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7.8% earnings growth over 3 years has not materialized into gains for China Tobacco International (HK) (HKG:6055) shareholders over that period
7.8% earnings growth over 3 years has not materialized into gains for China Tobacco International (HK) (HKG:6055) shareholders over that period
For many investors, the main point of stock picking is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But its virtually certain that sometimes you will buy stocks that fall short of the market average returns. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term China Tobacco International (HK) Company Limited (HKG:6055) shareholders, since the share price is down 40% in the last three years, falling well short of the market decline of around 1.5%. And over the last year the share price fell 29%, so we doubt many shareholders are delighted. Furthermore, it's down 11% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 6.9% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.
If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for China Tobacco International (HK) isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.
See our latest analysis for China Tobacco International (HK)
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, China Tobacco International (HK) actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 25% per year. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.
Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
The modest 1.5% dividend yield is unlikely to be guiding the market view of the stock. We think that the revenue decline over three years, at a rate of 9.1% per year, probably had some shareholders looking to sell. After all, if revenue keeps shrinking, it may be difficult to find earnings growth in the future.
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
SEHK:6055 Earnings and Revenue Growth July 15th 2022We know that China Tobacco International (HK) has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts
A Different Perspective
China Tobacco International (HK) shareholders are down 28% for the year (even including dividends), falling short of the market return. The market shed around 21%, no doubt weighing on the stock price. Shareholders have lost 11% per year over the last three years, so the share price drop has become steeper, over the last year; a potential symptom of as yet unsolved challenges. Although Baron Rothschild famously said to "buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own", he also focusses on high quality stocks with solid prospects. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand China Tobacco International (HK) better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with China Tobacco International (HK) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对于许多投资者来说,选股的主要着眼点是产生高于整体市场的回报。但几乎可以肯定的是,有时你会买入低于市场平均回报率的股票。不幸的是,从长远来看,情况就是这样中国烟草国际(香港)有限公司(HKG:6055)股东,因为股价在过去三年下跌了40%,远低于市场约1.5%的跌幅。去年,该公司股价下跌了29%,因此我们怀疑有多少股东对此感到高兴。此外,它在大约四分之一的时间里下跌了11%。对于持有者来说,这并不是什么乐趣。当然,在此期间,这一股价走势很可能受到了大盘6.9%跌幅的影响。
如果以过去一周为标准,投资者对中国烟草国际(香港)的情绪并不乐观,所以让我们看看基本面和股价之间是否存在错配。
查看我们对中国烟草国际(香港)的最新分析
虽然市场是一种强大的定价机制,但股价反映的是投资者情绪,而不仅仅是潜在的企业表现。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价随时间的变化,我们可以感受到投资者对一家公司的态度随着时间的推移发生了怎样的变化。
在不幸的股价下跌的三年中,中国烟草国际(香港)实际上看到其每股收益(EPS)每年增长25%。这是一个相当令人费解的问题,表明可能有什么因素暂时提振了股价。或者,该公司过去被过度炒作,因此其增长令人失望。
由于每股收益的变化似乎与股价的变化没有相关性,因此值得看看其他指标。
1.5%的适度股息收益率不太可能指导市场对该股的看法。我们认为,收入在三年内以每年9.1%的速度下降,可能是一些股东希望出售。毕竟,如果收入持续萎缩,未来可能很难找到盈利增长的迹象。
您可以在下图中看到收益和收入随时间的变化(单击图表查看确切的值)。
联交所:6055盈利及收入增长2022年7月15日我们知道中国烟草国际(香港)最近提高了利润,但未来会是什么样子?因此,我们建议您查看以下内容免费显示共识预测的报告
不同的视角
中国烟草国际(香港)的股东今年下跌了28%(即使包括股息),低于市场回报。股市下跌了约21%,无疑拖累了股价。股东在过去三年里每年损失11%,因此股价在过去一年里跌幅变得更大;这是尚未解决的挑战的潜在症状。尽管罗斯柴尔德男爵曾说过一句名言:“当街上有血的时候就买进,即使血是你自己的”,但他也专注于前景看好的高质量股票。跟踪股价的长期表现总是很有趣的。但为了更好地了解中国烟草国际(香港),我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,考虑一下无处不在的投资风险幽灵。我们已经确定了两个警告信号与中国烟草国际(香港)合作,了解他们应该是你投资过程的一部分。
如果你像我一样,你会的不想怀念这一切吗?免费内部人士正在收购的成长型公司名单。
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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