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Newsflash: CMGE Technology Group Limited (HKG:302) Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Revenue Forecasts
Newsflash: CMGE Technology Group Limited (HKG:302) Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Revenue Forecasts
The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for CMGE Technology Group Limited (HKG:302), with the analysts making across-the-board cuts to their statutory estimates that might leave shareholders a little shell-shocked. This report focused on revenue estimates, and it looks as though the consensus view of the business has become substantially more conservative.
After this downgrade, CMGE Technology Group's four analysts are now forecasting revenues of CN¥3.9b in 2022. This would be a major 29% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Prior to the latest estimates, the analysts were forecasting revenues of CN¥4.4b in 2022. The consensus view seems to have become more pessimistic on CMGE Technology Group, noting the substantial drop in revenue estimates in this update.
See our latest analysis for CMGE Technology Group
SEHK:302 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 28th 2022We'd point out that there was no major changes to their price target of CN¥3.45, suggesting the latest estimates were not enough to shift their view on the value of the business. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. The most optimistic CMGE Technology Group analyst has a price target of CN¥5.56 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at CN¥2.92. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that the analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.
Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that CMGE Technology Group's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 29% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2022 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 10% p.a. over the past three years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 22% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that CMGE Technology Group is expected to grow much faster than its industry.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that analysts cut their revenue estimates for this year. Analysts also expect revenues to grow faster than the wider market. Given the stark change in sentiment, we'd understand if investors became more cautious on CMGE Technology Group after today.
Unsatisfied? At least one of CMGE Technology Group's four analysts has provided estimates out to 2024, which can be seen for free on our platform here.
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
最新的分析师报道可能预示着对CMGE科技集团有限公司(HKG:302),分析师全面削减他们的法定估计,这可能会让股东有点震惊。这份报告侧重于收入预期,似乎对该业务的普遍看法已变得更加保守。
在此次评级下调后,CMGE科技集团的四位分析师现在预测,2022年的收入将达到39亿元人民币。与过去12个月相比,这将是销售额29%的重大改善。在最新的估计之前,分析师预测2022年的收入为人民币44亿元。一致的观点似乎对CMGE科技集团变得更加悲观,指出在这次更新中收入预期大幅下降。
查看我们对CMGE技术集团的最新分析
联交所:2022年8月28日盈利及收入增长302我们会指出,他们3.45元的目标价没有重大变化,这表明最新的估计不足以改变他们对业务价值的看法。然而,盯着一个单一的价格目标可能是不明智的,因为共识目标实际上是分析师价格目标的平均值。因此,一些投资者喜欢看看预估区间,看看对该公司的估值是否存在分歧意见。最乐观的CMGE Technology Group分析师的目标价为每股5.56元,而最悲观的分析师认为目标价为2.92元。这是一个相当广泛的估计价差,表明分析师们预测了该业务可能出现的各种结果。
现在看一看更大的图景,我们可以理解这些预测的方法之一是看看它们与过去的业绩和行业增长估计如何比较。从最新的估计中可以清楚地看到,CMGE科技集团的增长速度预计将大幅加快,截至2022年底的年化收入增长预期为29%,明显快于历史上每年10%的增长速度。在过去三年里。相比之下,我们的数据显示,类似行业的其他公司(有分析师覆盖)的收入预计将以每年22%的速度增长。考虑到预期的收入加速增长,很明显,CMGE科技集团的增长速度预计将远远快于其行业。
底线
最重要的是,分析师下调了今年的营收预期。分析师还预计,该公司营收增速将快于大盘。鉴于市场人气的急剧变化,如果投资者在今天之后对CMGE科技集团变得更加谨慎,我们会理解的。
不满意?CMGE科技集团的四位分析师中至少有一位提供了对2024年的预测,这可以在我们的平台上免费看到。
当然,看到公司管理层投资大笔资金投资一只股票,就像知道分析师是否在下调他们的预期一样有用。所以你可能也想搜索一下这个免费内部人士正在买入的股票清单。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
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