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We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Xtep International Holdings' (HKG:1368) Earnings
We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Xtep International Holdings' (HKG:1368) Earnings
Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Xtep International Holdings Limited's (HKG:1368) stock hasn't moved much. Our analysis suggests that shareholders have noticed something concerning in the numbers.
Check out our latest analysis for Xtep International Holdings
SEHK:1368 Earnings and Revenue History August 30th 2022A Closer Look At Xtep International Holdings' Earnings
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
Over the twelve months to June 2022, Xtep International Holdings recorded an accrual ratio of 0.27. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥746m despite its profit of CN¥1.07b, mentioned above. It's worth noting that Xtep International Holdings generated positive FCF of CN¥512m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Xtep International Holdings' Profit Performance
Xtep International Holdings didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Xtep International Holdings' true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. Nonetheless, it's still worth noting that its earnings per share have grown at 28% over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Xtep International Holdings you should know about.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Xtep International Holdings' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
尽管公布了一些强劲的收益,但市场特步国际控股有限公司(HKG:1368)股市波动不大。我们的分析表明,股东们注意到了数字中的一些令人担忧的地方。
查看我们对特步国际控股公司的最新分析
联交所:1368盈利及收入历史2022年8月30日仔细看看特步国际控股公司的收益
许多投资者都没有听说过现金流应计比率但它实际上是衡量一家公司在给定时期内自由现金流(FCF)支持公司利润的程度的有用指标。为了得到应计比率,我们首先从一个时期的利润中减去FCF,然后用这个数字除以该时期的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少不是由自由现金流支持的。
这意味着负的应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明该公司带来的自由现金流比其利润所暗示的要多。虽然应计比率为正并不是问题,这表明非现金利润达到了一定的水平,但高的应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明账面利润与现金流不匹配。引用勒维伦和雷苏泰克2014年的一篇论文,“应计利润较高的公司未来的利润往往较低”。
在截至2022年6月的12个月内,特步国际控股录得0.27的应计比率。不幸的是,这意味着其自由现金流远远低于其公布的利润。在过去的12个月里,它实际上有负面自由现金流,尽管其利润为10.7亿元,但仍流出7.46亿元。值得注意的是,特步国际控股一年前产生了5.12亿元的正FCF,所以至少他们过去做到了。
这可能会让你想知道,分析师对未来盈利能力的预测是什么。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于他们估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。
我们对特步国际控股公司盈利表现的看法
特步国际控股去年没有将大部分利润转化为自由现金流,一些投资者可能认为这相当不理想。因此,在我们看来,特步国际控股的真实基础盈利能力实际上低于其法定利润是可能的。尽管如此,值得注意的是,它的每股收益在过去三年里以28%的速度增长。当然,当谈到分析其收益时,我们只是触及了皮毛;人们还可以考虑利润率、预测增长和投资回报等因素。考虑到这一点,除非我们对风险有透彻的了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。每家公司都有风险,我们已经发现特步国际控股公司的1个警告标志你应该知道。
这份报告只关注了一个因素,它揭示了特步国际控股公司的利润性质。但还有很多其他方式可以让你了解一家公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济指标,而另一些人则喜欢“跟着钱走”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。所以你可能想看看这个免费拥有高股本回报率的公司的集合,或内部人士正在购买的这份股票清单。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
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在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
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