Short-term volatility? Just background noise. Here’s where the real money’s made.
1. AI & Jobs: The “Doom and Gloom” Is Overrated
– Reality check: AI isn’t stealing jobs yet. The job market’s still solid, and capex spending (think $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ , $Alphabet-A (GOOGL.US)$ building DCs) will keep demand high for the next 3-5 years.
– Long-term logic: AI’s impact will hit in 5+ years, but by then, the companies leading the charge (not ju...
1. AI & Jobs: The “Doom and Gloom” Is Overrated
– Reality check: AI isn’t stealing jobs yet. The job market’s still solid, and capex spending (think $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ , $Alphabet-A (GOOGL.US)$ building DCs) will keep demand high for the next 3-5 years.
– Long-term logic: AI’s impact will hit in 5+ years, but by then, the companies leading the charge (not ju...
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$Alphabet-A (GOOGL.US)$
The market is in a "prove-it" phase for AI: can it deliver real cash flow, or will it remain a capital-devouring black hole?
The Hard Truth About AI Spending
– Google’s 2026 Capex: $180B (double 2025’s spend) → Higher depreciation + energy costs will squeeze margins.
◦ Example: Google Cloud’s AI-driven revenue must offset server折旧 (depreciation) and soaring electricity bills to turn profitable.
– Morgan Stanley’s Toby...
The market is in a "prove-it" phase for AI: can it deliver real cash flow, or will it remain a capital-devouring black hole?
The Hard Truth About AI Spending
– Google’s 2026 Capex: $180B (double 2025’s spend) → Higher depreciation + energy costs will squeeze margins.
◦ Example: Google Cloud’s AI-driven revenue must offset server折旧 (depreciation) and soaring electricity bills to turn profitable.
– Morgan Stanley’s Toby...
Trade_Long
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From Citi Field to the New York Stock Exchange, I, Neil McDonald, CEO of moomoo US, hosted Mark Douglas, CEO of Mountain, for a wide-ranging conversation on what’s really driving today’s markets.
Douglas, who took Mountain public in 2025, reflected on the realities of leading a newly public company, from spending more time with investors to continuously explaining the growth story in a public-market env...
Douglas, who took Mountain public in 2025, reflected on the realities of leading a newly public company, from spending more time with investors to continuously explaining the growth story in a public-market env...

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The Morgan Stanley Downgrade: Short-Term Noise or Long-Term Signal?![]()
$Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ removed as a “Top Pick” by Morgan Stanley after earnings-driven dip.
Key takeaway: Even industry leaders face volatility when priced for perfection.
But: ABC corrections (technical patterns) could signal a buying opportunity when the real AI boom accelerates. 🚀
Why Earnings “Beat” Still Spooked Markets: The $281B OpenAI Question
$MSFT reported strong r...
$Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ removed as a “Top Pick” by Morgan Stanley after earnings-driven dip.
Key takeaway: Even industry leaders face volatility when priced for perfection.
But: ABC corrections (technical patterns) could signal a buying opportunity when the real AI boom accelerates. 🚀
Why Earnings “Beat” Still Spooked Markets: The $281B OpenAI Question
$MSFT reported strong r...
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$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ $SanDisk (SNDK.US)$
The past 3 weeks weren’t a “storage cycle bounce”—they were the market waking up to AI’s new hardware reality.
The 3 Catalysts That Changed Everything:
1️⃣ Nvidia’s ICMS Architecture:
Context (not compute) is the new bottleneck.
DGX Vera Rubin SuperPOD adds dedicated NAND storage racks (1.2PB per NVL72).
2027 estimate: 120EB of new NAND demand from AI infrastructure alone.
2️⃣ DeepSeek Engram’...
The past 3 weeks weren’t a “storage cycle bounce”—they were the market waking up to AI’s new hardware reality.
The 3 Catalysts That Changed Everything:
1️⃣ Nvidia’s ICMS Architecture:
Context (not compute) is the new bottleneck.
DGX Vera Rubin SuperPOD adds dedicated NAND storage racks (1.2PB per NVL72).
2027 estimate: 120EB of new NAND demand from AI infrastructure alone.
2️⃣ DeepSeek Engram’...
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$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$![]()
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Nvidia’s building a closed loop in healthcare AI: from chips to tools to models, creating a "dry lab → wet lab" flywheel.
AI adoption in healthcare is 3x faster than in the broader economy, and Nvidia’s at the forefront with its "full-stack" approach.
This means Nvidia’s not just selling chips; it’s providing end-to-end solutions for healthcare AI.
The long-term thesis remains intact: AI in h...
Nvidia’s building a closed loop in healthcare AI: from chips to tools to models, creating a "dry lab → wet lab" flywheel.
AI adoption in healthcare is 3x faster than in the broader economy, and Nvidia’s at the forefront with its "full-stack" approach.
