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Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Wharf Real Estate Investment Company Limited (HKG:1997)?
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Wharf Real Estate Investment Company Limited (HKG:1997)?
Wharf Real Estate Investment Company Limited (HKG:1997) saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the SEHK. As a large-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company's outlook is already priced into the stock. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Wharf Real Estate Investment's outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.
See our latest analysis for Wharf Real Estate Investment
What Is Wharf Real Estate Investment Worth?
According to my valuation model, Wharf Real Estate Investment seems to be fairly priced at around 8.19% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Wharf Real Estate Investment today, you'd be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth HK$35.08, there's only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that Wharf Real Estate Investment's share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
Can we expect growth from Wharf Real Estate Investment?
SEHK:1997 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 18th 2022Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it's the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of Wharf Real Estate Investment, it is expected to deliver a negative revenue growth of -3.4% over the next couple of years, which doesn't help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? Currently, 1997 appears to be trading around its fair value, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to de-risk your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock beneficial for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping an eye on 1997 for a while, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The price seems to be trading at fair value, which means there's less benefit from mispricing. Furthermore, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven't considered today, which can help crystalize your views on 1997 should the price fluctuate below its true value.
Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with Wharf Real Estate Investment, and understanding this should be part of your investment process.
If you are no longer interested in Wharf Real Estate Investment, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
九龙仓置业股份有限公司(香港:1997年)在联交所的股价在过去两个月录得超过一成的双位数字升幅。作为一只分析师覆盖率很高的大盘股,你可以假设该公司前景最近的任何变化都已经计入了股价。然而,该股目前的交易价格还会相对便宜吗?今天,我将分析有关九龙仓置业前景和估值的最新数据,看看机会是否仍然存在。
参见我们对九龙仓置业的最新分析
九龙仓置业值多少钱?
根据我的估值模型,九龙仓置业的估值似乎比我的内在价值高出8.19%左右,这意味着如果你今天买下九龙仓置业,你会支付一个相对公平的价格。如果你认为这只股票真的值35.08港元,那么当股价跌至其实际价值时,只有微不足道的下跌空间。那么,未来还有机会低接买入吗?鉴于九龙仓置业的股价波动相当大(即相对于市场的其他部分,其价格变动被放大),这可能意味着价格可能会下跌,给我们一个稍后买入的机会。这是基于其较高的贝塔系数,这是一个很好的股价波动指标。
我们能期待九龙仓置业的增长吗?
联交所:1997年盈利及收入增长2022年8月18日寻求投资组合增长的投资者可能希望在购买一家公司的股票之前考虑其前景。尽管价值投资者会争辩说,相对于价格的内在价值才是最重要的,但一个更有说服力的投资命题是以低廉的价格实现高增长潜力。尽管以九龙仓置业为例,预计它在未来几年的营收将出现-3.4%的负增长,这无助于其投资理念的确立。未来不确定性的风险似乎很高,至少在短期内是这样。
这对你意味着什么
你是股东吗?目前,1997年似乎在其公允价值附近交易,但考虑到未来负回报的不确定性,现在可能是降低投资组合风险的合适时机。你目前对这只股票的敞口对你的整个投资组合有利吗?持有一只前景负面的股票的机会成本是否过高?在你对这只股票做出决定之前,先看看它的基本面是否发生了变化。
你是潜在的投资者吗?如果你关注1997年已经有一段时间了,现在可能不是买入的最有利时机,因为它的交易价格在公允价值附近。价格似乎是以公允价值交易的,这意味着错误定价带来的好处较少。此外,负增长前景增加了持有该股的风险。然而,我们今天还没有考虑其他重要的因素,如果价格波动低于其真实价值,这些因素可以帮助你明确你对1997年的看法。
请记住,在分析一只股票时,值得注意其中的风险。在投资风险方面,我们已经确定了1个警告信号与九龙仓置业,并理解这一点应该是你投资过程的一部分。
如果你对九龙仓置业不再感兴趣,你可以使用我们的免费平台查看我们的其他50多只高增长潜力股票的名单。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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