73248386
commented on
$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US$ $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond BuyWrite Strategy ETF(TLTW.US$ $Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF(TMF.US$
The most important question now is whether the interest rate will fall this year. If it is not the interest rate, then the TLT will not be depleted
To discuss this topic, we need to use a very low yield rate compared to the 20-year yield, so I'm comparing it directly to 30 years, and the composition of the TLT changes over time, so it can only be compared to recent years.
2022/10/24
US30Y 4,425
TLT 87.269 (plus previous dividend current price of 91.85)
TLTW 24.70
TMF 59.236
2023/8/21
US30Y 4,474
TLT 89.894 (plus previous dividend current price of 92.23)
TLTW 26.199
TMF 54,366
2024/4/4
US30Y 4,478
TLT 92.68
TLTW 26.09
TMF 51.54
So if you're in 2022/1...
The most important question now is whether the interest rate will fall this year. If it is not the interest rate, then the TLT will not be depleted
To discuss this topic, we need to use a very low yield rate compared to the 20-year yield, so I'm comparing it directly to 30 years, and the composition of the TLT changes over time, so it can only be compared to recent years.
2022/10/24
US30Y 4,425
TLT 87.269 (plus previous dividend current price of 91.85)
TLTW 24.70
TMF 59.236
2023/8/21
US30Y 4,474
TLT 89.894 (plus previous dividend current price of 92.23)
TLTW 26.199
TMF 54,366
2024/4/4
US30Y 4,478
TLT 92.68
TLTW 26.09
TMF 51.54
So if you're in 2022/1...
Translated
2
7
73248386 : Leveraged ETFs are sideways trading and losses. I personally think that compared to losses, they value multiples when interest rates are lowered