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$Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$ $HSI Futures (APR6) (HSImain.HK)$ Today's Hong Kong stock market failed to continue the strong one-sided trend seen yesterday. The Hang Seng Index closed at 25,752 points, down 141 points for the day, with a total market turnover of approximately HKD 245 billion. On the surface, the index only retreated slightly, but in reality, capital has clearly shifted from chasing highs to adopting a wait-and-see attitude. In particular, the tech sector faced significant pressure, slowing the overall upward momentum. Judging from market sentiment, today’s performance seems more like consolidation after a sharp rebound rather than confirmation of a new round of weakness. Therefore, for now, I would interpret it as profit-taking at high levels rather than an immediate sign of a full reversal.
As for the night futures market, overall performance remains relatively stable, and there is no significant panic in the market yet, reflecting that short-term funds still show some willingness to support the next trading day. From a technical perspective, I would first look at around 25,600 points as short-term support; if this level is breached again, attention should be paid to whether the 25,500-point range can hold. Resistance above lies in the 25,900 to 26,000-point region. If the night futures remain strong afterward, it indicates that the market still tends to view today as consolidation rather than a reversal. If there’s further upward movement later, the 26,100-point area will become another noticeable short-term resistance zone.
In terms of external assets, what is most noteworthy over the past two days is still the tug-of-war between safe-haven trades and inflation plays. Bitcoin’s recent rebound from its lows shows some recovery in risk appetite, though it is not yet fully robust. At this stage, it appears more like a relief rally rather than a complete resumption of bullish momentum...
As for the night futures market, overall performance remains relatively stable, and there is no significant panic in the market yet, reflecting that short-term funds still show some willingness to support the next trading day. From a technical perspective, I would first look at around 25,600 points as short-term support; if this level is breached again, attention should be paid to whether the 25,500-point range can hold. Resistance above lies in the 25,900 to 26,000-point region. If the night futures remain strong afterward, it indicates that the market still tends to view today as consolidation rather than a reversal. If there’s further upward movement later, the 26,100-point area will become another noticeable short-term resistance zone.
In terms of external assets, what is most noteworthy over the past two days is still the tug-of-war between safe-haven trades and inflation plays. Bitcoin’s recent rebound from its lows shows some recovery in risk appetite, though it is not yet fully robust. At this stage, it appears more like a relief rally rather than a complete resumption of bullish momentum...
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Time flies, the 5-day holiday ended quickly.
Although it was a 5-day holiday, I got sick in the last two days, leaving only 3 happy days after deduction.
After resting well, I have to prepare for work in the stock market starting Wednesday.![]()
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$Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$ $HSI Futures Current Contract (HSIcurrent.HK)$Last Thursday's closing was at 25,116 points, down approximately 177 points from the previous trading day. The recent trend shows a volatile downward pattern, still hovering around 25,000 points. In terms of trends, the short-term resistance level is near 25,300 points, which has been touched multiple times recently, followed by pullbacks. Recent fluctuations have not been significant, oscillating around the 25,000-point mark, indicating a lack of clear market direction. However, the situation in Iran has indeed impacted the Hang Seng Index. When the US intensified military actions and threats against Iran, risk aversion sentiment increased, causing Hong Kong stocks to drop. On the other hand, when news suggested that the conflict might be nearing an end or showing signs of easing, the index rebounded. The trajectory of the Iranian conflict remains unclear; any new military action or failed negotiations could trigger further market volatility. Additionally, persistently high oil prices will also affect input costs in Asian markets, particularly in aviation, transportation, and manufacturing sectors. If risk-averse sentiment intensifies, capital may flow into the US dollar and gold, potentially adding short-term pressure on Hong Kong stocks. Recently, the news environment has been highly unpredictable, so I've tried not to take positions recently. Bulls and bears don't last overnight; most of the time, I'm playing short-term intraday moves.
Support/Resistance Spot Reference:
...
$Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$ $HSI Futures Current Contract (HSIcurrent.HK)$Last Thursday's closing was at 25,116 points, down approximately 177 points from the previous trading day. The recent trend shows a volatile downward pattern, still hovering around 25,000 points. In terms of trends, the short-term resistance level is near 25,300 points, which has been touched multiple times recently, followed by pullbacks. Recent fluctuations have not been significant, oscillating around the 25,000-point mark, indicating a lack of clear market direction. However, the situation in Iran has indeed impacted the Hang Seng Index. When the US intensified military actions and threats against Iran, risk aversion sentiment increased, causing Hong Kong stocks to drop. On the other hand, when news suggested that the conflict might be nearing an end or showing signs of easing, the index rebounded. The trajectory of the Iranian conflict remains unclear; any new military action or failed negotiations could trigger further market volatility. Additionally, persistently high oil prices will also affect input costs in Asian markets, particularly in aviation, transportation, and manufacturing sectors. If risk-averse sentiment intensifies, capital may flow into the US dollar and gold, potentially adding short-term pressure on Hong Kong stocks. Recently, the news environment has been highly unpredictable, so I've tried not to take positions recently. Bulls and bears don't last overnight; most of the time, I'm playing short-term intraday moves.
