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Harper leeMaleID: 71532378
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    Harper lee liked and commented on
    $Intel(INTC.US)$is definitely undervalued, however$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD.US)$will grow into it's current valuation allot quicker than expected. Inclusive of $Xilinx(XLNX.US)$, AMD can realistically hit $30B revenue by the end of 2022. Demand for their high margin server and HPC products is insane, and Intel won't have anything to compete till 2025. SR won't be out till around 2Q or 3Q 22 and 5nm Genoa is already sampling to customers. 128 core Zen4c Bergamo will be out in 1Q23 and there is no way Intel is getting on 3nm before$Apple(AAPL.US)$does in 1Q23.
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    $Lucid(LCID.US)$ Lucid is making some very nice EVs but they are in the luxury class with no plans to dip down in to the Model 3/Y market. Good luck to them but they will not be a threat to $Tesla(TSLA.US)$ for a very long time.
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    Harper lee liked and commented on

    Disney annual report presages monster content spending for coming year

    It's that time of year for $Walt Disney(DIS.US)$ annual report, and poring through its length gives some clues to the company's investment plans ahead.
    Coming to the forefront of key questions for streaming services is the still-growing need for ever more content to feed them; Disney's no exception there, and it gave considerable attention on its earnings call earlier this month to the rebound it expects when the programs it's planning make their way through the pipe.
    The annual report gives an indicator of Disney's seriousness there. It currently expects fiscal 2022 spend on "produced and licensed content, including sports rights" to be as much as $33 billion - about $8 billion more than an already-high 2021 figure.
    That boost is "driven by higher spend to support our (direct-to-consumer) expansion and generally assumes no significant disruptions to production due to COVID-19," the company says.
    As for corporate-wide capital expenditures, it's looking to raise those in 2022 to $6.1 billion from 2021's total of $3.6 billion, expecting "higher spending on cruise ship fleet expansion, corporate facilities and production facilities and technology" at its Disney Media and Entertainment Distribution segment.
    The report also lays out the number of subscribers to Disney's linear pay-TV channels, and they indicate a still-hefty decline in ESPN subs, among the priciest in all of pay television.
    Domestic subscribers to ESPN fell to 76 million from 2020's 84 million. (Considering bundling, 76 million also represents the number of subs for Disney Channel, ESPN 2, Freeform, and National Geographic.) For the Fox channels it inherited in its acquisition of those media assets, FX had 77 million subscribers in 2021, while FXX had 72 million and FXM 47 million.
    On an international basis, Disney Channel has 162 million subscribers; ESPN has 64 million; Fox has 184 million; and National Geographic 320 million. Star General Entertainment has 132 million subs while Star Sports has 84 million.
    Disney's expecting to rule the long holiday weekend at the box office with the most recent release from its animation department, Encanto.
    Disney annual report presages monster content spending for coming year
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    ColumnARKK's Top-Ten Components Have Struggled Mightily

