Translated
vectorjohn
commented on
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$ADA/SGD (ADASGD.CC)$ dont pretend dog shit go down
vectorjohn
voted
$Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$ In the past ten days, it has corrected by nearly 15% from its peak.
In fact, on October 21, I issued a warning—both BTC and the broader market face correction risks. Particularly for BTC, if it falls near 98,000, I will pay close attention.
I didn’t expect that this time,Bitcoin in the '90,000 range'arrived much faster than anticipated.
Let’s first review my own trading rhythm:
✅ October 21: Posting a reminder that both BTC and the broader market face high-position risks ->Were you frightened by the last Black Friday?
✅ October 28: I liquidated all my BTC spot positions + long call options
✅ Outcome: BTC subsequently fell by nearly 15%, successfully avoiding this round of correction
Of course, at the time, I also highlighted the risks in the broader market, but the reality is ——
The broader market did not retreat as expected; instead, it continued to rally strongly.
Without a god's-eye view, all judgments are merely about balancing risk and reward, not predicting the future.
Back to the topic: Why did I decide to fully exit BTC at that time?
In short, there were only two core reasons:
① The relative performance of BTC has clearly weakened.
If you were observing both the broader market (e.g., Nasdaq, SPX) and BTC at the time, you would notice an evident divergence in strength, with bullish momentum waning and successive highs trending lower.
⸻
② Regression Trend — The market always returns to its trajectory.
This round of BTC's rally, starting from 2024, has been following a 'wide channel':
Every time...
In fact, on October 21, I issued a warning—both BTC and the broader market face correction risks. Particularly for BTC, if it falls near 98,000, I will pay close attention.
I didn’t expect that this time,Bitcoin in the '90,000 range'arrived much faster than anticipated.
Let’s first review my own trading rhythm:
✅ October 21: Posting a reminder that both BTC and the broader market face high-position risks ->Were you frightened by the last Black Friday?
✅ October 28: I liquidated all my BTC spot positions + long call options
✅ Outcome: BTC subsequently fell by nearly 15%, successfully avoiding this round of correction
Of course, at the time, I also highlighted the risks in the broader market, but the reality is ——
The broader market did not retreat as expected; instead, it continued to rally strongly.
Without a god's-eye view, all judgments are merely about balancing risk and reward, not predicting the future.
Back to the topic: Why did I decide to fully exit BTC at that time?
In short, there were only two core reasons:
① The relative performance of BTC has clearly weakened.
If you were observing both the broader market (e.g., Nasdaq, SPX) and BTC at the time, you would notice an evident divergence in strength, with bullish momentum waning and successive highs trending lower.
⸻
② Regression Trend — The market always returns to its trajectory.
This round of BTC's rally, starting from 2024, has been following a 'wide channel':
Every time...
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$Cardano (ADA.CC)$ long long ago i told dog shit
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$Cardano (ADA.CC)$ i told 30cemt long long ago
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vectorjohn
commented on
$Cardano (ADA.CC)$ what to do,hold it lorh,too bad my average is 0.8lol,delete the app,come back few weeks later hahahah ![]()
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vectorjohn
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