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Hainan Meilan International Airport Company Limited (HKG:357) Analysts Just Slashed This Year's Estimates
Hainan Meilan International Airport Company Limited (HKG:357) Analysts Just Slashed This Year's Estimates
Today is shaping up negative for Hainan Meilan International Airport Company Limited (HKG:357) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a substantial negative revision to this year's forecasts. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts went under the knife, suggesting the analysts have soured majorly on the business.
Following the downgrade, the latest consensus from Hainan Meilan International Airport's seven analysts is for revenues of CN¥1.5b in 2022, which would reflect a solid 8.9% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are supposed to plummet 78% to CN¥0.19 in the same period. Before this latest update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥1.6b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.43 in 2022. Indeed, we can see that the analysts are a lot more bearish about Hainan Meilan International Airport's prospects, administering a measurable cut to revenue estimates and slashing their EPS estimates to boot.
View our latest analysis for Hainan Meilan International Airport
SEHK:357 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 31st 2022Despite the cuts to forecast earnings, there was no real change to the CN¥23.04 price target, showing that the analysts don't think the changes have a meaningful impact on its intrinsic value. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. There are some variant perceptions on Hainan Meilan International Airport, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥29.83 and the most bearish at CN¥23.99 per share. Even so, with a relatively close grouping of estimates, it looks like the analysts are quite confident in their valuations, suggesting Hainan Meilan International Airport is an easy business to forecast or the underlying assumptions are obvious.
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. One thing stands out from these estimates, which is that Hainan Meilan International Airport is forecast to grow faster in the future than it has in the past, with revenues expected to display 8.9% annualised growth until the end of 2022. If achieved, this would be a much better result than the 0.4% annual decline over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 10% per year. So while Hainan Meilan International Airport's revenues are expected to improve, it seems that it is expected to grow at about the same rate as the overall industry.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that analysts cut their earnings per share estimates, expecting a clear decline in business conditions. Lamentably, they also downgraded their sales forecasts, but the business is still expected to grow at roughly the same rate as the market itself. We're also surprised to see that the price target went unchanged. Still, deteriorating business conditions (assuming accurate forecasts!) can be a leading indicator for the stock price, so we wouldn't blame investors for being more cautious on Hainan Meilan International Airport after the downgrade.
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Hainan Meilan International Airport analysts - going out to 2024, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
今天对我们来说是负面的海南美兰国际机场有限责任公司(HKG:357)股东,分析师对今年的预测作出大幅负面修订。营收和每股收益(EPS)预期都遭到了下调,这表明分析师们对这项业务的态度已经恶化到了极点。
评级下调后,海南美兰国际机场七位分析师的最新共识是,2022年的收入将达到人民币15亿元,这将反映出与过去12个月相比,销售额稳步增长8.9%。同期法定每股收益预计将暴跌78%,至0.19加元。在这一最新更新之前,分析师一直预测2022年收入为16亿加元,每股收益为0.43加元。事实上,我们可以看到,分析师们对海南美兰国际机场的前景更为悲观,他们大幅下调了收入预期,并大幅下调了每股收益预期。
查看我们对海南美兰国际机场的最新分析
联交所:357盈利及收入增长2022年8月31日尽管下调了预期收益,但CN23.04元的目标价并未发生真正的变化,这表明分析师们认为这些变化对其内在价值没有重大影响。然而,这并不是我们可以从这些数据中得出的唯一结论,因为一些投资者在评估分析师的价格目标时,也喜欢考虑预期中的价差。对海南美兰国际机场的看法也各不相同,最看好的分析师对其估值为29.83加元,最看空的是每股23.99加元。即便如此,在估值相对接近的情况下,分析师们似乎对自己的估值相当有信心,这表明海南美兰国际机场是一个很容易预测的企业,或者潜在的假设是显而易见的。
当然,看待这些预测的另一种方式是将它们放在与行业本身相反的背景下。从这些预测中,有一件事是引人注目的,那就是海南美兰国际机场预计未来的增长速度将超过过去,预计到2022年底,收入将呈现8.9%的年化增长。如果实现,这将比过去五年0.4%的年降幅要好得多。相比之下,我们的数据显示,类似行业的其他公司(有分析师覆盖)的收入预计将以每年10%的速度增长。因此,尽管海南美兰国际机场的收入预计将有所改善,但它似乎有望以与整个行业大致相同的速度增长。
底线
最重要的是,分析师们下调了每股收益预期,预计商业环境将出现明显下滑。令人遗憾的是,他们还下调了销售预期,但预计该业务的增长速度仍将与市场本身大致相同。我们还惊讶地看到,目标价格没有变化。不过,不断恶化的商业环境(假设预测准确!)可以成为股价的领先指标,所以我们不会责怪投资者在评级下调后对海南美兰国际机场更加谨慎。
话虽如此,该公司盈利的长期轨迹比明年重要得多。我们有来自海南美兰国际机场的多名分析师对2024年的预测,你可以在我们的平台上免费看到。
当然,看到公司管理层投资大笔资金投资一只股票,就像知道分析师是否在下调他们的预期一样有用。所以你可能也想搜索一下这个免费内部人士正在买入的股票清单。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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