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moomoo朱舜達 Private ID: 181000018
前机构投资者,企业年金基金投资经理 日股,债券交易员 定期分享观点,直播,日常😋
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    Once upon a time, algorithmic trading was an exclusive domain of a few programmers and Wall Street elites.
    Nowadays,Moomoo API Skills The official release has completely broken down technical barriers. We have officially entered the era of 'AI democratization'!
    What exactly is Moomoo API Skills?
    In simple terms: it's the securities version of “raising lobsters.” Unlike conversational AIs like GPT or Gemini, Agent can not only chat with you but also get hands-on to do the work for you.。
    The installation method is also super easy; just copy the following content and paste it into the AI Agent chat box to run it:
    ======
    "Please follow the documentation instructions for Moomoo API Skills to install Skills and OpenD."
    https://openapi.moomoo.com/moomoo-api-doc/jp/file/moomoo-openapi-skills-JP.html#install
    ======
    After importing this Moomoo API Skills, your OpenClaw, Codex, and other AI Agents will no longer just be able to "analyze."
    — They can directly connect to your moomoo account, from market analysis to order execution...
    Translated
    You don't need to know how to code to do quantitative trading anymore! Let me teach you how to "raise lobsters," so your AI can monitor the market, place orders, and execute strategies for you.
    You don't need to know how to code to do quantitative trading anymore! Let me teach you how to "raise lobsters," so your AI can monitor the market, place orders, and execute strategies for you.
    You don't need to know how to code to do quantitative trading anymore! Let me teach you how to "raise lobsters," so your AI can monitor the market, place orders, and execute strategies for you.
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    Sorry, there were some issues with today's live stream setup.
    After scrambling to fix everything, my thoughts have completely wandered off.
    I want to apologize to my friends who tuned in and supported me during the live stream!
    Translated
    A brief recap of the market:
    Last night’s release of the February PCE price index showed a month-on-month increase of 0.4% and a year-on-year rise of 3.0%, largely in line with market expectations.
    On the other hand, the real GDP growth rate (final reading) for October-December 2025 was revised down from +0.7% to +0.5%, indicating some weakening in economic momentum.
    Looking at forward-looking indicators, the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model currently projects economic growth of approximately +1.3% for January-March 2026. If disruptions from geopolitical tensions (such as Iran-related conflicts) gradually spill over into the real economy, subsequent growth forecasts could see further downward revisions.
    From a market performance perspective, the S&P 500 Index has rebounded to near the 6,800-point level, essentially returning to where it stood before the outbreak of geopolitical tensions, showing a clear recovery in short-term risk appetite.
    However, it is worth noting that this round of rebound was completed quickly via a gap-up move, breaking through several medium- and long-term moving averages in one go. This type of 'accelerated recovery' may have, to some extent, prematurely exhausted some upward momentum.
    Viewing from a higher timeframe, if we analyze the wave structure, after completing an earlier upward phase, it is common for markets to enter a period of consolidation (such as an ABC correction pattern).
    Coupled with tonight's upcoming March CPI data release, the market may still face new volatility triggers in the short term. Given the overall environment, it might be better to maintain a certain level of observation and pacing, proceeding with caution.
    (Note: This article is for learning and exchange purposes only and does not represent any investment advice...)
    Translated
    In the short term, it may be wise to be cautiously optimistic
    In the short term, it may be wise to be cautiously optimistic
    In the short term, it may be wise to be cautiously optimistic
    +1
    Woke up this morning, after extreme pressure, Trump went TACO once more.The market was still worried about risks yesterday, but today it got slapped in the face again.
    In simple terms,The risks haven't disappeared, but the market no longer seems to care.
    This market trend is actually quite typical, with risks present but funds not withdrawing, hesitating while gradually moving upward.
    In the midst of highly volatile market conditions, even the options traders in the group are exclaiming: profits abound, truly enviable
    Haven't posted for a while, recently been studying how to use AI 'Little Lobster' to connect Moomoo API Skills, helping me code using natural language, fully backtest and execute trading strategies.
    Interested friends can leave a message so I can see it, and I can teach you how to install the API software!
    Without further ado, let's review the current situation of the Nikkei:
    The market has been trying to form a W-bottom, constantly fluctuating near the neckline (if it doesn't break through the neckline, the W-bottom formation fails), and today it finally broke through.
    This step is actually quite crucial, indicating thatthe previous resistance levels that repeatedly weighed down the index are gradually being absorbed, and now there are people willing to step in at higher levels.
    However, looking only at the K-line chart doesn't provide a full picture. If we bring inIchimoku Cloudother indicators together, it will be clearer:
    The current price isjust climbing back into the 'cloud' (red shaded area) from below the 'cloud'and has not yet broken through to stand above the cloud.
    Therefore, this phase still representsthe early stages of recovery,not the clear upward momentum of a major rally.
    In the short term, prices may continue to fluctuate within the cloud, or even drop below it, but keep an eye on April...
