FO Conditioning
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Here’s a question most investors never ask themselves: When you were wrong last year, how much did you lose? And when you were right, how much did you make?
Most people track their win rate. But the ratio of what happens when you’re right versus what happens when you’re wrong — that’s the number almost no one keeps. And it’s the only one that ultimately matters.
Michael Mauboussin and Dan Callahan of Morgan Stanley’s ...
Most people track their win rate. But the ratio of what happens when you’re right versus what happens when you’re wrong — that’s the number almost no one keeps. And it’s the only one that ultimately matters.
Michael Mauboussin and Dan Callahan of Morgan Stanley’s ...
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This might be my last post. For all of you who have read me all this time, I want to say thank you. This is my personal diary in trading and investing, and I am glad if some people found it helpful, because the purpose of my sharing is to remind myself of what I had learned so I can always remember it. Anyway, here are the points I want to put in this closing article — I hope it helps:
1. Question the ability of the company to generate cashflow in the next 10 years. If...
1. Question the ability of the company to generate cashflow in the next 10 years. If...
FO Conditioning
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$Accenture (ACN.US)$ I think even if it goes down to $100, I will keep buying it, I aim 100-160 range
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$Lennar Corp (LEN.US)$ I expect 60-75 if situation worsens, nevertheless it is fair value zone which I will buy and hold, I will keep my position sizing to be flexible.
My Biggest mistakes was not understanding this key,
I focus so much on making money by trading, let me write this down so I remember whenever I am about to choose what I want to trade:
A public company that consistently creates real value for customers — reflected in growing revenue and free cash flow — will, by extension, create value for investors, and will tend to see its intrinsic value and stock price rise over time, though the market may misprice it in the...
I focus so much on making money by trading, let me write this down so I remember whenever I am about to choose what I want to trade:
A public company that consistently creates real value for customers — reflected in growing revenue and free cash flow — will, by extension, create value for investors, and will tend to see its intrinsic value and stock price rise over time, though the market may misprice it in the...
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FO Conditioning
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$ServiceNow (NOW.US)$ perhaps what most people are not aware of
In environments where Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA) yields a Hurst exponent greater than 0.6, standard indicators such as the RSI, Bollinger Bands, and oscillators tend to produce false overbought or oversold signals.
You can copy what I wrote and ask AI the validity of it.
In environments where Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA) yields a Hurst exponent greater than 0.6, standard indicators such as the RSI, Bollinger Bands, and oscillators tend to produce false overbought or oversold signals.
You can copy what I wrote and ask AI the validity of it.
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![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined"){kind=small}
FO Conditioning
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$ServiceNow (NOW.US)$ glad I picked this up yesterday. of course, it’s still too early to see if there’s a change in sentiment. but i don’t buy stock based on sentiment; I buy it based on fundamentals. even if this goes under $80 next week, I’m very comfortable with the longer term value here.
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$ServiceNow (NOW.US)$ we are slightly above the support right now, which is 84-85
this is based on trading volume, this is the area where it traded most in recent weeks.
So I think 82-83 is not support, you have to think twice if the price goes there today, because if it does, personally I am prepared for 75 as I have reduced my holding to 10%
I still have 90% bullets for this.
Although we can't bet on direction, right now, based on IV,
the probability of closing today below 82 is less tha...
this is based on trading volume, this is the area where it traded most in recent weeks.
So I think 82-83 is not support, you have to think twice if the price goes there today, because if it does, personally I am prepared for 75 as I have reduced my holding to 10%
I still have 90% bullets for this.
Although we can't bet on direction, right now, based on IV,
the probability of closing today below 82 is less tha...
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