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February has passed, and we extend our gratitude to every mooer who shared insights and generously helped others—each of your interactions has made this investment community warmer and more valuable.
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1. Event: Why we are paying attention to oil
Recently, there has been a fairly noticeable catalyst in the market: due to the conflict in Iran, the closure of shipping routes near the Hormuz Strait has led the market to start pricing in crude oil supply risks again.
Many people may not know that about 20% of the world's crude oil transportation passes through the Hormuz Strait. So once there is a conflict here, the market usually reacts quickly: crude oil prices rise, and oil stocks rise. This is actually a very typicalgeopolitical trading logic。
The Strait of Hormuz is widely recognized as the most critical chokepoint for global oil trade. According to data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) and related shipping monitoring agencies, the flow of crude oil and condensate through this strait typically accounts for approximately 20% to 30% of the world's total oil supply.
Here are a few key facts about the importance of this strait:
1. Core geographical location
The Strait of Hormuz connects the Persian Gulf with the Gulf of Oman and serves as the only maritime route through which oil-producing countries such as Saudi Arabia, Iraq, the UAE, Kuwait, and Qatar export their oil to global markets.
2. Overview of energy flows
Oil: Approximately 20 million barrels of oil pass through this strait daily. If the strait were to close due to geopolitical factors, global oil prices could surge significantly due to supply disruptions.
Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG): In addition to crude oil, about 20% of the global...

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The beginning of this trading week points to a highly volatile week for shares, here in the Asia Pacific region and around the globe. Crude oil prices have surged, and shares are under extraordinary pressure, following negative leads from Friday night trading and a further deterioration in the conflict in the Middle East over the weekend.
Last week saw mixed responses in different regions, and across asset classes. However, by Monday morni...

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