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Some Zumiez Inc. (NASDAQ:ZUMZ) Analysts Just Made A Major Cut To Next Year's Estimates
Some Zumiez Inc. (NASDAQ:ZUMZ) Analysts Just Made A Major Cut To Next Year's Estimates
One thing we could say about the analysts on Zumiez Inc. (NASDAQ:ZUMZ) - they aren't optimistic, having just made a major negative revision to their near-term (statutory) forecasts for the organization. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts went under the knife, suggesting analysts have soured majorly on the business.
Following the latest downgrade, the four analysts covering Zumiez provided consensus estimates of US$964m revenue in 2023, which would reflect a considerable 11% decline on its sales over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are supposed to dive 63% to US$1.35 in the same period. Before this latest update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$1.1b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$3.48 in 2023. Indeed, we can see that the analysts are a lot more bearish about Zumiez's prospects, administering a measurable cut to revenue estimates and slashing their EPS estimates to boot.
View our latest analysis for Zumiez
NasdaqGS:ZUMZ Earnings and Revenue Growth September 14th 2022The consensus price target fell 32% to US$24.50, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading analyst valuation estimates. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Zumiez at US$25.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$24.00. With such a narrow range of valuations, analysts apparently share similar views on what they think the business is worth.
Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that sales are expected to reverse, with a forecast 20% annualised revenue decline to the end of 2023. That is a notable change from historical growth of 5.0% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 6.4% annually for the foreseeable future. It's pretty clear that Zumiez's revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that analysts cut their earnings per share estimates, expecting a clear decline in business conditions. Unfortunately analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, and industry data suggests that Zumiez's revenues are expected to grow slower than the wider market. Given the scope of the downgrades, it would not be a surprise to see the market become more wary of the business.
As you can see, the analysts clearly aren't bullish, and there might be good reason for that. We've identified some potential issues with Zumiez's financials, such as its declining profit margins. For more information, you can click here to discover this and the 1 other flag we've identified.
Another way to search for interesting companies that could be reaching an inflection point is to track whether management are buying or selling, with our free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
关于分析师们,我们可以说一件事祖米兹公司纳斯达克(股票代码:ZUMZ)-他们并不乐观,刚刚对该组织的近期(法定)预测做出了重大负面修订。营收和每股收益(EPS)预期都遭到了下调,这表明分析师对这项业务的态度已经恶化到了极点。
在最近一次下调评级后,负责Zumiez的四位分析师提供了2023年9.64亿美元收入的一致估计,这将反映出该公司在过去12个月的销售额大幅下降11%。同期法定每股收益预计将暴跌63%,至1.35美元。在此次最新更新之前,分析师一直预测2023年营收为11亿美元,每股收益(EPS)为3.48美元。事实上,我们可以看到,分析师们对祖米兹的前景更加悲观,他们大幅下调了收入预期,并大幅下调了每股收益预期。
查看我们对Zumiez的最新分析
纳斯达克:ZUMZ收益和收入增长2022年9月14日共识目标价下跌32%,至24.50美元,较弱的盈利前景显然领先于分析师的估值预期。看看分析师估计的范围,评估异常值与平均值的差异也可能是有启发意义的。目前,最乐观的分析师对Zumiez的估值为每股25.00美元,而最悲观的分析师将其估值为24.00美元。在如此狭窄的估值范围内,分析师们显然对他们认为的企业价值有着相似的看法。
从现在的大局来看,我们能够理解这些预测的方法之一,是看看它们如何与过去的业绩和行业增长预期相比较。我们要强调的是,销售预计将逆转,预计到2023年底,年化收入将下降20%。与过去五年5.0%的历史增长率相比,这是一个显著的变化。相比之下,我们的数据表明,在可预见的未来,同一行业的其他公司(有分析师覆盖)的收入预计将以每年6.4%的速度增长。很明显,Zumiez的收入预计会比整个行业的表现差得多。
底线
最重要的是,分析师们下调了每股收益预期,预计商业环境将出现明显下滑。不幸的是,分析师也下调了他们的营收预期,行业数据显示,祖迈兹的营收增长预计将慢于更广泛的市场。考虑到评级下调的范围,市场对这项业务变得更加警惕并不令人意外。
正如你所看到的,分析师们显然并不看好股市,这或许是有充分理由的。我们发现Zumiez的财务状况存在一些潜在问题,比如利润率不断下降。欲了解更多信息,您可以单击此处了解这面旗帜和我们已经确定的其他1面旗帜。
搜索有趣的公司的另一种方式可能是到达拐点是跟踪管理层是在买入还是在卖出,我们的免费内部人士正在收购的成长型公司名单。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
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在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
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