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Brain Gomes Male ID: 71519767
retired two years ago wanna use super to earn more
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    Brain Gomes liked and commented on
    $Alibaba(BABA.US)$ Only 15% down, ANT should be valued as a traditional bank now. The valuation should be a fraction of its IPO valuation, or just about 15% IPO pricing.
    1
    Brain Gomes liked and commented on
    $Affirm Holdings(AFRM.US)$ shares slip 1.9% in premarket trading after rival $AFTERPAY LTD SPONS ADS ECH REP 1 ORD SHS(AFTPY.US)$ introduces a Buy Now, Pay Later subscription service in the U.S.
    Afterpay stock gains 0.9%.
    Merchants, including Fabletics, IPSY, BoxyCharm, and Savage X Fenty, will be among the first to offer consumers the option to pay for recurring purchases in installments starting early next year.
    The new service allows qualified merchant partners to potentially offer Afterpay for everyday payment needs including gym memberships, entertainment subscriptions, online services and more.
    The subscriptions will be available to consumers across online platforms in the U.S. and Australia by early 2022, with plans to extend the feature in-store and to other regions including Canada, New Zealand, the U.K., and Europe.
    $PayPal(PYPL.US)$, which also has a BNPL service, drops 0.7% in premarket trading.
    In August, $Block(SQ.US)$ agreed to buy Afterpay for ~$29B in stock.
    Afterpay to start Buy Now, Pay later subscription service; Affirm shares drop
    12
    Brain Gomes liked and commented on
    $Lucid Group(LCID.US)$ Lucid Air is a good car, pricey too and Peter Rawlinson is a competent CEO, he is no Elon Musk. And LCID is overvalued, beet of luck to them , the world needs to get off oil, my dough is on $Tesla(TSLA.US)$ all others are pretenders for the next 4 years,
    8
    Brain Gomes liked and commented on
    $AbbVie(ABBV.US)$ Upgraded to buy?
    Seems a day late and a dollar short if you ask me.
    I've held on to my shares of AbbVie ever since it was spun off Abbott Labs on 1/2/13.
    I used to think 13 was a bad luck number, but now I'm not so sure.
    AbbVie has done nothing but rise in price and raise its dividend ever since it was spun off Abbott Labs.
    I received my AbbVie dividend check in the mail a few days ago.
    When I saw it, I started to sing: "AbbVie, how I love you, how I love you, my dear old AbbVie."
    6
    Brain Gomes reacted to
    $Palantir(PLTR.US)$ Too many value investors criticizing SBC. They don't realize that in tech, if you want to hire the best and brightest, you need to pay them in stocks. If you think that SBC is a problem then sell your shares and go buy something else. Pltr to the moon!
    7
    Brain Gomes reacted to and commented on
    Central banks could drive stocks higher all the way through to the middle of 2023, but that would create a serious economic risk when the bubble bursts, according to Stifel.
    "We calculate that a bubble driven by current central bank real yield repression may take the$SPDR S&P 500 ETF(SPY.US)$to 5,500 mid-2022 and 6,750 mid-2023, creating a systemic risk when it bursts," Stifel says.
    Real rates saw a jump higher yesterday, but are still historically low. The 10-year inflation-protected$iShares TIPS Bond ETF(TIP.US)$is at -0.98%.
    There have been just two equity bubbles in Wall Street's history: 1928-1928 and 1998-1999 and "neither ended well for stock or economic conditions," Stifel says.
    Now, a third bubble is "percolating," the team adds.
    The question is whether the Federal Reserve will lean against the risk of a bubble or just let asset prices rip, "magnifying financial risk when it bursts."
    What can the Fed do? Watching the 10-year real yield is key to assessing market risk and the possibility of an S&P correction, Stifel says.
    Stifel says that to forestall risk, the Fed may "tilt more hawkish while at the same time the Biden/Yellen duo may support the stronger dollar ($USD(USDindex.FX)$) that accompanies such a Fed shift (a strong dollar subdues energy & food inflation in a supply-constrained inflation environment and improves the chances that BBB overcomes inflation concerns among Senate moderates, while also affecting the timing of a reconciliation bill to lift the U.S. debt ceiling)."
    "This combination of factors may raise U.S. real yields and lower the S&P 500 P/E."
    Watch Cyclicals and Defensives. Cyclical stocks have led the market rebound from the pandemic low on an equal-weight basis.
    Actions like the above by the Fed and administration would cut into the reflation that favors Cyclicals over Defensives.
    Stifel recommends going overweight some defensive stocks in sectors like Utilities ($Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLU.US)$), Consumer Staples ($Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLP.US)$) and Health Care ($The Health Care Select Sector SPDR® Fund(XLV.US)$) for the current quarter and Q1 2022.
    They underweight some cyclical subsectors in Financials ($Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLF.US)$), Energy ($Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLE.US)$) and Materials ($Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF(XLB.US)$).
    BMO says that the still-hot tech sector can outperform next year, even with rising rates.
    S&P 500 bubble could create a 'systemic risk' by 2023, Stifel says: At the Open
    11
    I am not a $NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$ shareholder.
    Nobody's perfect.
    But if I did own it, I certainly would never sell it.
    NVIDIA has been an outstanding long term investment.
    5
    Brain Gomes liked and commented on
    $Alibaba(BABA.US)$ As much as I understand a lot of investors are not always open to listen to arguments from the other lair (Bears Vs Bulls), it is mildly entertaining to see how much the market overreacts every time some news comes out. Bad or positive doesn’t matter. The stocks swing wildly up and down before settling on a market consensus. And never ever have I seen that the market reacts appropriately to some news. One can always earn money on these swings if you see it coming and prepare. Yes there is risk for BABA, but the company is still worth something and a lot less risky that many other companies so what is a fair price? Meanwhile $JD.com(JD.US)$ which is in the same business as BABA only smaller and has a slightly different business model (more similar to $Amazon(AMZN.US)$) is doing great. If the Chinese consumer spending is going down I don’t understand why only BABA should hurt, and if it’s not perhaps the fear of china’s version of state capitalism is blown out of proportions. I doubt anyone (China or the US) want to see BABA fail.
    8
    Brain Gomes reacted to and commented on
    So even in 2023 $Rivian Automotive(RIVN.US)$ would still need help from $Ford Motor(F.US)$ to fill a huge order of 1000 units. And this is 100bn + company. Amazing!
    8
    Brain Gomes reacted to
    $SoFi Technologies(SOFI.US)$ Buying a financial company that makes no money. Wild.
    You have to really be bad at what you are doing to not make money in the financial industry, saying that as someone involved. If you aren't making money it's because you don't know what you're doing.
    The excuse people will want to give is that they are investing in technology. Technology for what? They aren't making money, so therefore technology isn't warranted. They need to understand what they actually do before expanding and doing anything else.
    Willing to bet their investor base also has absolutely no understanding of what they're investing in.
    12