Inside story of the plan to assassinate Khamenei: Israel hacked into cameras, and the US provided final confirmation.
How far will the conflict spread? A breakdown of the demands and capabilities of all involved parties:
Despite Trump's claim on Monday evening that the war would end soon,which the market interpreted as a signal that Trump was about to take action, leading to a rapid rebound. However, after oil retraced to the five-day line, and given the ongoing intensity of conflicts in the Iranian region and with Israel, Brent crude rebounded and returned to the $100 mark, causing market fluctuations to expand and profitability to significantly decline.
Will the war end quickly as Trump suggested? No,because, firstly, the US made the foolish decision to assassinate a religious leader, which will provoke a backlash across the entire Shiite Islamic world, and the rise of Mujtaba, a hardliner. The younger Khamenei, who was originally the leader of the Supreme Leader’s political office and joined the Revolutionary Guard in his youth, has strong political roots within Iran’s religious circles. Thus, it could be said that Israel's overly 'pragmatic' elimination of potential negotiators (more than one) by bombing them (Trump himself claimed an agreement had been reached with Rodriguez), left Iran with no choice but to select Mujtaba as the 'least likely traitor, lowest risk option.' (The Shiite tradition does not involve hereditary succession, and Khamenei had tried to avoid handing over power to Mujtaba during his tenure). Secondly, while Trump wants to withdraw, Israel won't allow it.
Will the war turn into a prolonged conflict?...