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New Forecasts: Here's What Analysts Think The Future Holds For GCL New Energy Holdings Limited (HKG:451)
New Forecasts: Here's What Analysts Think The Future Holds For GCL New Energy Holdings Limited (HKG:451)
GCL New Energy Holdings Limited (HKG:451) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial upgrades to this year's statutory forecasts. The revenue forecast for this year has experienced a facelift, with analysts now much more optimistic on its sales pipeline.
Following the latest upgrade, the dual analysts covering GCL New Energy Holdings provided consensus estimates of CN¥1.1b revenue in 2022, which would reflect a sizeable 25% decline on its sales over the past 12 months. Losses are predicted to fall substantially, shrinking 73% to CN¥0.016. However, before this estimates update, the consensus had been expecting revenues of CN¥792m and CN¥0.00047 per share in losses. Ergo, there's been a clear change in sentiment, with the analysts lifting this year's revenue estimates, while at the same time increasing their loss per share forecasts to reflect the cost of achieving this growth.
See our latest analysis for GCL New Energy Holdings
SEHK:451 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 6th 2022It will come as no surprise that expanding losses caused the consensus price target to fall 26% to CN¥0.11 with the analysts implicitly ranking ongoing losses as a greater concern than growing revenues. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. The most optimistic GCL New Energy Holdings analyst has a price target of CN¥0.15 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at CN¥0.10. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.
These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the GCL New Energy Holdings' past performance and to peers in the same industry. Over the past five years, revenues have declined around 8.5% annually. Worse, forecasts are essentially predicting the decline to accelerate, with the estimate for an annualised 25% decline in revenue until the end of 2022. Compare this against analyst estimates for companies in the broader industry, which suggest that revenues (in aggregate) are expected to grow 5.1% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while it does have declining revenues, the analysts also expect GCL New Energy Holdings to suffer worse than the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that analysts increased their loss per share estimates for this year. Pleasantly, analysts also upgraded their revenue estimates, and their forecasts suggest the business is expected to grow slower than the wider market. The consensus price target fell measurably, with analysts seemingly not reassured by recent business developments, leading to a lower estimate of GCL New Energy Holdings' future valuation. Given that analysts appear to be expecting substantial improvement in the sales pipeline, now could be the right time to take another look at GCL New Energy Holdings.
Analysts are clearly in love with GCL New Energy Holdings at the moment, but before diving in - you should be aware that we've identified some warning flags with the business, such as a short cash runway. For more information, you can click through to our platform to learn more about this and the 1 other concern we've identified .
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are upgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
GCL新能源控股有限公司(HKG:451)今天,随着分析师大幅上调今年的法定预测,股东们将有理由微笑。今年的营收预测发生了翻天覆地的变化,分析师现在对其销售渠道的看法要乐观得多。
在最新的升级之后,负责GCL新能源控股的两位分析师提供了对2022年人民币11亿元收入的一致估计,这将反映出该公司在过去12个月的销售额大幅下降了25%。预计亏损将大幅下降,缩水73%,至人民币0.016元。然而,在此次预估更新之前,市场的普遍预期是每股营收7.92亿加元,亏损0.00047加元。因此,市场情绪发生了明显的变化,分析师们上调了今年的营收预期,同时上调了每股亏损预期,以反映实现这一增长的成本。
查看我们对GCL新能源控股的最新分析
联交所:451盈利及收入增长2022年9月6日亏损扩大导致共识目标价下跌26%至0.11元将不足为奇,分析师们含蓄地将持续亏损列为比收入增长更令人担忧的问题。然而,盯着一个单一的价格目标可能是不明智的,因为共识目标实际上是分析师价格目标的平均值。因此,一些投资者喜欢看看预估区间,看看对该公司的估值是否存在分歧意见。最乐观的GCL新能源控股分析师的目标价为每股0.15元人民币,而最悲观的分析师认为目标价为0.10元人民币。这些目标价表明,分析师对该业务确实有一些不同的看法,但估计的差异还不足以向我们表明,一些人押注于大获全胜或彻底失败。
这些估计很有趣,但在观察预测如何与GCL新能源控股公司过去的表现和同行业同行进行比较时,勾勒出一些更宽泛的笔触可能是有用的。在过去的五年里,收入每年下降约8.5%。更糟糕的是,预测基本上是在预测下降速度将加快,预计到2022年底,收入按年率计算将下降25%。相比之下,分析师对更广泛行业的公司的预期显示,(总体)收入预计将以每年5.1%的速度增长。因此,很明显,尽管GCL新能源控股的收入确实在下降,但分析师们也预计GCL新能源控股公司的处境将比整个行业更糟糕。
底线
最重要的是,分析师上调了对今年每股亏损的预期。令人高兴的是,分析师还上调了他们的收入预期,他们的预测表明,该业务的增长速度预计将低于整体市场。一致的目标价大幅下降,分析师似乎对最近的业务发展并不放心,导致对GCL新能源控股公司未来估值的估计较低。鉴于分析师似乎预计销售渠道将大幅改善,现在可能是重新审视GCL新能源控股公司的合适时机。
分析师目前显然很喜欢GCL新能源控股公司,但在投入之前--你应该意识到,我们已经确定了这项业务的一些警告信号,例如短期现金跑道。欲了解更多信息,您可以点击我们的平台,了解更多关于这一点和我们确定的1个其他问题的信息。
当然,看到公司管理层投资大笔资金投资一只股票,就像知道分析师是否在上调他们的预期一样有用。所以你可能也想搜索一下这个免费内部人士正在买入的股票清单。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
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