Support/Resistance Spot Reference:
...
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$SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ $E-mini S&P 500 Futures (JUN6) (ESmain.US)$
#Rate of Decline
Many in the market use 'how much it has dropped' to assess risk, but from a truly professional perspective, the focus should be on 'how quickly it is falling.' The conclusion is clear: this round of pullback in 2026 does not yet constitute a high-risk bear market signal, but it has entered a medium-risk zone that requires heightened vigilance. In other words, it's not time to panic, but neither should we continue with a bull market mindset.
Why is a 'sharp 5% drop in a short period' considered a high-risk signal? Because such price action typically indicates three things happening simultaneously: First, market liquidity suddenly contracts as funds are no longer willing to absorb the selling; second, sentiment shifts rapidly from greed to fear, leading to a re-pricing of assets; third, institutional money reduces positions in sync, creating consistent selling pressure. These three conditions usually occur together only during a rapid decline, making 'rate of decline' more telling than 'magnitude of decline.'
This current downturn in 2026 is fundamentally a 'slow decline.' Although the cumulative drop has reached about 9%, it took 35 trading days to unfold, indicating a slower overall pace. There have been no signs of panic selling, liquidity collapse, or systemic stampede during this period. This suggests that the market is still in an adjustment phase rather than full-blown crisis mode. Therefore, judging purely by the rhythm, this round cannot yet be classified as a typical start to a bear market.
No...
#Rate of Decline
Many in the market use 'how much it has dropped' to assess risk, but from a truly professional perspective, the focus should be on 'how quickly it is falling.' The conclusion is clear: this round of pullback in 2026 does not yet constitute a high-risk bear market signal, but it has entered a medium-risk zone that requires heightened vigilance. In other words, it's not time to panic, but neither should we continue with a bull market mindset.
Why is a 'sharp 5% drop in a short period' considered a high-risk signal? Because such price action typically indicates three things happening simultaneously: First, market liquidity suddenly contracts as funds are no longer willing to absorb the selling; second, sentiment shifts rapidly from greed to fear, leading to a re-pricing of assets; third, institutional money reduces positions in sync, creating consistent selling pressure. These three conditions usually occur together only during a rapid decline, making 'rate of decline' more telling than 'magnitude of decline.'
This current downturn in 2026 is fundamentally a 'slow decline.' Although the cumulative drop has reached about 9%, it took 35 trading days to unfold, indicating a slower overall pace. There have been no signs of panic selling, liquidity collapse, or systemic stampede during this period. This suggests that the market is still in an adjustment phase rather than full-blown crisis mode. Therefore, judging purely by the rhythm, this round cannot yet be classified as a typical start to a bear market.
No...
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Before discussing the broader market, I'll first share a summary of my performance in March. Previously, I mentioned that starting from February 6th, I committed to maintaining a strong mindset and also said I would create a performance report each month to track my success rate. Do you remember? If you're interested, you can set your own goals and calculate them like I do. My target success rate is set at 80%, which matches my market prediction accuracy. This means my success rate should not fall below 80%. If my mindset goes wrong, it will naturally reduce my success rate, likely bringing it below 80%. Now, just like in February, I'm calculating it again to demonstrate. Below are the reasons I incurred losses on trading days in March.
Yellow: Incorrect market judgment 3 times
Purple: Mindset issues 2 times
March had a total of 22 trading days
Wins: 17 trading days
Losses: 5 trading days
Win rate percentage: 17 wins ÷ 22 trading days = 77%
The results show a win rate of 77%, which is below the target of 80%. Moreover, compared to February's 82% win rate with only 3 losing days, this represents a decline.![]()
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If the win rate is not less than 80%, it means there can be no more than four losing trading days in March. If the win rate falls below 80%, it indicates a problem with mindset. The chart shows that there were only three trading days where the direction was misjudged. Assuming no issues with mindset, the win rate would be:
19 ÷ 22 x 100% = 86%
Because more...
Yellow: Incorrect market judgment 3 times
Purple: Mindset issues 2 times
March had a total of 22 trading days
Wins: 17 trading days
Losses: 5 trading days
Win rate percentage: 17 wins ÷ 22 trading days = 77%
The results show a win rate of 77%, which is below the target of 80%. Moreover, compared to February's 82% win rate with only 3 losing days, this represents a decline.
If the win rate is not less than 80%, it means there can be no more than four losing trading days in March. If the win rate falls below 80%, it indicates a problem with mindset. The chart shows that there were only three trading days where the direction was misjudged. Assuming no issues with mindset, the win rate would be:
19 ÷ 22 x 100% = 86%
Because more...