This means Nvidia’s not just selling chips; it’s providing end-to-end solutions for healthcare AI.
The long-term thesis remains intact: AI in h...
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Trump wants tech giants to foot the bill for data center electricity. $Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ said, "Fine." But will higher costs squeeze margins? Short-term: Probably not—Microsoft's gross margins are around 68%. Long-term: If power costs surge, tech may pass costs to consumers (cloud pricing hikes?) or invest in AI-driven energy efficiency to offset them.
Power companies go from boring dividends → critical infrastructure for AI.
Who wins:
...
Power companies go from boring dividends → critical infrastructure for AI.
Who wins:
...
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Remember when semicap stocks trading at 20x earnings felt like a stretch? Now, the average semicap company is valued at 20x EBITDA. Sure, some commodity-focused data center players have lagged, but the top names are seeing multiples explode—and for good reason.
This isn’t about a sudden revenue surge. It’s about multiples expanding as forward estimates climb. Stocks trade on expectations, and with memory prices soaring (DRAM up 30% this quart...
This isn’t about a sudden revenue surge. It’s about multiples expanding as forward estimates climb. Stocks trade on expectations, and with memory prices soaring (DRAM up 30% this quart...
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Trade_Long
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Columns Big Orange 2025 Trading Recap
In 2025, the core of my trading revolves around one thing:Exchanging uncertainty for certainty that I am willing to hold long-term.
1️⃣ Aster → BTCAfter holding Aster for over three years, I cashed out at its peak this year and simultaneously converted into Bitcoin (BTC). The exchange rate between Aster/BTC did not yield much profit.
2️⃣ ETH: Executing predetermined plans early using optionsI had previously established a clear plan:If Ethereum reaches $5,000, I will liquidate a spot position of 2,000 ETH.Therefore, inIn August, ETH surged to over 4500 , instead of waiting for the spot price to hit 5000, I chose to short 2000 ETH 5000 Calls (expiring on 12.26), collecting a one-time premium of $1.38 million in option premiums. This was not betting on a peak, but rather executing my original plan to sell ETH at 5000 by using an options structure to realize profits earlier。
3️⃣ Transferred $1.5 million into and participated in US stocks for the first timeusing $120k of personal funds + $1.38 million in premiums, making up 1.5 million USD invested in US stocks: Robinhood, Tesla (three-year out-of-the-money 20% call options) + Cango spot.
Real-time trading record:
I exchanged the rights to Ethereum's rise over the next four months for the rights to Robinhood and Tesla’s rise over the next three years.
Partially cashed out, continuing to roll overClosed out Hood by the end of October...
1️⃣ Aster → BTCAfter holding Aster for over three years, I cashed out at its peak this year and simultaneously converted into Bitcoin (BTC). The exchange rate between Aster/BTC did not yield much profit.
2️⃣ ETH: Executing predetermined plans early using optionsI had previously established a clear plan:If Ethereum reaches $5,000, I will liquidate a spot position of 2,000 ETH.Therefore, inIn August, ETH surged to over 4500 , instead of waiting for the spot price to hit 5000, I chose to short 2000 ETH 5000 Calls (expiring on 12.26), collecting a one-time premium of $1.38 million in option premiums. This was not betting on a peak, but rather executing my original plan to sell ETH at 5000 by using an options structure to realize profits earlier。
3️⃣ Transferred $1.5 million into and participated in US stocks for the first timeusing $120k of personal funds + $1.38 million in premiums, making up 1.5 million USD invested in US stocks: Robinhood, Tesla (three-year out-of-the-money 20% call options) + Cango spot.
Real-time trading record:
I exchanged the rights to Ethereum's rise over the next four months for the rights to Robinhood and Tesla’s rise over the next three years.
Partially cashed out, continuing to roll overClosed out Hood by the end of October...
Translated
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#Moo #Bull #Cowjumpoverthemoon
Moo Moo Moo Moo~
In the secret land of the Moo Moo Farm lies great treasure. Our fellow cow brothers slew all bears invading our sacred land.
We never sold our precious treasure. Bought them low when the bears think they are trash. Have conviction in good profitable companies, buy them when they are cheap. Plant your seeds and watch your crops grow. The grass is not greener on the other side.
Our treasures are kept in $Futu Holdings Ltd (FUTU.US)$
Let's cha...
Moo Moo Moo Moo~
In the secret land of the Moo Moo Farm lies great treasure. Our fellow cow brothers slew all bears invading our sacred land.
We never sold our precious treasure. Bought them low when the bears think they are trash. Have conviction in good profitable companies, buy them when they are cheap. Plant your seeds and watch your crops grow. The grass is not greener on the other side.
Our treasures are kept in $Futu Holdings Ltd (FUTU.US)$
Let's cha...
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