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One Analyst Just Shaved Their Ten Pao Group Holdings Limited (HKG:1979) Forecasts Dramatically
One Analyst Just Shaved Their Ten Pao Group Holdings Limited (HKG:1979) Forecasts Dramatically
The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for Ten Pao Group Holdings Limited (HKG:1979), with the covering analyst making across-the-board cuts to their statutory estimates that might leave shareholders a little shell-shocked. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts went under the knife, suggesting the analyst has soured majorly on the business. Bidders are definitely seeing a different story, with the stock price of HK$1.44 reflecting a 14% rise in the past week. It will be interesting to see if the downgrade has an impact on buying demand for the company's shares.
After this downgrade, Ten Pao Group Holdings' one analyst is now forecasting revenues of HK$6.2b in 2022. This would be an okay 3.0% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to rise 2.6% to HK$0.32. Previously, the analyst had been modelling revenues of HK$7.4b and earnings per share (EPS) of HK$0.45 in 2022. It looks like analyst sentiment has declined substantially, with a measurable cut to revenue estimates and a pretty serious decline to earnings per share numbers as well.
Check out our latest analysis for Ten Pao Group Holdings
SEHK:1979 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 4th 2022The consensus price target fell 35% to HK$2.50, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading analyst valuation estimates.
These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Ten Pao Group Holdings' past performance and to peers in the same industry. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Ten Pao Group Holdings' revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2022 expected to display 3.0% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 18% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 9.9% per year. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Ten Pao Group Holdings is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that the analyst cut their earnings per share estimates, expecting a clear decline in business conditions. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and the latest forecasts imply the business will grow sales slower than the wider market. After such a stark change in sentiment from the analyst, we'd understand if readers now felt a bit wary of Ten Pao Group Holdings.
Even so, the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for the value creation of shareholders. We have analyst estimates for Ten Pao Group Holdings going out as far as 2024, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
最新的分析师报道可能预示着糟糕的一天 天宝集团控股有限公司 (HKG:1979),封面分析师全面削减了法定估值,这可能会让股东有些震惊。收入和每股收益(EPS)的预测都被忽视了,这表明该分析师对该业务的表现严重恶化。竞标者肯定看到了不同的情况,1.44港元的股价反映了过去一周上涨了14%。看看降级是否会对公司股票的购买需求产生影响将是很有趣的。
此次降级后,天宝集团控股的一位分析师现在预测2022年的收入为62亿港元。与过去12个月相比,销售额将提高3.0%。每股收益预计将增长2.6%,至0.32港元。此前,该分析师曾模拟2022年的收入为74亿港元,每股收益(EPS)为0.45港元。看来分析师的情绪已大幅下降,收入预期大幅下调,每股收益也大幅下降。
查看我们对天宝集团控股的最新分析
香港联交所:1979 年收益和收入增长 2022 年 9 月 4 日共识目标股价下跌35%,至2.50港元,疲软的收益前景显然领先于分析师的估值预期。
这些估计很有趣,但是在查看预测与Ten Pao Group Holdings过去的表现和同行业同行的比较时,更粗略地描绘一些可能很有用。很明显,预计天宝集团控股的收入增长将大幅放缓,预计到2022年底的收入将按年计算增长3.0%。相比之下,过去五年的历史增长率为18%。相比之下,该行业中其他拥有分析师报道的公司的收入预计将以每年9.9%的速度增长。考虑到增长放缓的预测,很明显,天宝集团控股的增长速度预计也将低于其他行业参与者。
底线
最重要的是,分析师下调了每股收益的预期,预计商业状况将明显下滑。遗憾的是,他们还下调了收入预期,最新的预测表明,该业务的销售增长速度将低于整个市场。在分析师的情绪发生了如此明显的变化之后,读者现在是否对Ten Pao Group Holdings感到有些警惕,我们就会明白。
即便如此,业务的长期发展轨迹对于股东的价值创造更为重要。我们有分析师对天报集团控股公司到2024年的估计,你可以在我们的平台上免费查看。
当然,看看公司管理层 投入大量资金 在股票中可能和知道分析师是否下调了他们的估计值一样有用。所以你可能还想搜索这个 免费的 内部人士正在购买的股票清单。
对这篇文章有反馈吗?担心内容吗? 取得联系 直接和我们在一起。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。 我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街在上述任何股票中都没有头寸。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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