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$FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI Index (.KLSE.MY)$
Welcome my new followers,
I've gained a few more followers recently and felt like posting again
Because I deliberately posted on $SUNMED (5555.MY)$ and managed to attract some traffic
Good writing, savvy operations, and the ability to draw traffic—I’ve always said Malaysia owes me the title of the foremost among the Four Talents
I mentioned star stocks, right? But no stock rises forever unless it’s a star stock
Additionally,
Newcomers can try participating in the challenge competitions
After all, market volatility is intensifying, and if you enter the market without knowing how to operate, the chances of investment failure are not small
These few days I've been casually playing around and managed to climb up a bit in the rankings
But it's still quite far from my best work
Malaysian stock masterpiece
Hello, I am the ingenious strategist from Malaysia. I'm glad you are following me. When the market is down, don't get discouraged; tomorrow is a new day. Who knows, maybe one day you'll pick the right stock and double your investment
Welcome my new followers,
I've gained a few more followers recently and felt like posting again
Because I deliberately posted on $SUNMED (5555.MY)$ and managed to attract some traffic
Good writing, savvy operations, and the ability to draw traffic—I’ve always said Malaysia owes me the title of the foremost among the Four Talents
I mentioned star stocks, right? But no stock rises forever unless it’s a star stock
Additionally,
Newcomers can try participating in the challenge competitions
After all, market volatility is intensifying, and if you enter the market without knowing how to operate, the chances of investment failure are not small
These few days I've been casually playing around and managed to climb up a bit in the rankings
But it's still quite far from my best work
Malaysian stock masterpiece
Hello, I am the ingenious strategist from Malaysia. I'm glad you are following me. When the market is down, don't get discouraged; tomorrow is a new day. Who knows, maybe one day you'll pick the right stock and double your investment
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$Urban-gro (UGRO.US)$
im still holding for triple digits..up 11k…hopefully 100k tomorrow or next week
im still holding for triple digits..up 11k…hopefully 100k tomorrow or next week
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Here’s my P/L on all the stocks that i own! Today was a great recovery day from the rough last week we had. How are you doing today!!
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Columns Latest resistance level for Hang Seng Index‼️ Must pay attention to the recent market trend㊙️
$Hang Seng Index (800000.HK)$ $HSI Futures (APR6) (HSImain.HK)$ Hong Kong stocks experienced a significant drop today, with market attention still focused on the situation in the Middle East, fluctuations in oil prices, and the repricing of capital amid a high-interest environment. The Hang Seng Index opened lower and continued to decline throughout the day, plunging over a thousand points at one point and dropping to around 24,200 points. Although the losses narrowed slightly by the end, overall sentiment remained weak. However, during the futures trading session, the market began to show a technical rebound, reflecting that after short-term panic selling, some funds started to cover their positions. From a technical perspective, initial resistance is seen at the 25,200-point level; if the night session stabilizes further, there may be an opportunity to test higher levels. As for support below, the focus remains near today's low. If this level is breached again, short-term volatility may persist.
Among the stocks with more pronounced declines today, $TUHU-W (09690.HK)$ Tuhu-W (09690) saw deeper declines, while Peijia Medical-related concepts and some high-valuation sectors also came under notable pressure, along with larger drops recorded by companies like Insilico Medicine $INSILICO (03696.HK)$ (03696), Youyan Dairy $YOURAN DAIRY (09858.HK)$ (09858). Stocks that drew significant market attention and showed noticeable increases in trading volume were mainly concentrated among heavyweights such as $BABA-W (09988.HK)$ Alibaba-W (09988), Xiaomi Group-W $XIAOMI-W (01810.HK)$ (01810), Tencent...
Among the stocks with more pronounced declines today, $TUHU-W (09690.HK)$ Tuhu-W (09690) saw deeper declines, while Peijia Medical-related concepts and some high-valuation sectors also came under notable pressure, along with larger drops recorded by companies like Insilico Medicine $INSILICO (03696.HK)$ (03696), Youyan Dairy $YOURAN DAIRY (09858.HK)$ (09858). Stocks that drew significant market attention and showed noticeable increases in trading volume were mainly concentrated among heavyweights such as $BABA-W (09988.HK)$ Alibaba-W (09988), Xiaomi Group-W $XIAOMI-W (01810.HK)$ (01810), Tencent...
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$GLD 260320 420.00P$ when the tough gets going .. good luck to all..
@In One Chart @Moo Live @Moomoo Rewards @Moomoo News MY @Moomoo MY @Moo Earnings @Moomoo Insights @Moomoo US CEO Neil @Moomoo Store AU
@In One Chart @Moo Live @Moomoo Rewards @Moomoo News MY @Moomoo MY @Moo Earnings @Moomoo Insights @Moomoo US CEO Neil @Moomoo Store AU
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