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Shiok momo Male ID: 106273786
🍿 wAtching moVie 🍿
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    Shiok momo reacted to
    # [US Stock Investment Sharing] Defense Technology Stocks Outlook for 2026: In-Depth Analysis as an Expert and Next Week’s Trading Strategy
    Hello, friends of the forum! I’m an investment enthusiast (self-proclaimed expert) focused on the US defense technology sector, and today I will share my latest thoughts on this industry. Based on recent market dynamics, especially the rebound of small-cap stocks at the beginning of 2026, President Trump's proposed $1.5 trillion defense budget, and the FCC's restrictions on foreign drone imports, I believe defense technology stocks are in a golden takeoff phase. However, investing involves risks, and this is not formal advice—everyone should do their own research!
    This post is a reformat of my previous analysis, optimized for forum reading. I’ll use **bold** to highlight key points, bullet points (-) to organize strategies, and include some chart-like text descriptions for better clarity. To make full use of the space, I’ll explain each section in detail, including background, logic, risks, potential catalysts, historical references, and future predictions. Hopefully, this will help everyone make more informed decisions for next week (January 11-17, 2026). If you have questions, feel free to reply and discuss!
    ---
    ## Part One: Overall Perspective as a Defense Technology Stock Expert
    ### Macro Background and Trend Analysis
    Defense technology stocks performed well at the start of 2026, primarily due to market rotation from large-cap...
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    🚀🧠 The market is only focused on the scale of military spending, but I’m more interested in who can truly “capture” the $1.5T U.S. defense budget by 2027.
    The market consensus is simple:
    The U.S. defense budget continues to expand, benefiting drones, AI, and automation.
    But my take is:
    The money won't be evenly distributed; it will flow to companies “embedded in the core layer of combat systems.”
    The $1.5T defense budget for 2027 isn’t fundamentally about “buying more weapons,”
    but rather paying for sensing, decision-making, communication, autonomy, and scalable attrition.
    The following 10 pathways represent the truly “structurally capable directions” to capture value.
    1️⃣ $PLTR
    Palantir Technologies
    It’s not selling software—it integrates intelligence, sensors, and combat units into a “real-time decision-making system.”
    In modern warfare, whoever controls the speed of decision-making controls budget priorities.
    2️⃣ $ONDS
    Ondas Holdings
    As drone swarms move towards autonomy, anti-jamming, low-latency, military-grade communication networks have become a necessity.
    Communication is not just a supporting element but a prerequisite for whether unmanned systems can be deployed on the battlefield.
    3️⃣ $AVAV
    AeroVironment
    One of the primary contractors for U.S. military drones, directly benefiting from the expansion of ISR and strike missions.
    When the budget increases, the first to see a rise in orders are often mature, proven platforms.
    4️⃣ $KTOS
    Kratos Defense
    Specializing...
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    Shiok momo reacted to
    On January 8,
    the housing market changed forever.
    Trump is dropping a $200 Billion "affordability bomb" on mortgage rates.
    No more waiting for the Fed,
    the government is buying the bonds themselves.
    Your monthly payments are headed for a massive drop.
    Millions are about to lock in lower rates this week.
    Mortgage stocks like Rocket ( $Rocket (RKT.US)$ ) and loanDepot ( $loanDepot (LDI.US)$) just exploded after hour.
    Now, cash is being pumped directly into your e...
    Trump Orders $200B Mortgage Bond Buy
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    #Venezuela
    #Drone
    Did Congress officially 'rein in Trump's war powers'?
    Just now, the U.S. Senate passed a resolution to limit Trump’s military actions against Venezuela with a vote of 52 to 47, seemingly to 'ease the pressure' on Venezuela. However, the real focus of this issue has never been Venezuela itself, but rather the United States.
    First, the symbolic significance of this resolution far outweighs its practical impact. It does not negate Trump’s diplomatic stance, but rather rejects the president’s ability to bypass Congress and unilaterally initiate wars. It signifies that war is not an executive order, but a constitutional power.
    Second, the vote count of 52 to 47 is actually more important than the content of the resolution itself. The unanimous support from the Democratic Party is unsurprising. What is truly noteworthy is the appearance of dissenting votes within the Republican Party, indicating that some members are no longer willing to bear political risks alongside him.