    Translated
    Woke up this morning to find TACO happening again. Checking the market trends for confirmation.
    Woke up this morning to find TACO happening again. Checking the market trends for confirmation.
    Woke up this morning to find TACO happening again. Checking the market trends for confirmation.
    +2
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    moomoo朱舜達 commented on
    Good afternoon, friends of the moomoo community.
    The situation with Iran has escalated again, and many may have spent this three-day weekend feeling extremely uneasy.
    Trump has issued another 48-hour ultimatum to Iran, demanding full access to the Strait of Hormuz, or else he will destroy its energy infrastructure, including power facilities.
    Iran has also been very firm, warning that if its energy facilities are attacked, it will retaliate against relevant targets.
    Half the time has already passed since Trump's post (Japan time on the 22nd), leaving approximately a 12 to 24-hour window period.
    So, what will happen next? Will we see an extreme scenario where critical infrastructure is attacked? Or will a ceasefire agreement be reached at the last moment?
    Let's calmly assess the probability of such extreme events occurring:
    Tail risk pricing in the valuation of the TSE Main Board: An implied crisis probability of 18% with a 48-hour countdown
    Currently, the PBR of TSE Prime is approximately 1.62 times, which is lower than the valuation level before the war. The market has started to defensively price in geopolitical risks.
    Reverse calculation of implied probability of 'extreme events'
    Set the following valuation anchors:
    – Pre-war valuation: PBR = 1.71 (Continuous realization of corporate governance reform dividends, valuation level under the expectation of high market policy, corresponding to an extreme event occurrence probability of 0%)
    – Extreme scenario: PBR = 1.20 (reference to the 2024 BOJ impact and the 2025 tariff impact on the valuation anchor)Panic sentimentValuation anchor point under this scenario. Corresponding occurrence probability is 100%)
    – Current Valuation: ...
    Translated
    A tail risk of less than 20%, with a 48-hour countdown to a 'black swan' event
    A tail risk of less than 20%, with a 48-hour countdown to a 'black swan' event
    A tail risk of less than 20%, with a 48-hour countdown to a 'black swan' event
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    As the VIX $CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index (.VIX.US)$ Gradually declining, the market's risk aversion sentiment is also slowly stabilizing.
    Friends who follow me should not have sold at a low point, right?Hold steady! Trust in value,buy and holdThat's the best strategy。
    After the close tonight, the highly anticipated memory chip giant $Micron Technology (MU.US)$ will release its latest earnings report.
    In Monday’s live stream, we discussed how AI data center construction is growing with increasing demand for inference capabilities, leading to a widening gap in memory chips. Micron Technology’s price action indicates an upward trend. Besides this, you may also want to keep an eye on various storage giants from the US, Japan, and South Korea.
    So today, let’s delve into how we should approach this Micron earnings report. This is just food for thought; please invest with caution.
    Micron (MU) Earnings Preview: When Memory Is No Longer a 'Cyclical Commodity'
    In the past, memory was considered a highly cyclical 'commodity' because most memory was used in consumer electronics (such as smartphones and computers), and memory demand often fluctuated cyclically, passively following the frequency of consumers upgrading to new phones or computers.
    But on this day in 2026, due to the massive inference demands generated by AI applications, memory has transitioned from a cyclical commodity to a cornerstone of the AI era.strategic infrastructure。
    – Market expectationsin the AI era: Wall Street expects Micron's revenue this quarter to surge approximately 139%,...
    Translated
    Tonight is MU Micron's earnings report, what do you all think?
    Tonight is MU Micron's earnings report, what do you all think?
    Tonight is MU Micron's earnings report, what do you all think?
    +4
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    $PayPay (PAYP.US)$Pre-market high is almost up 50%.Are those who bought yesterday feeling slightly relieved? Follow me for ongoing analysis of market trends.
    Today's Japanese stock market $Nintendo (7974.JP)$It also successfully reclaimed the 10,000-yen mark. In the February 10 live stream, we mentioned the reasons for Nintendo’s decline and this year being the major anniversary for popular games like Pokemon and Zelda.
    On the other hand, the panic index $CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index (.VIX.US)$ Futures enteredinverted state
    From the latest Bloomberg terminal (see image below), we can clearly observe the price arrangement of VIX futures:
    – March contract (Mar26): 25.80
    – April contract (Apr26): 24.35
    – May contract (May26): 23.85
    Under normal market conditions, VIX futures typically exhibitcontango, meaning that forward contracts are more expensive than near-term ones (due to higher future uncertainty and time costs for holding positions). However, the curve is currently 'near-expensive and far-cheap'.
    This means the market still accounts for geopolitical conflicts in the futurePricing that 'converges' rather than 'escalates'.
    How to choose the right options strategy in a volatile market environment?
    Follow me, next Monday (3...
    Translated
    Paypay's pre-market rises 50%, 'panic pricing' has inverted, Nintendo back above ten thousand yen. Are you reassured?
