Tiptopptrader
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Tiptopptrader
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$Tesla(TSLA.US$ Quick summary:
- Elon announced an affordable model by early 2025 (possibly end 2024).
- Q1 profit, revenue, and margins drop way below forecasts.
- Global vehicle inventory increases to 28 days (from 15 days).
- TSLA rallied upon optimism on new models, despite an underwhelming quarter.
Tesla recently reported a significant 55% drop in Q1 profits and a 9% decline in revenue, and it caused mixed emotions within investors. However, during the earnin...
- Elon announced an affordable model by early 2025 (possibly end 2024).
- Q1 profit, revenue, and margins drop way below forecasts.
- Global vehicle inventory increases to 28 days (from 15 days).
- TSLA rallied upon optimism on new models, despite an underwhelming quarter.
Tesla recently reported a significant 55% drop in Q1 profits and a 9% decline in revenue, and it caused mixed emotions within investors. However, during the earnin...
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Tiptopptrader
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For the first three months of 2024, the consumer price index was 3.6%, slowing from the 4.1% annual pace in the December quarter as released by the ABS this morning. However, this is slightly higher than economists had tipped, indicating CPI would drop to 3.5%.
The March quarterly inflation rate was 1%, compared with the 0.6% pace in the December quarter, which was around 0.2 more than anticipated.
The March quarterly inflation rate was 1%, compared with the 0.6% pace in the December quarter, which was around 0.2 more than anticipated.
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Tiptopptrader
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They finally touched the 50MA after wedging up for a month. I don’t have a crystal ball whether this time just a pull back or correction. Mid-term picture they are still holding up 50MA, however with an individual stock price action, i am holding large amount of cash and wait for new setup.
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$FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI Index(.KLSE.MY$
My strategy 登录或注册即可查看
$FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI Index(.KLSE.MY$
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Tiptopptrader
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Well, today sharing gonna be longer than usual. I want to identify the relationship between geopolitical tension, international crude oil prices and Malaysia oil & gas stocks: Are they correlated?
I will analyse from $Crude Oil Futures(JUN4)(CLmain.US$ WTI chart, zoom into Malaysia oil & gas sector $Oil & Gas(BK9052.MY$ , then further into individual oil & gas stock like $YINSON(7293.MY$
Background
Heightened geopolitical tension between Is...
I will analyse from $Crude Oil Futures(JUN4)(CLmain.US$ WTI chart, zoom into Malaysia oil & gas sector $Oil & Gas(BK9052.MY$ , then further into individual oil & gas stock like $YINSON(7293.MY$
Background
Heightened geopolitical tension between Is...
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Tiptopptrader
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Tiptopptrader
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$Moderna(MRNA.US$ shares are falling today as investors react to a delayed timeline for the company COVID-19 shot targeted at adolescents.
On Sunday, Massachusetts-based biotech said that the FDA is unlikely to complete its review on the vaccine for use in those aged 12 – 17 years.
Until that evaluation is complete, the company said it would not file an FDA submission seeking its clearance for use in the 6 – 11-year age group.
Jeff Zients, President Biden’s Covid-19 response coordinator, and CDC Director, Rochelle Walensky, brushed off its impact on the anticipated rollout of $Pfizer(PFE.US$ / $BioNTech(BNTX.US$ COVID-19 shot for kids aged 5 – 11 years.
“There’s plenty of supply of Pfizer vaccine, and we look forward to parents having the opportunity to vaccinate their kids,” Bloomberg quoted Zients as saying.
However, the twin setbacks have hurt Moderna, with shares recording the biggest intraday decline since Oct. 22.
Yet, as the following graph indicates, the stock has added over 200% since the start of the year.
On Sunday, Massachusetts-based biotech said that the FDA is unlikely to complete its review on the vaccine for use in those aged 12 – 17 years.
Until that evaluation is complete, the company said it would not file an FDA submission seeking its clearance for use in the 6 – 11-year age group.
Jeff Zients, President Biden’s Covid-19 response coordinator, and CDC Director, Rochelle Walensky, brushed off its impact on the anticipated rollout of $Pfizer(PFE.US$ / $BioNTech(BNTX.US$ COVID-19 shot for kids aged 5 – 11 years.
“There’s plenty of supply of Pfizer vaccine, and we look forward to parents having the opportunity to vaccinate their kids,” Bloomberg quoted Zients as saying.
However, the twin setbacks have hurt Moderna, with shares recording the biggest intraday decline since Oct. 22.
Yet, as the following graph indicates, the stock has added over 200% since the start of the year.
