$Amazon(AMZN.US$ ER is truly important.
If the AI age is truly underway, I expect cloud to be a major winner.
We saw $Alphabet-A(GOOGL.US$ and $Microsoft(MSFT.US$ show growth so it is important to me to see $Amazon(AMZN.US$ show healthy growth.
If that is the case I think the market might get the green light to increase or hold positions in the AI theme.
AI truly accelerated cloud investments in my mind, both in terms of computing power, storage and energy.
It’s incredible how much...
If the AI age is truly underway, I expect cloud to be a major winner.
We saw $Alphabet-A(GOOGL.US$ and $Microsoft(MSFT.US$ show growth so it is important to me to see $Amazon(AMZN.US$ show healthy growth.
If that is the case I think the market might get the green light to increase or hold positions in the AI theme.
AI truly accelerated cloud investments in my mind, both in terms of computing power, storage and energy.
It’s incredible how much...
5
Maintain Buy on $NVIDIA(NVDA.US$ , $Broadcom(AVGO.US$ , $Marvell Technology(MRVL.US$ , $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD.US$ , $Micron Technology(MU.US$ - BofA
CQ1 reports from key US hyperscalers – Google, Microsoft and Meta -suggest meaningful upside to CY24 capex, mostly driven by buildout of AI infrastructure. We estimate CY24 global cloud capex now tracking around $220bn, up about 35% YoY or $14.5bn higher than the $205bn or...
CQ1 reports from key US hyperscalers – Google, Microsoft and Meta -suggest meaningful upside to CY24 capex, mostly driven by buildout of AI infrastructure. We estimate CY24 global cloud capex now tracking around $220bn, up about 35% YoY or $14.5bn higher than the $205bn or...
4
$Meta Platforms(META.US$ had great earnings but the in line guide and especially the Capex up 8-16% led to the selloff.
Before panic spreads, just keep in mind that $Meta Platforms(META.US$ bottomed once it stopped spending on the metaverse.
Investors are likely scared of a renewed downturn due to the Capex, which in itself led to the pullback.
The next weeks will tell us if AI has the same appeal to Investor it did. over the last months of it the AI craze needs rest for now.
Keep in mind $Super Micro Computer(SMCI.US$ and ...
Before panic spreads, just keep in mind that $Meta Platforms(META.US$ bottomed once it stopped spending on the metaverse.
Investors are likely scared of a renewed downturn due to the Capex, which in itself led to the pullback.
The next weeks will tell us if AI has the same appeal to Investor it did. over the last months of it the AI craze needs rest for now.
Keep in mind $Super Micro Computer(SMCI.US$ and ...
6
7
40wk ma (red area) sloping upwards = Stage2
40wk ma (red area) sloping downwards = Stage 4
Stage 1 ---> when stocks build bases
Stock stops going down, builds a base
40wk ma stops declining/flattens out
Time to watch stock and gradually build position
Stage 2 ---> when stocks rally/money is made
Stock becomes over-extended, take partial profits
Stock pulls back towards 40wk ma, add back
Stage 3 ---> distribution phase/topping pattern
Stock stops going ...
40wk ma (red area) sloping downwards = Stage 4
Stage 1 ---> when stocks build bases
Stock stops going down, builds a base
40wk ma stops declining/flattens out
Time to watch stock and gradually build position
Stage 2 ---> when stocks rally/money is made
Stock becomes over-extended, take partial profits
Stock pulls back towards 40wk ma, add back
Stage 3 ---> distribution phase/topping pattern
Stock stops going ...
3
1. $ASML Holding(ASML.US$ | ASML Holding
• Chip Equipment Niche | Photolithography Monopoly
• Enterprise Value | $318.2B
• 2024 Key Metrics | 51x FCF; 34x EBITDA; 1% rev growth
• Competitive Advantage: They stand out as the sole supplier of extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines, a critical technology for manufacturing the most advanced semiconductor chips. Their market advantage is deeply rooted in this unique offering, which enables the production of smaller, more p...
