Arsoni5t : Got in before U.S. unemployment rate hit 4.3%

Arsoni5t 103153652 : Did the suppression of US Treasury yields affect bond prices? Shouldn't they go up? Why did they rise first and then fall? I am confused.

Arsoni5t Sato Nagai : How do you buy when it falls 60-70% if you don't time the market and keep a cash pile though?

Arsoni5t 10baggerbamm : 'up to'

Arsoni5t : The current pricing is based on the half probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September, and the half probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points. If 50 basis points settle down, it is already 98. If 50 basis points settle down, it will rush up a few more points. Interest rates will continue to be cut later, and TLT will continue to rise. Referring to the previous peak when interest rates were low, it was over 160

Arsoni5t 我也暗示 OP : It's hard to say... if there were another problem with the economy before the interest rate hike, people have already begun to bet on whether they will add another 50 basis points in November, then it will easily break through 100. I don't recommend playing in the short term. If you enter the market now, it's still quite stable to hold for at least half a year

Arsoni5t 我也暗示 OP : That's itIf 90% of the market bets 50 points, you don't agree, go short a wave more than once at 100, and wait until the Federal Reserve says 25 points, then you will double your profit

Arsoni5t 我也暗示 OP : There is absolutely nothing wrong with this operation. Hold it for a year and enter the US stock market at a low price