时,债务才会成为一个真正的问题,无论是通过筹集资金还是用自己的现金流。在最糟糕的情况下,如果一家公司无法偿还债权人的债务,它可能会破产。尽管这并不常见,但我们确实经常看到负债累累的公司永久性地稀释股东的权益,因为贷款人迫使他们以令人沮丧的价格筹集资金。当然,债务的好处是,它往往代表着廉价资本,特别是当它用能够以高回报率进行再投资的能力取代公司的稀释时。当我们考虑一家公司的债务用途时,我们首先会把现金和债务放在一起看。
查看我们对米勒水务产品的最新分析
米勒水产品公司的净债务是多少?
下图显示,2022年6月,Mueller Water Products的债务为4.452亿美元;与前一年大致相同。另一方面,它拥有1.549亿美元的现金,导致净债务约2.903亿美元。
纽约证券交易所:MWA债转股历史2022年9月19日米勒水务公司的负债问题
最新的资产负债表数据显示,Mueller Water Products有2.023亿美元的负债在一年内到期,6.035亿美元的负债在一年后到期。作为抵消,它有1.549亿美元的现金和2.334亿美元的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比现金和短期应收账款的总和高出4.175亿美元。
虽然这看起来可能很多,但并不是那么糟糕,因为Mueller Water Products的市值为16.5亿美元,因此如果需要的话,它可能可以通过筹集资本来加强其资产负债表。然而,仍值得密切关注其偿债能力。
我们使用两个主要比率来告知我们债务相对于收益的水平。第一个是净债务除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA),第二个是其息税前收益(EBIT)覆盖其利息支出(或简称利息覆盖)的多少倍。这种方法的优点是,我们既考虑了债务的绝对数量(净债务与EBITDA之比),也考虑了与债务相关的实际利息支出(及其利息覆盖率)。
由于净债务仅为EBITDA的1.5倍,Mueller Water Products的杠杆率可以说相当保守。这一观点得到了坚实的利息覆盖率的支持,去年息税前利润是利息支出的8.2倍。但另一方面,Mueller Water Products的息税前利润比去年下降了8.1%。这种下降,如果持续下去,显然会使债务更难处理。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到的债务最多。但最重要的是,未来的收益将决定穆勒水务公司未来保持健康资产负债表的能力。所以,如果你关注未来,你可以看看这个免费显示分析师利润预测的报告。
但我们的最后考虑也很重要,因为一家公司不能用账面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。因此,我们显然需要看看息税前利润是否会带来相应的自由现金流。看看最近三年,Mueller Water Products的自由现金流占其息税前利润的45%,这比我们预期的要弱。当涉及到偿还债务时,这并不是很好。
我们的观点
Mueller Water Products的利息覆盖对这一分析是真正积极的,其对EBITDA的净债务也是如此。另一方面,它的息税前利润增长率让我们对它的债务不那么放心。看着所有这些数据,我们对Mueller Water Products的债务水平感到有点谨慎。虽然我们认识到债务可以提高股本回报率,但我们建议股东密切关注其债务水平,以免增加。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个起点。然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表中--远非如此。例如,Mueller Water Products拥有2个警告标志(1)我们认为你应该知道这一点。
归根结底,关注那些没有净债务的公司往往更好。你可以访问我们的这类公司的特别名单(都有利润增长的记录)。这是免费的。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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