    Paypay's pre-market rises 50%, 'panic pricing' has inverted, Nintendo back above ten thousand yen. Are you reassured?
    Paypay's pre-market rises 50%, 'panic pricing' has inverted, Nintendo back above ten thousand yen. Are you reassured?
    +2
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    This morning, as soon as I opened my eyes, oil prices continued to pull back.
    Looking back after this round of conflict erupted, crude oil prices once surged to near $120, but then quickly retreated. Even if the conflict becomes prolonged, it seems oil prices lack momentum for further significant increases.
    Apart from seeing through Trump's TACO, another important reason is that the market has started looking for 'alternative pathways'.。
    In fact, many institutions are now assessing:
    even if risks emerge in the Strait of Hormuz, global energy supplies still have a certain 'buffer capacity.'
    Once oil prices exceed the $60 mark, it essentially surpasses the production cost of US shale oil, which also implies a natural increase in crude oil supply.
    In other words:
    A long-term substantial spike in oil prices is actually not easy to sustain.
    Looking back at the Russia-Ukraine conflict, oil prices also struggled to remain high for an extended period.
    The supply side is preparing 'contingency plans'
    Based on the latest supply news:
    – G7 countries are discussing whether to release strategic petroleum reserves (SPR).
    – The International Energy Agency (IEA) has also proposed the possibility of coordinated reserve releases.
    – Middle Eastern countries are considering transport solutions that bypass key straits.
    This means that if the situation worsens, the market is not entirely without the ability to respond.
    Many people are familiar with the traditional crude oil transport route: Middle East → Strait of Hormuz → Arabian Sea → Asia / Europe.
    But in reality, Saudi Arabia has long prepared a backup channel。沙特东西石油管道(East-West P...
    Translated
    Will oil prices continue to rise? Is there a solution for the strait blockade? Let's find out what’s going on
    Will oil prices continue to rise? Is there a solution for the strait blockade? Let's find out what’s going on
    Will oil prices continue to rise? Is there a solution for the strait blockade? Let's find out what’s going on
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    I’m here with an update. In last Thursday's post, many people voted that it was a high open to lure more buyers.Is everyone executing well?
    Yesterday, on Monday, the Nikkei plummeted. It must have been a tough day! I was too busy with work to post in the community (Sorry💦).
    I briefly shared my thoughts in the WeChat group, hoping to help some friends!Follow my community account for regular updates and submissions
    This morning, as soon as I opened my eyes, I saw the news that Mr. Trump had TACOed again. It wasn’t too surprising; in previous submissions, I mentioned that wars during midterm election years usually don’t last long (but risks can’t be completely ignored). The direction of the war is actually unpredictable for ordinary people, so let’s organize things from a few other perspectives!
    First, whether yesterday’s big drop on Monday was a 'golden pit' can actually be analyzed by looking at the clearing day (SQ day) in the options and futures market. There has been a habit of adjusting positions on Mondays during clearing weeks.
    And this Friday happens to be the major quarterly settlement day (Major SQ, Triple Witching Day)
    Pro tip: The second Friday of each month is a mini settlement day (Mini SQ), while the second Fridays of March, June, September, and December are major settlement days (Major SQ)
    The past few big drops all happened on Mondays during settlement week. Was yesterday's Monday drop another golden buying opportunity for Nikkei recently...?
    With crude oil prices easing, the issue with Iran has somewhat taken a backseat
    Regarding US stocks, especially the tech sector, one thing I think we need to focus on tonight is $Oracle (ORCL.US)$ Oracle's earnings call will give me...
    Translated
    Has TACO happened? Has the risk been eliminated? Let me summarize the key points to watch for the upcoming market
    Has TACO happened? Has the risk been eliminated? Let me summarize the key points to watch for the upcoming market
    Has TACO happened? Has the risk been eliminated? Let me summarize the key points to watch for the upcoming market
    +1
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    $Hims & Hers Health (HIMS.US)$
    Took a commemorative screenshot of the opening priceIt’s not often you see such high leverage, so hopefully it's not a ‘Burger Top’ (a losing trade)
    Considering Friday’s closing price, this is an impressive +7000% gain
    The only regret is that I only held one contract
    I bought some call options on a lottery-like bet for about $100 the weekend before last, and using the leftover amount from the options that expired last week, I purchased one contract of $HIMS 260313 19.00C$with this week's expiration, so...
    HIMS 260306 16.00C was held too long and ended up slightly out of the money, but I managed to take profit near 15.5, which covered my initial investment. If only I had gone all-in on averaging down with this week’s expiring options… the outcome would have been very different. But realistically, there was no way I could’ve predicted that.
    Since I only hold one contract, I’ll carefully watch for the right opportunity to take profits by the end of this week
    If the recovery trend becomes clear, exercising the option and holding half of the position might be a viable strategy
    Translated
    Commemorative screenshot 📷
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