    Third, even if this resolution ultimately fails to pass in the House of Representatives or is vetoed by the president, the political effect has already taken place. Congress has publicly expressed its stance, and the market has received the signal: it's no longer 'war at the president’s command.'
    So why did the drone sector soar this week despite seemingly fewer military issues? Besides Trump increasing defense spending, the market has another interpretation: the belief that the U.S. Congress beginning to restrict the president's arbitrary use of force doesn't mean 'a more peaceful world,' but rather that 'direct warfare' is becoming harder while 'gray-zone conflicts + arms upgrades' will be prolonged.
    The result is no longer relying on aircraft carriers and bombers to solve problems...
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    Did Congress officially 'rein in Trump's war powers'? But why is the drone sector still rising?
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    $Ondas Holdings (ONDS.US)$ Ondas Holdings announced plans to change its corporate name to Ondas Inc. on January 2, 2026, reflecting its transformation into an integrated global operating platform serving the defense, security, and industrial markets. The company is also relocating its headquarters to West Palm Beach, Florida, aiming to enhance its ability to attract top-tier talent, strategic partners, and institutional capital.
    The strategic move to West Palm Beach positions Ondas in a growing technology and defense hub while benefiting from Florida’s business-friendly environment and international connectivity. The company will maintain its global operational footprint, spanning the United States, Europe, the Middle East, and Asia, with the name change expected to take effect in the first quarter of 2026.
    Through its business units—Ondas Autonomous Systems, Ondas Capital, and Ondas Networks—the company provides AI-driven defense platforms and private wireless solutions. The rebranding and relocation are not expected to impact ongoing operations, customer projects, or delivery timelines.
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    $Rocket Lab (RKLB.US)$ Compared to SpaceX's rumored IPO price of over 400, Rocket Lab is currently the only rocket stock available at a lower price, and its future potential is limitless.
    Why is Rocket Lab still at an advantage even though SpaceX is so strong? Although SpaceX's ride-share program is low-cost, for cost-sensitive companies, ride-share satellites are like taking a public bus—they won’t deliver you to your specific desired location. Instead, you have to get off at a certain stop, and then the satellite will need to spend many months slowly climbing to its target orbit.
    On the other hand, Rocket Lab can launch quickly, at a low price, and deliver satellites to your desired orbit. In this aspect, Rocket Lab actually has an advantage, which is why it has secured numerous government contract orders.
    Blue Origin did successfully launch their rocket and achieved partial recovery. However, when it comes to launch experience, frequency, and consistent performance, Rocket Lab surpasses Blue Origin. Blue Origin still needs a long time to prove themselves, so it won't have any impact on Rocket Lab.
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    $Rocket Lab (RKLB.US)$ Reposted from X,
    $RKLB Rocket Lab's 7 Acquisitions: Building the 'Space Amazon' ♟️🚀
    I spent a few days diving deep into the history of Rocket Lab ($RKLB), and the conclusion was astonishing. Peter Beck isn't just building rockets; he is following Jeff Bezos’ playbook for success: taking control of the entire industry’s infrastructure through strategic acquisitions.
    Just like Amazon acquired Kiva Systems to advance its robotics capabilities and Whole Foods to expand into physical retail, Rocket Lab has made seven strategic moves to take control of the Bill of Materials (BOM) for the entire space economy.
    🧐The Seven Pieces of the Empire: The Blueprint for Dominance
    The Eyes and Balance (2020) - Sinclair Interplanetary:
    Acquired the global leader in reaction wheels and star trackers—essential components every satellite needs for pointing and navigation.
    The Brain (2021) - Advanced Solutions, Inc. (ASI):
    They gained expertise in off-the-shelf space software and Guidance, Navigation, and Control (GNC) technology, providing an 'operating system' for the Photon platform.
    The Ejection Seats (2021) - Planetary Systems Corporation (PSC):
    Has become the gold standard in the field of satellite separation systems. Their success rate is 100% across more than 100 missions.
    "Heart/Power" (2022) - SolAer...
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    Shiok momo reacted to
    $Opendoor Technologies (OPEN.US)$ Yesterday's 6.5 call reached a high of 0.37. The institutions happily collected trading fees and profited from the stock price difference. If I were an institution, I wouldn't push the price up either. By keeping it range-bound, they can collect fees from traders with one hand and 'harvest' retail investors with the other. This strategy generates much higher returns than pushing up the stock price.
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