• Chip Equipment Niche | Photolithography Monopoly
• Enterprise Value | $318.2B
• 2024 Key Metrics | 51x FCF; 34x EBITDA; 1% rev growth
• Competitive Advantage: They stand out as the sole supplier of extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines, a critical technology for manufacturing the most advanced semiconductor chips. Their market advantage is deeply rooted in this unique offering, which enables the production of smaller, more p...
+1
5
1
$S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US$ (1) The index broke its uptrend by closing below the short term moving average (2) market breadth as measured by Net New Highs, turned negative indicating more stocks made new lows than new highs and (3) momentum continues to fall apart.
These three correction criteria have preceded meaningful market declines.
In the scenario ...
These three correction criteria have preceded meaningful market declines.
In the scenario ...
1
Google $Alphabet-A(GOOGL.US$ : $98 billion
Apple $Apple(AAPL.US$ : $65 billion
Meta $Meta Platforms(META.US$ : $47 billion
Amazon $Amazon(AMZN.US$ : $28 billion
Microsoft $Microsoft(MSFT.US$ : $20 billion
Nvidia $NVIDIA(NVDA.US$ : $16 billion
Apple $Apple(AAPL.US$ : $65 billion
Meta $Meta Platforms(META.US$ : $47 billion
Amazon $Amazon(AMZN.US$ : $28 billion
Microsoft $Microsoft(MSFT.US$ : $20 billion
Nvidia $NVIDIA(NVDA.US$ : $16 billion
4
1
I have been using AI to further enhance my knowledge about investing and more specifically how to analyze businesses.
Here are a few things I ask:
•Summarize
•Simplify
•I am a financial analyst, explain xyz
•Create a sell side bear thesis based on:
•Create a buy side bull thesis based on:
•Here are multiple different investment papers, get rid of redundancies and point out contradictions:
Complex research papers and overwhelming data can thus be worked through with a teacher to stud...
Here are a few things I ask:
•Summarize
•Simplify
•I am a financial analyst, explain xyz
•Create a sell side bear thesis based on:
•Create a buy side bull thesis based on:
•Here are multiple different investment papers, get rid of redundancies and point out contradictions:
Complex research papers and overwhelming data can thus be worked through with a teacher to stud...
5
1
$Super Micro Computer(SMCI.US$
Over the last 36 months, the stock is up 27-fold
Here's why:
AI driven demand - Everywhere you look, companies are investing in AI. While that means different things to different businesses, one thing is consistent. They're virtually all spending more on data-center hardware.
And SMCI is right there to benefit. Super Micro manufactures high performance servers and storage systems. So as companies have expanded their se...
Over the last 36 months, the stock is up 27-fold
Here's why:
AI driven demand - Everywhere you look, companies are investing in AI. While that means different things to different businesses, one thing is consistent. They're virtually all spending more on data-center hardware.
And SMCI is right there to benefit. Super Micro manufactures high performance servers and storage systems. So as companies have expanded their se...
7
2
A couple things happened on Friday that (judging by history) make me think we could see more short-squeezes this week:
1) Borrow rates spiked for some popular shorts (often a sign of shorts pressing).
2) Legit small-cap growth stocks (some heavily shorted, some not) sold off en masse in tandem with heavily-shorted junk ( $iShares Russell 2000 Growth ETF(IWO.US$ was down 1.2%) . When this has happened in the past, these stocks have often later moved higher in tandem.
Throw in rates fallin...
1) Borrow rates spiked for some popular shorts (often a sign of shorts pressing).
2) Legit small-cap growth stocks (some heavily shorted, some not) sold off en masse in tandem with heavily-shorted junk ( $iShares Russell 2000 Growth ETF(IWO.US$ was down 1.2%) . When this has happened in the past, these stocks have often later moved higher in tandem.
Throw in rates fallin...
4