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Tiptopptrader
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ColumnsAMD stock's expected returns
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD.US$ Since AMD's expected return is equivalent to ~15%, it is only a modest buy at the current price. However, buying AMD via Xilinx could improve future returns, making it a worthy option. We will discuss this merger arbitrage play in just a moment, but before we do so, let's discuss something critical to our valuation.
The growth assumption of 15% CAGR from a base of $24B implies a 2031 revenue figure of $100B. If AMD fails to win a monopolistic market share (comparable to Intel's past dominance) over the next decade, these revenue growth targets may not be achieved. We must be cognizant of the fact that AMD is up against the likes of $NVIDIA(NVDA.US$ , $Apple(AAPL.US$ , $Intel(INTC.US$ , ARM-based chip makers, and all other big-tech companies making their own chips in-house. Now, let's take a look at consensus analyst estimates for AMD's revenue growth rates:
As you can see, AMD's growth rate is expected to decelerate significantly over the coming years. Now, I understand that Wall Street analysts are wrong most of the time, and I can envision a world where AMD does $100B in revenue every year. However, I don't think we have an ample margin of safety while investing in AMD due to aggressive growth projections priced into its stock.
With the acquisition of Xilinx, AMD is expanding its total addressable market from ~80B to ~$110B. Currently, AMD's product portfolio is not as broad as Intel and Nvidia (AMD project's data center TAM for its products at just $45B, Intel and Nvidia have data center TAM's of ~$230B); however, this should be viewed as an opportunity for growth. With that being said, AMD's 3rd Gen EPYC processors (the fastest x86 server CPUs) are winning market share in the data center (still heavily dominated by Intel), and the company has a strong product roadmap for further enhancing its presence in high-performance computing, AI, and data center markets.
With the impending 2022 launches of Zen4 powered EPYC CPU processors and CDNA2-powered GPUs, AMD is set to maintain its product leadership over Intel, and capture more market share in the data center in 2022 and beyond. As we know, Intel is struggling with its manufacturing process, and a move to outsource advanced node manufacturing (to $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US$ for Ponte Vecchio and a few other upcoming Intel products) is not enough to stop AMD's higher-performing, less power consuming products from winning market share (at least in the medium term). Hence, AMD can deliver another spectacular year of sales growth in 2022 (far better than what analyst estimates suggest).
After years of solid execution, AMD has regained customer trust in the data center markets as evidenced by its recent partnerships with some of the largest cloud providers in the world. Under the exemplary leadership of Dr. Lisa Su, AMD can become a true heavyweight in the burgeoning semiconductor industry over the next decade and beyond.
The growth assumption of 15% CAGR from a base of $24B implies a 2031 revenue figure of $100B. If AMD fails to win a monopolistic market share (comparable to Intel's past dominance) over the next decade, these revenue growth targets may not be achieved. We must be cognizant of the fact that AMD is up against the likes of $NVIDIA(NVDA.US$ , $Apple(AAPL.US$ , $Intel(INTC.US$ , ARM-based chip makers, and all other big-tech companies making their own chips in-house. Now, let's take a look at consensus analyst estimates for AMD's revenue growth rates:
As you can see, AMD's growth rate is expected to decelerate significantly over the coming years. Now, I understand that Wall Street analysts are wrong most of the time, and I can envision a world where AMD does $100B in revenue every year. However, I don't think we have an ample margin of safety while investing in AMD due to aggressive growth projections priced into its stock.
With the acquisition of Xilinx, AMD is expanding its total addressable market from ~80B to ~$110B. Currently, AMD's product portfolio is not as broad as Intel and Nvidia (AMD project's data center TAM for its products at just $45B, Intel and Nvidia have data center TAM's of ~$230B); however, this should be viewed as an opportunity for growth. With that being said, AMD's 3rd Gen EPYC processors (the fastest x86 server CPUs) are winning market share in the data center (still heavily dominated by Intel), and the company has a strong product roadmap for further enhancing its presence in high-performance computing, AI, and data center markets.
With the impending 2022 launches of Zen4 powered EPYC CPU processors and CDNA2-powered GPUs, AMD is set to maintain its product leadership over Intel, and capture more market share in the data center in 2022 and beyond. As we know, Intel is struggling with its manufacturing process, and a move to outsource advanced node manufacturing (to $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US$ for Ponte Vecchio and a few other upcoming Intel products) is not enough to stop AMD's higher-performing, less power consuming products from winning market share (at least in the medium term). Hence, AMD can deliver another spectacular year of sales growth in 2022 (far better than what analyst estimates suggest).
After years of solid execution, AMD has regained customer trust in the data center markets as evidenced by its recent partnerships with some of the largest cloud providers in the world. Under the exemplary leadership of Dr. Lisa Su, AMD can become a true heavyweight in the burgeoning semiconductor industry over the next decade and beyond.
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