The Long Game
commented on
💡 When AI Chips Come With Stock Options
$Meta Platforms (META.US)$ t signed a massive AI chip deal with $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$
Tens of billions. Big headlines. Big hype.
But here is the interesting part.
AMD is giving Meta warrants.
Rights to buy AMD shares cheaply if targets are met.
So this is not just a chip deal.
It is chips plus equity.
That should make investors pause.
Because when customers need stock upside to commit, it raises a question.
Is this pure demand?
Or demand w...
$Meta Platforms (META.US)$ t signed a massive AI chip deal with $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$
Tens of billions. Big headlines. Big hype.
But here is the interesting part.
AMD is giving Meta warrants.
Rights to buy AMD shares cheaply if targets are met.
So this is not just a chip deal.
It is chips plus equity.
That should make investors pause.
Because when customers need stock upside to commit, it raises a question.
Is this pure demand?
Or demand w...
5
The Long Game
voted
The Dow-30, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rose Tuesday as AMD soared on a chip deal with Meta, while techs like Salesforce and IBM stabilized as investors decided a Monday sell-off linked to AI-disruption fears went too far.
The $Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$ gained 236.41 points (1.1%) to a 22,863.68 close, while the $Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)$ added 370.44 ticks (0.8%) to 49,174.50 and the...
The $Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$ gained 236.41 points (1.1%) to a 22,863.68 close, while the $Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)$ added 370.44 ticks (0.8%) to 49,174.50 and the...
25
5
6
The Long Game
commented on
$Meta Platforms (META.US)$ signed a massive AI chip deal with $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ .
Tens of billions. Big headlines. Big hype.
But here is the interesting part.
AMD is giving Meta warrants.
Rights to buy AMD shares cheaply if targets are met.
So this is not just a chip deal.
It is chips plus equity.
That should make investors pause.
Because when customers need stock upside to commit, it raises a question.
Is this pure demand?
Or demand with i...
Tens of billions. Big headlines. Big hype.
But here is the interesting part.
AMD is giving Meta warrants.
Rights to buy AMD shares cheaply if targets are met.
So this is not just a chip deal.
It is chips plus equity.
That should make investors pause.
Because when customers need stock upside to commit, it raises a question.
Is this pure demand?
Or demand with i...
5
$Perion Network (PERI.US)$ Q4/FY25 Earnings: “New Perion” is an AI execution + margin story (with real numbers)
Just listened to PERI’s Q4/FY25 call. Management basically framed 2025 as “Year 1” of a reset and rebrand into Perion One + Outmax (agentic AI execution layer).
🔑 What stood out (hard metrics)
• Q4 revenue: $137.1M (+6% YoY)
• Q4 contribution ex-TAC: $65.2M (+19% YoY) → margin 48% (vs 42% LY)
• Q4 adj. EBITDA: $24.3M (+53% YoY) → 37% of e...
Just listened to PERI’s Q4/FY25 call. Management basically framed 2025 as “Year 1” of a reset and rebrand into Perion One + Outmax (agentic AI execution layer).
🔑 What stood out (hard metrics)
• Q4 revenue: $137.1M (+6% YoY)
• Q4 contribution ex-TAC: $65.2M (+19% YoY) → margin 48% (vs 42% LY)
• Q4 adj. EBITDA: $24.3M (+53% YoY) → 37% of e...
1
The Long Game
voted
Columns Wall Street Today: DJIA, S&P 500, Nasdaq Comp Rise as AAPL, AMZN Gains Beat WMT, CRM, CRWV Losses
The S&P 500, Dow-30 and Nasdaq Composite rose slightly Tuesday as gains for big caps like Apple, Amazon and American Express outshined losses by Walmart, Salesforce, CoreWeave and other large stocks.
The $Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$ rose 31.71 points (0.14%) to a 22,578.38 close, while the $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ added 7.05 ticks (0.1%) to 6,843.22 and the $Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)$ tacked on...
The $Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$ rose 31.71 points (0.14%) to a 22,578.38 close, while the $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ added 7.05 ticks (0.1%) to 6,843.22 and the $Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)$ tacked on...
19
4
2
The Long Game
reacted to
$Duolingo (DUOL.US)$ hi universe can you make this green bird fly back up 500
8
The Long Game
liked
$Duolingo (DUOL.US)$ trust me 200 all the way
11
6
$Global Payments (GPN.US)$ has been beaten down, battered, and bruised. But are we looking at a "Value Trap" or the setup for a massive reversal? 🤔 Let’s break down the charts and the fundamentals.
👀 TL;DR (Too Long; Didn't Read)
– The Setup: GPN is pivoting to become a "Pure Play" merchant giant by buying Worldpay.
– The Valuation: Trading at ~7x EV/EBITDA. That is historically CHEAP. 📉
– The Alpha: They are printing cash. 108% Free Cash Flow...
👀 TL;DR (Too Long; Didn't Read)
– The Setup: GPN is pivoting to become a "Pure Play" merchant giant by buying Worldpay.
– The Valuation: Trading at ~7x EV/EBITDA. That is historically CHEAP. 📉
– The Alpha: They are printing cash. 108% Free Cash Flow...
The Long Game
commented on
The Signal: $JD.com (JD.US)$ is putting on a masterclass in financial engineering while the market sleeps.
The Action: They aggressively retired ~6.3% of the total float in 2025, cancelling $3B worth of shares.
The Rumor: Simultaneously, they are weighing a 10 billion yuan "Dim Sum" bond issuance at historically low rates (~3.8%).
The Math: They are effectively borrowing at ~3.8% to repurchase stock with an earnings yield of ~10%—a textbook value arbitrage.
...
The Action: They aggressively retired ~6.3% of the total float in 2025, cancelling $3B worth of shares.
The Rumor: Simultaneously, they are weighing a 10 billion yuan "Dim Sum" bond issuance at historically low rates (~3.8%).
The Math: They are effectively borrowing at ~3.8% to repurchase stock with an earnings yield of ~10%—a textbook value arbitrage.
...
5
2
![[empty]](https://static.moomoo.com/node_futunn_nnq/assets/images/folder.5c37692712.png)
![[error]](https://static.moomoo.com/node_futunn_nnq/assets/images/no-network.991ae8055c.png)
![[loading]](data:image/svg+xml;base64,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)
The Long Game OP Damascus steel : Possibly. But today, investors fund the risk, while employees collect the upside first. The partnership still has to prove it can deliver returns.
The Long Game OP Damascus steel : It is not speculation. When outcomes are “mysterious”, risk is high. Capital should go to clearer, lower-risk opportunities. If one wants to speculate, there is always a casino. Shareholders deserve discipline and be treated fairly.