🦆 1 🐊 0, Week 8 Day 7
1 Trade per ticker.
Total scalps: +$2.35
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Trade 1: $Tesla (TSLA.US)$
TSLA – Precision Breakout & Trap Reversal
Entry: $263.43
Exit: $262.27
Setup: Breakout toward $265.26, but MFI divergence hinted at exhaustion
Why I Took It (Short) : VWAP reclaimed, MFI climbing higher toward 70, but candles showed topping wick
Win: $1.16
Reflection: Always short into strength before volatility strikes back
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Trade 2: $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$
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Hello, mooers!
Last week, the U.S. stock market saw some wild swings, with the $NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ down 2.31% and the $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ falling 1.5%. However, it wasn’t all bad news—on the flip side, the $Russell 2000 Index (.RUT.US)$ managed a 1.1% rise. The rollercoaster ride was mostly fueled by tariff concerns and broader worries about the economy slowing down, making for a tough week for many investors.
"Volatility is ofte...

$VIX Index Futures(MAY5) (VXmain.US)$
On April 4, 2025, amid the joy of TGIF, the three major U.S. stock indexes all plunged:
📉 The Nasdaq fell sharply by 5.82% 📉 The Dow Jones dropped by 5.5% 📉 The S&P 500 dropped significantly by 5.97%
This sharp drop is not a technical pullback, but rather a combination of emotions and Algo trading causing a stampede: Trump announced increased tariffs on major Global countries, catching the market off guard. China quickly retaliated with a 34% retaliatory tariff, raising concerns about a repeat of the Global trade war, and many Financial Institutions simultaneously sang the tune of "economic recession," igniting risk-averse sentiment instantly.
In the face of an unexpected crisis, some panic and cut their losses, but there are also those who benefit from the "black swan." What kind of understanding do they rely on? In fact, it is something called the VIX Fear Index, which profits precisely amidst the chaos. This time, the VIX Fear Index soared to 45+, reaching a new high since the pandemic in 2020.
So what is the VIX.Full name: CBOE Volatility S&P 500 Index (VIX.US), commonly referred to as the "fear index" because it reflects the extent to which investors expect volatility over the next 30 days. One can look at the spike in VIX data during the destruction of the World Trade Center on 9/11 and the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic.
✅ VIX 25: Significant emotional volatility.
🚨 VIX > 40: Extreme panic, selling out of control (this time it surged to 45)
⛔ VIX and S&P 500 usually move in the opposite direction:
The more the stock market falls, the more the VIX soars...

During the Easter long holiday, there were no outdoor activities, so the main event in Hong Kong was exploring with Jaycus; he can walk quite steadily now, and the only issue when going out is his excessive fear of sunlight. This way, he probably won't become a sunboy as he grows up.
The Hang Seng Index is likely starting to enter a volatility phase, with resistance at 21,500 points above and support at 20,800 points below. The strategy has shifted from a unilateral trend to a range-bound movement. If resistance is encountered at 21,500 and it falls through 21,350, consider short position deployment. $UB#HSI RP2604I.P (63967.HK)$ The defensive position will be set at 21,590 points. If it again stands above 20,900 after support at 20,800 points, consider short-term long position deployment. $UB#HSI RC2707X.C (65087.HK)$ 。
長假期之後，由於外圍市況轉弱，美股三大指數 $Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)$   $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$   $NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$ 於星期四以及星期一一同下跌，而家會拖累恒生指數稍為低開。不過今次由於是爆威爾與特朗普的衝突，所以主要集中在美國本土的經濟問題上。這一種反而對外圍市場的影響沒有那麼大。 $E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures(JUN5) (NQmain.US)$ 期貨若果再次...

This setup of $SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$  down more than 2% and $ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (VIXY.US)$ spiking up more than 5% in one days: signals an ideal implied volatility and delta window for executing Sell Puts with attractive premiums and risk-reward.
I’ve initiated 4 positions including $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ which I highlighted in yesterday’s post.
I’m aiming to secure a 7% gain for April and strategically position my portfolio to continue ...