Liquidtrading OP Cryptorose : that is true however there have been tankers which left the strait. supply is still going to go down but it is not worst case scenario as of yet

Liquidtrading OP 74312663 : true. There is a psychological deterrent and many economical disadvantages, such as insurance, of going through the strait but there is also a huge benefit of making more profit.

Liquidtrading OP LucasC : I think I'm good but if that's what you aspire to do then be my guest .

Liquidtrading OP I want out : I agree with this take. the American economy may survive the war but his presidency will not. I think one very distinct point I would like to make is that non US or Israel tankers have been allowed through. This stale mate play might be his best option in attempting to salvage his presidency and I'm going to guess will be what he does. Option 1 will be least likely as it will drag his presidency even further down. I've seen drone footage from the war between Ukraine and Russia. The soldiers on the ground are literally begging for their lives to be spared or ending themselves. Something similar will definitely happen if the us tries to go boots on the ground and that will be terrible for public opinion. I've done some thinking and asked for some calculations and escorting ships may be more expensive than just holding out. Anti air interceptor missiles are egregiously expensive and the US will struggle to produce enough so realistically this can only be a short term solution, which doesn't work against Iran.
I would say that ending the war is the best possible option in general. However, knowing Trump and his actions during his presidency it is unlikely this will be what happens.

Liquidtrading : up 1 dollar a share . could've bought lower but I'll take it

Liquidtrading : feels like 2021 honestly

Liquidtrading OP : actually bought earlier but didn't get around to posting. my apologies