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Optimism around CIMC Vehicles (Group) (HKG:1839) delivering new earnings growth may be shrinking as stock declines 6.1% this past week
Optimism around CIMC Vehicles (Group) (HKG:1839) delivering new earnings growth may be shrinking as stock declines 6.1% this past week
It's easy to feel disappointed if you buy a stock that goes down. But sometimes broader market conditions have more of an impact on prices than the actual business performance. The CIMC Vehicles (Group) Co., Ltd. (HKG:1839) is down 25% over a year, but the total shareholder return is -17% once you include the dividend. And that total return actually beats the market decline of 20%. However, the longer term returns haven't been so bad, with the stock down 16% in the last three years.
With the stock having lost 6.1% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.
Check out our latest analysis for CIMC Vehicles (Group)
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
Unfortunately CIMC Vehicles (Group) reported an EPS drop of 37% for the last year. This fall in the EPS is significantly worse than the 25% the share price fall. So despite the weak per-share profits, some investors are probably relieved the situation wasn't more difficult.
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
SEHK:1839 Earnings Per Share Growth July 13th 2022This free interactive report on CIMC Vehicles (Group)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, CIMC Vehicles (Group)'s TSR for the last 1 year was -17%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
A Different Perspective
CIMC Vehicles (Group) shareholders may not have made money over the last year, but their total loss of 17% ( including dividends) isn't as bad as the market loss of around 17%. Shareholders who have held for three years might be relatively sanguine about the recent weakness, given they have made 0.6% per year for three years. Given the three year returns are better than the return over the last year, it might be that the broader market has weighed on the stock recently. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with CIMC Vehicles (Group) (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
如果你买了一只下跌的股票,很容易感到失望。但有时,更广泛的市场状况对价格的影响比实际业务表现更大。这个中集车辆(集团)有限公司(HKG:1839)一年来下跌了25%,但如果计入股息,总股东回报率为-17%。这一总回报率实际上超过了20%的市场跌幅。然而,长期回报并没有那么糟糕,该股在过去三年里下跌了16%。
鉴于该公司股价在过去一周下跌了6.1%,我们有必要看看公司的业绩,看看是否有任何危险信号。
查看我们对中集车辆(集团)的最新分析
在他的文章中格雷厄姆和多德斯维尔的超级投资者沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价并不总是理性地反映一家企业的价值。考察市场情绪如何随时间变化的一种方法是观察一家公司的股价和每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。
不幸的是,中集车辆(集团)去年的每股收益下降了37%。每股收益的这次下跌比股价下跌25%的情况要糟糕得多。因此,尽管每股利润疲软,但一些投资者可能会松一口气,因为情况并没有变得更困难。
下图描述了EPS是如何随着时间的推移而变化的(通过单击图像来揭示确切的值)。
联交所:1839 2022年7月13日每股收益增长这免费如果你想进一步调查中集集团的股票,那么关于中集车辆(集团)的收益、收入和现金流的互动报告是一个很好的起点。
那股息呢?
在考察投资回报时,重要的是要考虑到股东总回报(TSR)和股价回报。虽然股价回报只反映股价的变动,但TSR包括股息的价值(假设股息再投资),以及任何折价集资或分拆所带来的利益。可以说,TSR更全面地描绘了一只股票产生的回报。碰巧,中集车辆(集团)最近一年的TSR为-17%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。公司支付的股息因此提振了总计股东回报。
不同的视角
中集车辆(集团)的股东在过去一年里可能没有赚到钱,但他们17%的总亏损(包括股息)没有市场亏损17%左右那么糟糕。持股三年的股东可能对最近的疲软相对乐观,因为他们连续三年的年回报率为0.6%。鉴于三年的回报好于过去一年的回报,可能是大盘最近令该股承压。我发现,把股价作为衡量企业业绩的长期指标是非常有趣的。但为了真正获得洞察力,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,考虑一下无处不在的投资风险幽灵。我们已经确定了两个警告信号与中集车辆(集团)合作(至少1个,这有点令人不快),了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。
对于那些想要找到赢得投资这免费最近有内幕收购的不断增长的公司名单可能就是合适的选择。
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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