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Shareholders in Dutch Bros (NYSE:BROS) Have Lost 22%, as Stock Drops 7.7% This Past Week
Shareholders in Dutch Bros (NYSE:BROS) Have Lost 22%, as Stock Drops 7.7% This Past Week
The simplest way to benefit from a rising market is to buy an index fund. Active investors aim to buy stocks that vastly outperform the market - but in the process, they risk under-performance. For example, the Dutch Bros Inc. (NYSE:BROS) share price is down 22% in the last year. That's disappointing when you consider the market declined 17%. Because Dutch Bros hasn't been listed for many years, the market is still learning about how the business performs. Even worse, it's down 20% in about a month, which isn't fun at all. However, we note the price may have been impacted by the broader market, which is down 9.1% in the same time period.
If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Dutch Bros isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Dutch Bros
Dutch Bros wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually expect strong revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.
In the last twelve months, Dutch Bros increased its revenue by 50%. That's a strong result which is better than most other loss making companies. The share price drop of 22% over twelve months would be considered disappointing by many, so you might argue the company is getting little credit for its impressive revenue growth. Prima facie, revenue growth like that should be a good thing, so it's worth checking whether losses have stabilized. Our monkey brains haven't evolved to think exponentially, so humans do tend to underestimate companies that have exponential growth.
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
NYSE:BROS Earnings and Revenue Growth September 17th 2022We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts
A Different Perspective
Dutch Bros shareholders are down 22% for the year, even worse than the market loss of 17%. There's no doubt that's a disappointment, but the stock may well have fared better in a stronger market. Putting aside the last twelve months, it's good to see the share price has rebounded by 2.5%, in the last ninety days. This could just be a bounce because the selling was too aggressive, but fingers crossed it's the start of a new trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Dutch Bros better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Dutch Bros (at least 1 which is potentially serious) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
从上涨的市场中获益的最简单方式是购买指数基金。积极投资者的目标是买入表现远远好于大盘的股票--但在这个过程中,他们面临表现不佳的风险。例如,荷兰兄弟公司(纽约证券交易所代码:Bros)股价去年下跌了22%。当你考虑到市场下跌了17%时,这是令人失望的。由于荷兰兄弟多年来没有上市,市场仍在了解该业务的表现。更糟糕的是,它在大约一个月的时间里下跌了20%,这一点也不有趣。然而,我们注意到价格可能受到了大盘的影响,大盘在同一时期下跌了9.1%。
如果以过去一周为标准,投资者对荷兰兄弟的情绪并不乐观,所以让我们看看基本面和股价之间是否存在错配。
看看我们对荷兰兄弟的最新分析
荷兰兄弟在过去的12个月里没有盈利,我们不太可能看到它的股价和每股收益(EPS)之间有很强的相关性。可以说,收入是我们的下一个最佳选择。未盈利公司的股东通常预期营收增长强劲。这是因为快速的收入增长可以很容易地推断出预期利润,通常是相当大的规模。
在过去的12个月里,荷兰兄弟的收入增长了50%。这是一个强劲的结果,比大多数其他亏损的公司都要好。股价在12个月内下跌22%会被许多人认为是令人失望的,所以你可能会说,该公司令人印象深刻的收入增长几乎没有得到什么赞誉。表面上看像这样的营收增长应该是一件好事,所以值得检查亏损是否已经企稳。我们的猴子大脑还没有进化成指数思维,所以人类确实倾向于低估那些有指数增长的公司。
你可以在下面看到收入和收入是如何随着时间的推移而变化的(点击图片可以发现确切的价值)。
纽约证券交易所:Bros收益和收入增长2022年9月17日我们喜欢的是,内部人士在过去12个月一直在买入股票。即便如此,未来的收益对现有股东是否赚钱将重要得多。因此,我们建议您查看以下内容免费显示共识预测的报告
不同的视角
荷兰兄弟的股东今年以来下跌了22%,甚至比市场17%的跌幅还要糟糕。毫无疑问,这令人失望,但在一个更强劲的市场中,该股很可能表现得更好。撇开过去12个月不谈,很高兴看到股价在过去90天里反弹了2.5%。这可能只是一次反弹,因为抛售过于激进,但祈祷这是一种新趋势的开始。跟踪股价的长期表现总是很有趣的。但为了更好地理解荷兰兄弟,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,考虑一下无处不在的投资风险幽灵。我们已经确定了两个警告信号与荷兰兄弟公司(至少1家,这可能是严重的),并了解他们应该是你投资过程的一部分。
如果你喜欢和管理层一起买股票,那么你可能会喜欢这本书免费公司名单。(提示:内部人士一直在买入这些股票)。
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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