$S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ Let’s hope for a rebound in the final trading session — it’s been a painful decline. Can we still have a Merry Christmas?
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Towards the year-end of 2025, the U.S. stock market is heading into the most event-heavy—and most predictably volatile—week on the calendar. The Fed delivers its rate decision this week in absence of key economic data, with policy expectations unusually split between the hawkish and dovish camps.
On top of that, two AI-infrastructure bellwethers report earnings: $Oracle (ORCL.US)$ and $Broadcom (AVGO.US)$ . In prior years, the two...
On top of that, two AI-infrastructure bellwethers report earnings: $Oracle (ORCL.US)$ and $Broadcom (AVGO.US)$ . In prior years, the two...
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Hey Traders,
Last week's $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$80% bullish seasonality delivered, but just barely. Now we are squarely in the historical danger zone of Week 50, which is overwhelmingly bearish and coincides with the high-stakes FOMC Interest Rate Decision. This week will test the market's conviction and could trigger the rotation away from growth that has been brewing.
🔎 Key Focus Points:
– The Seasonal Flip: Week 50 is be...
Last week's $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$80% bullish seasonality delivered, but just barely. Now we are squarely in the historical danger zone of Week 50, which is overwhelmingly bearish and coincides with the high-stakes FOMC Interest Rate Decision. This week will test the market's conviction and could trigger the rotation away from growth that has been brewing.
🔎 Key Focus Points:
– The Seasonal Flip: Week 50 is be...
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Hello mooers!
U.S. markets traded cautiously ahead of the Fed, but still inched higher — $NASDAQ 100 Index (.NDX.US)$+1.01%, $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$+0.31%, and $Russell 2000 Index (.RUT.US)$+0.84% — leaving the major indices just shy of new all-time highs. The more important story: mega-cap correlation has collapsed to the lowest level since 2019, signaling a market shifting from index-driven trades to ...
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We have moved from the season of hope to the week of proof. After weeks of navigating the crosscurrents of AI skepticism and liquidity withdrawal fears, the market arrives at a critical convergence. The test is binary and unforgiving: Oracle is tasked with underwriting the AI narrative, while the Fed must thread the needle with a delicate 'Hawkish Cut' to cool expectations without freezing the market. This dual audit of corpora...
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Key Takeaways:
• Elon Musk Denies $800 Billion SpaceX Fundraising, Remains Silent on IPO
• Tesla Achieves 4 Million Electric Vehicles Produced at Giga Shanghai
• Carvana, CRH, and Comfort Systems to Join S&P 500
• IBM Nears $11 Billion Deal for Confluent
Before the Bell
Stock market futures rose slightly early Monday as investors looked toward the Federal Reserve meeting.
$E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures (DEC5) (NQmain.US)$ went up b...
• Elon Musk Denies $800 Billion SpaceX Fundraising, Remains Silent on IPO
• Tesla Achieves 4 Million Electric Vehicles Produced at Giga Shanghai
• Carvana, CRH, and Comfort Systems to Join S&P 500
• IBM Nears $11 Billion Deal for Confluent
Before the Bell
Stock market futures rose slightly early Monday as investors looked toward the Federal Reserve meeting.
$E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures (DEC5) (NQmain.US)$ went up b...
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Major events of the week:
Related to the AI sector in the US stock market:
How can Google's TPU replace NVIDIA's GPU and continue the AI narrative? Demand shifts from model training to model inference.
Major model developers like Meta have started using Google chips. To be honest, the previous narrative dominated by NVIDIA has become outdated (or overvalued). The market needs a new narrative to speculate on. Google’s specialized chips offer cost advantages over NVIDIA’s chips, as NVIDIA’s chips, while versatile and highly functional, are expensive. In contrast, Google’s chips can be specifically tailored for products.
For instance, Sora previously incurred a loss of $100 for generating each short video. This led Sora to switch to Google (Google is also more cost-effective in terms of power consumption amid the electricity shortage in the US). However, this is not a zero-sum game; it merely indicates that NVIDIA’s dominant position has been challenged.
China surpasses closed-source US artificial intelligence models in market share within the open-source AI domain.
MIT: Downloads of China’s open-source AI models have risen to 17% globally, surpassing the 15.8% market share held by developers such as Google, Meta, and OpenAI.
In reality, the biggest profit driver for current US AI companies lies in stock appreciation and premium valuations. The ecosystem of China’s open-source models has impacted the financing logic of US AI companies, primarily due to the emergence of low-cost models like DeepSeek, which affects capital expenditure > construction of computing power centers >...
Related to the AI sector in the US stock market:
How can Google's TPU replace NVIDIA's GPU and continue the AI narrative? Demand shifts from model training to model inference.
Major model developers like Meta have started using Google chips. To be honest, the previous narrative dominated by NVIDIA has become outdated (or overvalued). The market needs a new narrative to speculate on. Google’s specialized chips offer cost advantages over NVIDIA’s chips, as NVIDIA’s chips, while versatile and highly functional, are expensive. In contrast, Google’s chips can be specifically tailored for products.
For instance, Sora previously incurred a loss of $100 for generating each short video. This led Sora to switch to Google (Google is also more cost-effective in terms of power consumption amid the electricity shortage in the US). However, this is not a zero-sum game; it merely indicates that NVIDIA’s dominant position has been challenged.
China surpasses closed-source US artificial intelligence models in market share within the open-source AI domain.
MIT: Downloads of China’s open-source AI models have risen to 17% globally, surpassing the 15.8% market share held by developers such as Google, Meta, and OpenAI.
In reality, the biggest profit driver for current US AI companies lies in stock appreciation and premium valuations. The ecosystem of China’s open-source models has impacted the financing logic of US AI companies, primarily due to the emergence of low-cost models like DeepSeek, which affects capital expenditure > construction of computing power centers >...
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$S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ It’s bleeding 🩸, so disgusting 😮.
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$SPXW 251201 6900.00C$ this the thirs time reachung these highs; it gotta go🚀🚀🚀
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Columns US Morning News Call | Nvidia Counters TPU Concerns, Says Its GPUs Remain 'Generation Ahead'
Key Takeaways:
• Trump Advisor Kevin Hassett Emerges as Frontrunner for Fed Chair
• Nvidia Counters TPU Concerns, Says Its GPUs Remain ‘Generation Ahead’
• Tesla to Double Austin Robotaxi Fleet in December
• Key Earnings: BOC, IFT, etc.
🔔Before the Bell
US stock index futures advanced, with increasing expectations for Fed cuts keeping sentiment upbeat going into the Thanksgiving break.
$E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures (DEC5) (NQmain.US)$ went up b...
• Trump Advisor Kevin Hassett Emerges as Frontrunner for Fed Chair
• Nvidia Counters TPU Concerns, Says Its GPUs Remain ‘Generation Ahead’
• Tesla to Double Austin Robotaxi Fleet in December
• Key Earnings: BOC, IFT, etc.
🔔Before the Bell
US stock index futures advanced, with increasing expectations for Fed cuts keeping sentiment upbeat going into the Thanksgiving break.
$E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures (DEC5) (NQmain.US)$ went up b...
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