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There's Reason For Concern Over P.B. Group Limited's (HKG:8331) Massive 94% Price Jump
There's Reason For Concern Over P.B. Group Limited's (HKG:8331) Massive 94% Price Jump
P.B. Group Limited (HKG:8331) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 94% share price jump in the last month. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 59% share price drop in the last twelve months.
Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that P.B. Group's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.9x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Hong Kong, where the median P/E ratio is around 9x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at P.B. Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing earnings performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
View our latest analysis for P.B. Group
SEHK:8331 Price Based on Past Earnings July 21st 2022 We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on P.B. Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, P.B. Group would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 1.3%. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 15% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's curious that P.B. Group's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
What We Can Learn From P.B. Group's P/E?
Its shares have lifted substantially and now P.B. Group's P/E is also back up to the market median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of P.B. Group revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for P.B. Group (1 can't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20x).
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
P.B. 集团有限公司 (HKG: 8331) 股东们的耐心得到了回报,上个月股价上涨了94%。尽管如此,30天的上涨并没有改变这样一个事实,即长期股东的股票因过去十二个月中股价下跌59%而大跌。
尽管其价格飙升,但可以毫不夸张地说,与香港市场相比,P.B. Group目前的8.9倍市盈率(或 “市盈率”)似乎是 “中间路线”,那里的市盈率中位数约为9倍。但是,如果市盈率没有合理的基础,投资者可能会忽视明显的机会或潜在的挫折。
举例来说,去年P.B. Group的收益有所恶化,这根本不理想。可能是许多人预计该公司将在未来一段时间内将令人失望的收益表现抛在脑后,这使市盈率没有下降。如果你喜欢这家公司,你至少希望是这样,这样你就有可能在不太受欢迎的时候买入一些股票。
查看我们对P.B. Group的最新分析
SEHK: 8331 基于过去财报的价格 2022 年 7 月 21 日我们没有分析师的预测,但您可以通过查看我们的 SEHK: 8331 来了解最近的趋势如何为公司的未来奠定基础 免费的 P.B. 集团的收益、收入和现金流报告。关于市盈率,增长指标告诉我们什么?
为了证明其市盈率的合理性,P.B. Group需要实现与市场相似的增长。
首先回顾一下,该公司去年的每股收益增长并不令人兴奋,因为该公司公布了令人失望的1.3%的下降。至少每股收益总体上没有比三年前完全倒退,这要归功于早期的增长。因此,在我们看来,在此期间,该公司的收益增长喜忧参半。
权衡最近的中期收益轨迹与整个市场对15%增长的一年预测之间的权衡表明,按年计算,其吸引力明显降低。
有鉴于此,奇怪的是,P.B. Group的市盈率与大多数其他公司持平。看来大多数投资者无视最近相当有限的增长率,愿意为该股的敞口付出代价。维持这些价格将很难实现,因为最近的收益趋势的延续最终可能会压低股价。
我们可以从P.B. Group的市盈率中学到什么?
其股价已大幅上涨,现在P.B. Group的市盈率也回到了市场中位数。通常,在做出投资决策时,我们会告诫不要过多地考虑市盈率,尽管这可以充分揭示其他市场参与者对公司的看法。
我们对P.B. Group的审查显示,其三年收益趋势对其市盈率的影响没有我们预期的那么大,因为它们看起来比当前的市场预期要差。目前,我们对市盈率感到不舒服,因为这种收益表现不太可能长期支持更积极的情绪。如果最近的中期收益趋势持续下去,将使股东的投资面临风险,潜在投资者有支付不必要溢价的危险。
还值得注意的是,我们已经发现 P.B. Group 有 2 个警告信号 (1 不容忽视!)这是你需要考虑的。
重要的是 一定要寻找一家优秀的公司,而不仅仅是你遇到的第一个想法。 所以来看看这个 免费的 近期收益增长强劲(市盈率低于20倍)的有趣公司名单。
对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧? 取得联系 直接和我们联系。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是一般性的。 我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章无意提供财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未将最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简而言之,华尔街对上述任何股票都没有头寸。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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