    $ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK.US)$ For perspective, the chart taken below from the ARK Invest website presented ARKK's top-ten holdings of the ARK Innovation ETF as of August 9th, 2021.
    Looking at a similar snapshot today, which is shown below, even though Tesla's shares have galloped higher, Cathie Wood has been a consistent seller, and the market value of Tesla shares held at ARKK has actually declined.
    Sticking with the top-ten holdings of the ARK Innovation ETF as of August 9th, 2021, and looking at a performance update today is illuminating.
    Here was the performance year-to-date of the top holdings of ARKK, as of August 9th, 2021, interspersed with the SPDR S&P 500 ETF, and the Invesco QQQ Trust.
    $Shopify(SHOP.US)$ - Up 36.9%
    $Block(SQ.US)$ - Up 28.5%
    $Roku Inc(ROKU.US)$ - Up 19.8%
    $SPDR S&P 500 ETF(SPY.US)$ - Up 19.0%
    $Nasdaq Composite Index(.IXIC.US)$ - Up 17.8%
    $Zoom Video Communications(ZM.US)$ - Up 13.6%
    $Coinbase(COIN.US)$ - Up 12.2%
    $Twilio(TWLO.US)$ - Up 11.1%
    $Tesla(TSLA.US)$ - Up 1.2%
    $Teladoc Health(TDOC.US)$ - Down 24.7%
    $Unity Software(U.US)$ - Down 28.2%
    $Spotify Technology(SPOT.US)$ - Down 28.6%
    At that point in time, only three holdings of the top-ten holdings in the ARK Innovation ETF, more specifically, Shopify, Square, and Roku, were outperforming the 19.0% gain in the S&P 500 Index, and the average performance of the top-ten holdings was a gain of 4.2%. This was a better return than the ARK Innovation ETF itself, which remember was up only 0.2% YTD through August 9th, 2021.
    Ranking that same list of companies, here are the updated year-to-date return figures as of November 23rd, 2021.
    $Tesla(TSLA.US)$ - Up 57.2%
    $Shopify(SHOP.US)$ - Up 39.0%
    $Nasdaq Composite Index(.IXIC.US)$ - Up 27.1%
    $Coinbase(COIN.US)$ - Up 26.9%
    $SPDR S&P 500 ETF(SPY.US)$ - Up 26.5%
    $Unity Software(U.US)$ - Up 14.7%
    $Block(SQ.US)$ - Down 3.3%
    $Twilio(TWLO.US)$ - Down 18.7%
    $Spotify Technology(SPOT.US)$ - Down 22.8%
    $Roku Inc(ROKU.US)$ - Down 31.9%
    $Zoom Video Communications(ZM.US)$ - Down 38.7%
    $Teladoc Health(TDOC.US)$ - Down 48.4%
    There has been a wholesale change in the performance rankings, with SHOP really the only constant. Today, three of the ARKK top-ten components are outperforming the SPDR 500 ETF. Looking closer, only two of the ARKK top-ten components are outperforming the Invesco QQQ Trust, and these two are TSLA and SHOP. The average performance of the top-ten holdings has declined from a 4.2% gain as of August 9th, 2021, to a 2.6% loss. Notably, this is less of a decline in the performance of ARKK itself, which was up 0.2% as of August 9th, 2021, yet is down by 14.9% as of November 23rd, 2021. Compared to August 9th, 2021, the biggest market capitalization positions have thrived, yet it is the underbelly of ARKK that has seen a more dramatic sell-off, which is of course represented by some underperforming companies in ARKK's top-ten list, notably TDOC, ZM, and ROKU.
    ARKK's Top-Ten Components Have Struggled Mightily
    ARKK's Top-Ten Components Have Struggled Mightily
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    Harper lee liked and commented on
    $Amazon(AMZN.US)$ "Amazon Prime Rewards Visa Signature Card"
    This saves me THOUSANDS every year. 5% back on Amazon and an EXTRA 10% on sale items at Whole Foods. And there are a lot of sales items at any one time.
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    We should think back to when Musk decided to get into insurance. It was because $Tesla(TSLA.US)$ owners were having a hard time getting insured by existing ins. cos. at reasonable rates so the problem was a drag on Tesla sales. Now, years later the level of difficulty for Tesla owners getting insurance has dropped a lot - as have the rates. So, what is today's motivation. Tesla insurance unless it is especially less expensive for Tesla owners, will probably not have that much impact on Tesla sales. Consequently, Musk/Tesla is entering into another commodity business with very high competition and low margins. The problem is Tesla insurance - a low margin business - does little to nothing to support the justifications of Tesla valuations.
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    Harper lee liked and commented on
    $Tesla(TSLA.US)$ If you're a growth investor, than don't sleep on Tesla because they are hitting well over their 50% YOY goal for 2021 and with Giga Texas coming online, they will do another 50% next year :) Still not convinced? Go test drive one and see why Hertz ordered 100k model 3s. I wouldn't be surprised if they ordered 100k model Ys next year. Perfect buying opportunity IMO this stock is a 5-10x in 10years.
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    $S&P 500 index(.SPX.US)$ So true to watch the $U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield(US10Y.BD)$:
    If the rate stays below 2%, the bubble will continue to expand.
    2%-4%, market neutral.
    Over 5%? POP goes the weasel.
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    Harper lee liked and commented on

    Xpeng stock is up today

    $XPeng(XPEV.US)$ rallies after the company sold more cars than anticipated in Q3.
    The Chinese automaker reported Q3 deliveries growth of 199% Y/Y to 25,666 units vs. the guidance range of 23,000 to 25,000 vehicles. Total revenue was up 188% during the quarter.
    Xpeng also highlighted again its plans to expand in Europe and invest in self-driving technology.
    XPEV traded as high as $54.00 earlier in the session to mark its high point since January.
    Xpeng stock is up today
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    NETFLIX - Where to next?

    $Netflix(NFLX.US)$ The big question is not just where Netflix ends up going next but where is the market as such going.
    Will there be a good correction inbound or is the market just taking a small pause now to rise higher very soon?
    The answers will unfold in front of us in the next coming weeks
    NETFLIX - Where to next?
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