$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ $Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM.US)$ $Rigetti Computing (RGTI.US)$ Early next month will be CES. Last year, the market was focused on robotics, but this year it will likely upgrade to robotics + quantum computing. In the context of the current market conditions, this actually makes sense. The broader index has just risen from 6750 to 6900, sentiment has clearly improved, but it is also entering a phase of high volatility and consolidation while moving upward. Although the index remains strong, the cost-effectiveness of chasing highs is declining, and capital is more likely to flow into areas with clear timelines and compelling narratives. CES serves as a natural catalyst in this regard.
Following this line of thought:
TSLA remains at the core of robotics. As long as Optimus shows any substantial progress, the market will respond positively.
NVDA represents a certainty—whether it’s robotics or AI, it is indispensable.
TSM leans toward the foundational and stable side, not heavily involved in conceptual speculation, but it remains a constant through every tech cycle.
RGTI is more thematic. If quantum computing is repeatedly mentioned at CES, its short-term upside could be significant, but so will its volatility.
Typically, expectations are hyped before CES, while during the event itself, divergence often occurs. Instead of chasing highs, it may be better to wait for a pullback to accumulate positions in advance, then gradually take profits as prices rise.

$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ TSLA has always been a stock I like. Considering the current trend and recent news together, my outlook for next year is cautiously optimistic but not overly aggressive. Under normal circumstances, I lean towards a high point for next year in the range of 650–750. If narratives such as FSD (Full Self-Driving) and Robotaxi progress smoothly and sentiment reaches an extreme, reaching 800 is not impossible.
The market no longer views Tesla merely as a car-selling company; instead, it is pricing in advances in FSD/Robotaxi, the timeline for next-generation models, and the growth potential of its energy business. Even if these initiatives only make gradual progress next year without full realization, stock prices often reflect expectations in advance. As long as the macro environment does not deteriorate significantly and interest rates do not reverse unexpectedly, capital will likely continue to assign a premium. Of course, risks must be respected. If the macroeconomic environment weakens or FSD progress slows down significantly, a pullback in the stock price to the 420–450 range would not be surprising.
If TSLA experiences a short-term pullback, the 460–462 range remains a support level. If you are less enthusiastic about TSLA or unwilling to bet on the 500 price level, you could consider buying on pullbacks to profit from short-term trades. Over the past couple of days, I have reduced part of my position near 490, and moving forward, I will continue to add positions in batches during any pullbacks until the price exceeds 500.

$Amazon (AMZN.US)$ AMZN rose 1.5% overnight. This increase was not driven by sentiment but rather reflected the mid-term logic of pricing in OpenAI's investment and Trainium's integration into the core technology stack. The range of 223-225 has become short-term support; if it holds steady, the initial target is 230-232, with a further move towards 240 upon stabilization.
The real beneficiary of this development is the ASIC sector. As computing power diversifies, companies like AVGO and MRVL, which specialize in custom chips and networking, are seeing higher certainty. This does not indicate bearishness towards NVDA but rather reflects a shift from reliance on 'single GPU' solutions to 'multi-computing parallelism.'

$S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ $Tesla (TSLA.US)$ The main index fell back to around 6760 today. Multiple attempts to break through 6800 in the morning session failed, indicating that funds are clearly reducing risk ahead of upcoming events. The market has already priced in the uncertainty of December 19; 6800 has now become a resistance level, which will be difficult to reclaim in the short term. The range of 6760–6750 is currently the equilibrium zone. If Japan adopts a hawkish tone, this area may not hold, and the index could test the 6700–6720 range. Conversely, if the tone is more dovish, this zone could serve as a rebound starting point, first returning to 6800 and then targeting 6850.
The 200–205 range represents a key support zone, and initial attention should focus on the strength of buying interest here. If sentiment in the broader market or the AI sector weakens further, 190–195 would be a more comfortable level for adding positions. Above, 220–225 is a significant resistance level. Once it is firmly breached, upside potential will open up, with the first target being 240–260.
TSLA revisited the 466–470 range in early trading but quickly rebounded, spending most of the session above 475, reflecting overall strength. The 481–482 range was tested multiple times, indicating that selling pressure above is gradually easing. The 488 level is a critical inflection point; once it is convincingly breached on higher volume, the price trajectory will naturally shift upward, making the 500 mark more than just aspirational. As long as the 470 level holds, the structure remains bullish. If the stock can reach 488 this week, the probability of subsequently reaching 500 will increase significantly.

$Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ AMD is currently trading near $207, down approximately 20% from its October high of $267. Sentiment has clearly been impacted, and many investors are now hesitating about whether to take a position.
Let’s first clarify the valuation.
AMD's forward PE ratio is currently around 33–40 times, not over 50 times as rumored online. Within the AI chip sector, this valuation is not exaggerated. NVIDIA, in contrast, has a lower PE ratio but already commands nearly 80% of the market share, while AMD holds just over 10%. The significant gap indicates that there is still room for upside potential.
The growth prospects are not mere speculation.
Analysts expect AMD’s EPS growth to be around 60% next year, with continued strong growth projected for the following year. Its data center business is scaling up, with major clients like OpenAI, Oracle, and Meta already on board. The AI chip segment is indeed gaining momentum, not just停留在纸上谈兵.
What does the market think?
Currently, over thirty analysts have set a target price range for AMD between $240 and $280, indicating some upside potential ahead.
However, the risks must be clearly stated.
This is a high-volatility stock, with a Beta close to 2, making significant intraday fluctuations common. Moreover, NVIDIA's moat remains deep, and AMD's efforts to gain market share will not follow a straight path—there will undoubtedly be setbacks along the way.
Therefore, the conclusion is straightforward:
...

$Microsoft (MSFT.US)$ Microsoft dropped another 0.8 today, closing at 474. To be honest, the forward P/E ratio is only 29—what does that mean? It's at a historical low. Out of 34 analysts, 32 are recommending a buy, with an average target price of 628, indicating a potential upside of 31%. The recent challenges in AI, including antitrust investigations and reduced sales quotas, are merely short-term noise. Azure is still growing at 39%, which remains a solid performer. At this price level, long-term investors can confidently buy without hesitation. Of course, there will likely be volatility in the short term, and we'll have to wait until the end of January next year for the earnings report to understand how well AI products are selling. I'm betting that enterprise adoption rates will reach new highs. It’s time to take a position.

$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ $Broadcom (AVGO.US)$ $GE Vernova (GEV.US)$ $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ TSLA rose to 469 in pre-market trading. This upward movement is more of a technical rebound. Upon opening, the key level to watch is 465. If it holds, the price will continue to rise; otherwise, it may retreat to 460-462. The immediate resistance lies at 470-472. Without sufficient volume, the price could easily be pushed back after reaching this range. Only by firmly holding above 472 will the price extend towards 475-480. Investors who purchased near 442 last week and have not yet exited can consider taking partial profits during this rebound to lock in gains.
AVGO and GEV are also starting to rebound in pre-market trading today. For AVGO, the focus after the opening is whether it can stabilize above 360. Holding this level will confirm the rebound's sustainability. Immediate resistance is at 365-370. Failure to break through this range could push the price back down. Only by firmly holding here will there be an opportunity to test 380.
For GEV, support is seen at 670-675. A hold above this range indicates that the pullback remains within a controllable range. The immediate resistance is at 690-700, where selling pressure is expected. A breakout above 700 is required for the price to move towards 720.
The key focus for NVDA today is whether it can hold above 175-176. If it does, the price will likely remain in a slightly bullish consolidation. If it fails, a retest of 172-173 is highly probable. This range could be considered for staggered entry. The clear resistance is at 180. Only by effectively breaking and stabilizing above 180 will the price have a chance to extend towards 185-188.

$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ $Broadcom (AVGO.US)$ $GE Vernova (GEV.US)$TSLA's movement today was basically in line with what I mentioned yesterday. The intraday low retraced to 442, which exactly fell within the short-term buying range I provided. I entered some short-term positions here. Subsequently, the price quickly rebounded to around 455, at which point I decided to take profits on this portion of the position. TSLA is known for its high volatility, so my strategy remains unchanged: buy at the lows, exit on rebounds, and only aim for the moves I can clearly identify, without being greedy.
AVGO and GEV also returned to the support zones repeatedly mentioned before. AVGO reached 360, while GEV settled between 650–660. From a structural perspective, both levels represent relatively low points and are supported by overlapping sentiment and technical factors. Entering here requires more patience; after purchasing, there’s no need to monitor the market closely. Once market sentiment stabilizes and capital flows back, these stocks will likely have room for a rebound.

$Tesla (TSLA.US)$ TSLA surged to 455 shortly after the market opened, and the price remained above the VWAP (around 452). As long as it does not effectively break below 452–453, today’s session is likely to follow a pattern of high-level consolidation before pushing higher. The first level of resistance above is at 458–460. If the price can stabilize above 455 during pullbacks, there will be potential for testing around 465. However, if it breaks below 452, today’s momentum could easily shift from strength to sideways consolidation, with prices potentially retreating to the range of 446–448.