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vchong888 Male ID: 105336580
Self professed US Options trader
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    Is trading a solo grind, or are you constantly leveling up your game?
    Your Trading Badge isn’t just a shiny little icon on your profile—it’s a badge of honor. It’s proof that you’ve survived the bear markets, surfed the bull runs, leveled up your market mindset, and dialed in your trading discipline.
    During our recent [Share Your Stock Trading Badge] challenge, the community absolutely snapped! We were blown away not just...
    From Bronze to Boss: 10 Real Traders Share Their Journey to the Top Badges
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    vchong888 reacted to
    On last night’s Q1 earnings call, Futu Chairman and CEO Hua Li delivered remarks spanning one page—yet not a single word mentioned the RMB 1.85 billion penalty.
    Instead, he spoke about Malaysia’s new IPO subscription window, Japan’s options trading volume doubling, Singapore’s assets growing at an annualized rate exceeding 50% over three years, and progress on securing a prediction market license in the U.S.
    That penalty hung like an elephant in the room, silently drawing everyone’s attention. Yet Hua Li pulled out a world map, shifting focus to multiple markets thousands of kilometers away—
    There, real-time Korean stock quotes had just gone live, Korean equity trading functionality was set to launch in June, and the Malaysian business was racing toward breakeven.
    In the face of controversy, such silence itself was an answer:
    Futu has already begun placing its pieces on an entirely different board.
    A RMB 34 trillion blue ocean—and Futu has only just left port.
    Many concerns about Futu stem from a common assumption: that the Hong Kong and Singapore markets are already saturated.
    The data provides an answer that is precisely the opposite.
    According to publicly available data from the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong and the Monetary Authority of Singapore, by the end of 2024, the assets under management in wealth management in Hong Kong and Singapore exceeded HK$35 trillion and HK$34 trillion, respectively.
    As of Q1 2026, Futu Group’s total client assets stood at HK$1.22 trillion.
    HK$34 trillion versus HK$1.22 trillion—this is far from hitting a ceiling; it’s only just left port.
    Even in the Hong Kong market, where Futu has operated for over a decade, its penetration rate remains at...
    Translated
    During Futu's Q1 earnings call, Hua Li pulled out a world map
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    vchong888 commented on
    Over the past week, the Hong Kong stock market delivered a textbook example of market rhythm—'from extreme anomaly to a desperate rebound.' Retail investor sentiment was pushed to freezing point, while historical data once again served as a crisis compass amid turbulent times.
    Friday (May 29), the final trading day of May, saw the Hang Seng Index close at 25,182, up 176 points. Compared to Thursday’s (May 28) settlement-day low of 24,727, the index rebounded by over 400 points from its intraday trough. Friday’s overnight futures also continued to rise slightly, finally breaking the '9 down days in 10' curse. However, for the full week, the Hang Seng Index still declined by more than 400 points, marking its third consecutive weekly bearish candle.
    1. The '9 Down Days in 10' Pattern in HK Stocks and the Settlement-Day Turning Point
    Since May 14, $BABA-W (09988.HK)$ And, $TENCENT (00700.HK)$ when the company announced earnings and the market opened over 400 points higher, initial excitement quickly faded as Hong Kong stocks sharply reversed course. What followed felt like a curse: over the next 10 trading days, the market posted bearish candles on nine of them, with cumulative losses exceeding 2,000 points at the worst point.
    While a 2,000-point drop is historically modest, what shocked investors was how completely the Hong Kong market ignored strong external tailwinds—particularly the record-breaking rallies in U.S. and Asia-Pacific equities. This extreme underperformance fueled widespread disappointment. The sharp decoupling triggered overwhelmingly pessimistic and despairing sentiment online, especially when the index broke below the 25,000 mark on settlement day...
    Translated
    Review and Outlook of Hong Kong Stock Market Trading (May 25 – May 29)
    Review and Outlook of Hong Kong Stock Market Trading (May 25 – May 29)
    Review and Outlook of Hong Kong Stock Market Trading (May 25 – May 29)
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    Xiaomi Group-W is currently trading at 31.120 yuan, slightly above the 20-day line at 31.061 and the 10-day line at 30.594, showing initial signs of stabilization in the short term. However, the current price remains below the 30-day line at 31.457 and the upper Bollinger Band at 32.668, indicating that the stock is merely experiencing a slight improvement in a low-level rebound, not yet truly strengthening. To confirm a sustained uptrend, it needs to first stabilize above 31.061, then break through the 31.457 to 32.668 range.
    Investor comments reflect mixed market sentiment. On one hand, some believe there is still room for growth, even targeting 35, 40, or 45 yuan, while others think it could rise directly, showing that some funds still believe in Xiaomi's medium-term story. On the other hand, some investors feel the trend is weak, with single-day gains unable to hold, and warn against chasing highs, indicating that confidence in short-term buying has not fully recovered.
    Common market questions focus on three points: First, whether the price can stabilize around 31 yuan; second, whether 31.5 yuan is a short-term peak; third, whether mobile and automotive businesses will support a higher valuation. Technically, 31.061 yuan is the short-term inflection point, 31.457 yuan approaches the next resistance zone, and 32.668 yuan represents a more significant breakout level. If it fails to break through 32.668, the target of above 35 yuan remains a more aggressive expectation.
    In terms of trading volume, although some investors are paying attention to changes in volume, current technical analysis shows that the latest trading volume bar has contracted compared to earlier, coupled with a small rebound in stock price, suggesting that the rebound momentum is not strong. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approximately...
    Translated
    In the trading arena, I don't blindly believe in 'only buying the strongest.' Sometimes, running a dual strategy of 'chasing breakouts' and 'betting on rebounds' can actually expand profit potential.
    1. $BIDU-SW (09888.HK)$ : A textbook example of 'flat-top breakout'
    At the beginning of this week, Baidu was undoubtedly the strongest component stock in the tech index, positioned above all moving averages. As early as early April, when the share price was below 108 yuan, I had already set up my position. Later, during the upward fluctuations, I reduced most of my holdings. However, on Wednesday (5/6), when Baidu's share price broke through the key flat-top level of 126 yuan, I added to my Long Call.
    Why dare to add positions at the breakout point? This is a typical 'flat-top breakout.' Compared to a gap-up, which easily triggers a bearish candle pullback, Baidu broke through with a 'bullish candle body' that day, indicating a higher success rate.
    Yesterday, I predicted the first target price would be 143 yuan. Today, it temporarily reached a high of 142.9 yuan, just one tick away from the target.
    2. $KUAISHOU-W (01024.HK)$ : The 'weakest counterattack' where deep declines turn into advantages
    In contrast to Baidu, Kuaishou is one of the weakest members of the tech index, constrained below all moving averages. However, after the share price bottomed out at 42 yuan at the end of April and stabilized, it showed signs of small bullish candles for several consecutive days, gradually outperforming or catching up.
    Since Kuaishou has experienced a prolonged slow decline, its option implied volatility (IV) is extremely low, making it suitable for a Long Call bet. I began setting up positions on Monday and Tuesday...
    Translated
    Strongest vs. Weakest: The Trading Logic of Baidu and Kuaishou
    Strongest vs. Weakest: The Trading Logic of Baidu and Kuaishou
    Strongest vs. Weakest: The Trading Logic of Baidu and Kuaishou
    $AAX (5238.MY)$ Yes broken 50k on just 2 months
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