$SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ -6.9% YTD
Big Tech (MAGS) -15.9% YTD
$Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ -26.2% YTD
Capex hit $37.5B in a single quarter. Gross margins dropped to 68% (3-year low). Free cash flow is under pressure. AI is scaling, but so are costs.
$Meta Platforms (META.US)$ -20.4% YTD
Infrastructure spending keeps accelerating. Legal risks are rising at the same time. Capital intensity + regulatory pressure = a more fragile margin outloo...
Big Tech (MAGS) -15.9% YTD
$Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ -26.2% YTD
Capex hit $37.5B in a single quarter. Gross margins dropped to 68% (3-year low). Free cash flow is under pressure. AI is scaling, but so are costs.
$Meta Platforms (META.US)$ -20.4% YTD
Infrastructure spending keeps accelerating. Legal risks are rising at the same time. Capital intensity + regulatory pressure = a more fragile margin outloo...
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$Microsoft (MSFT.US)$
I see many people think the sell-off is ridiculous but I don’t see anything wrong with the valuation.
It has two problems:
- 45% of Azure backlog is from OpenAI
- AI is undermining its software business
First things first, I don’t think its software business will be disrupted by AI.
Its tools are not complex enough to warrant standalone AI applications to replace them. This is the case for Adobe for example but not fo...
I see many people think the sell-off is ridiculous but I don’t see anything wrong with the valuation.
It has two problems:
- 45% of Azure backlog is from OpenAI
- AI is undermining its software business
First things first, I don’t think its software business will be disrupted by AI.
Its tools are not complex enough to warrant standalone AI applications to replace them. This is the case for Adobe for example but not fo...
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$USD/XAU (USDXAU.CFD)$ $XAU/USD (XAUUSD.CFD)$ Gold got smacked tonight, and it’s not just about "risk-off" failing. The market’s script flipped hard:
1️⃣ PPI surprise (0.7% MoM vs. expected 0.3%) → "Inflation’s sticky!" → Fed rate cuts delayed → USD strength, yields spike → Gold gets crushed.
2️⃣ Middle East chaos → Oil surges → "Energy shock = more inflation!" → Gold’s避险 (safe-haven) logic gets sidelined by rate hike fears.
3️⃣ 2Y/10Y yields jump (3.72% / 4.22%) → Go...
1️⃣ PPI surprise (0.7% MoM vs. expected 0.3%) → "Inflation’s sticky!" → Fed rate cuts delayed → USD strength, yields spike → Gold gets crushed.
2️⃣ Middle East chaos → Oil surges → "Energy shock = more inflation!" → Gold’s避险 (safe-haven) logic gets sidelined by rate hike fears.
3️⃣ 2Y/10Y yields jump (3.72% / 4.22%) → Go...
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ExpectationGapss
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$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ $Palantir (PLTR.US)$ Team Up to Build an AI Operating System: A "Full-Stack AI System" from Chips to Apps is Emerging
A noteworthy new combo is taking shape in the tech world: NVIDIA and Palantir.
On one side, there's NVIDIA, the world's most core AI computing power supplier. On the other, Palantir, a data intelligence platform long used by governments and large institutions. Now, the two companies are collaborating to develop an AI operating s...
A noteworthy new combo is taking shape in the tech world: NVIDIA and Palantir.
On one side, there's NVIDIA, the world's most core AI computing power supplier. On the other, Palantir, a data intelligence platform long used by governments and large institutions. Now, the two companies are collaborating to develop an AI operating s...
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$Adobe (ADBE.US)$ just dropped earnings that weren’t bad (12% Digital Media ARR growth, Firefly monetizing), but the stock still got dumped 💸. Add in the CEO stepping down, and now everyone’s screaming “sell the news” or “buy the dip”… but why the disconnect? 🧐
The Expectation Gap 🕳️
Market Expected:
– AI integration = Adobe becomes the “creative hub” again (like when they killed Flash and owned PDFs 💀→🚀).
– CEO c...
The Expectation Gap 🕳️
Market Expected:
– AI integration = Adobe becomes the “creative hub” again (like when they killed Flash and owned PDFs 💀→🚀).
– CEO c...
$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$
🤯 Nvidia just did that Thursday—down 5.7% intraday to 184.32(biggest drop since Nov25),closing at 184.89. The kicker? They crushed Q4 revenue (+73% YoY) and gave Q1 guidance of ~78B. So… why the sell-off? 👇
The Expectation Gap Breakdown 🔍
1️⃣ Guidance Was "Good, But Not OMG Good":
– Some analysts were betting on **80B+for Q1.78B? Meh. 😐
– Data center revenue (62.3B)beat estimates(60.4B), but gaming (37.3B vs.40.1B expected) and automotive...
🤯 Nvidia just did that Thursday—down 5.7% intraday to 184.32(biggest drop since Nov25),closing at 184.89. The kicker? They crushed Q4 revenue (+73% YoY) and gave Q1 guidance of ~78B. So… why the sell-off? 👇
The Expectation Gap Breakdown 🔍
1️⃣ Guidance Was "Good, But Not OMG Good":
– Some analysts were betting on **80B+for Q1.78B? Meh. 😐
– Data center revenue (62.3B)beat estimates(60.4B), but gaming (37.3B vs.40.1B expected) and automotive...
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ExpectationGapss
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![[undefined]](https://static.moomoo.com/nnq/emoji/static/image/default/default-black.png?imageMogr2/thumbnail/36x36 "undefined"){kind=small}
ExpectationGapss
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$Figure Technology Solutions (FIGR.US)$ Bruhhh 11days in a row, cant u give me a break
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ExpectationGapss
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$Figure Technology Solutions (FIGR.US)$ pre-announce Q4 in the updated prospectus blockchain share offering (secondary, not new shares), launched today.
Sees prelim Q4 revenues $158-162M vs. cons $154M.
Sees prelim Q4 EBIDTA $80-83M vs cons $82M
FIGR +2%
Sees prelim Q4 revenues $158-162M vs. cons $154M.
Sees prelim Q4 EBIDTA $80-83M vs cons $82M
FIGR +2%
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