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JoanFishersMaleID: 71104908
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    JoanFishers commented on

    Why can we choose BHP Group and Rio Tinto

    Both are projected to provide double-digit returns in the long-term under their current conditions. BHP $BHP Group Ltd(BHP.AU)$ is projected to return about 12% annual return (“ROI”) and RIO $Rio Tinto Ltd(RIO.AU)$ even higher at about 15%, while the overall market is only about 6%.
    The fundamental reason is both BHP and RIO have superior ROCE (return on capital employed). Their ROCEs are both in the range of about 30%, higher than the overall market by 1...
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    JoanFishers commented on

    NVIDIA Q1 2023 Investment Note

    NVIDIA beat estimates, and crypto-mining card revenue nominal
    All you need to know about this earnings season
    Touch the wealth collection NOW! >>
    Key Takeaways:
    Attitude: NVIDIA delivered a strong quarter driven by both Data Center and Gaming in a challenging macro environment. NVIDIA achieved a record revenue of $8.3 billion, up 8% sequentially and up 46% y/y. Data Center has become NVIDIA's largest market sector, and NVIDIA sees continued strong momentum going fo...
    NVIDIA Q1 2023 Investment Note
    NVIDIA Q1 2023 Investment Note
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    Satori's Dan Niles: S&P 500 will fall in 2022, likes Google, Facebook and cash

    Widely followed hedge fund manager Dan Niles predicted Wednesday that the $S&P 500 index(.SPX.US)$ will decline in 2022, as the Federal Reserve is forced to raise interest rates and stock valuations come further off of all-time highs.
    "My favorite investment idea right now is cash," the founder and portfolio manager at Satori Fund told CNBC.
    In terms of individual stock picks, Niles pointed to Google's parent company $Alphabet-C(GOOG.US)$$Alphabet-A(GOOGL.US)$ and Facebook's parent $Meta Platforms(FB.US)$, which he says provide growth at a reasonable price.
    "Those are great names. The names you want to be scared about are the ones that have no earnings and are valued off of revenues," he said. "Those are the stocks that are going to have huge troubles as rates continue to ratchet up."
    Niles argued that signs of weakness have been popping up in the equity markets for the past several weeks, with indexes like the Russel 2000 falling dramatically over that span.
    "Underneath the surface, there's a lot of damage being done and people are just continuing to crowd into some of the biggest names," he said.
    Detailing his prediction for 2022, Niles projected that the Fed will be forced to raise rates to counteract inflationary pressures. This, in turn, will push stocks off of lofty valuation levels, which reached a peak above figures seen during the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early 2000s.
    Meanwhile, for the end of the year, Niles contended that most fund managers are "either window dressing or tax-loss selling," which means that value stocks will have trouble finding support during December.
    Niles has long supported FB and GOOGL. See what tech giant he previously labeled "the most overpriced tech stock."
    Satori's Dan Niles: S&P 500 will fall in 2022, likes Google, Facebook and cash
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    Apple iPhone 13 wait times in US and China continue to get better, UBS says

    Wait times for $Tesla(TSLA.US)$ iPhone 13, particularly the high-end models, are getting better in some of the tech giant's key markets, including the U.S. and China, UBS writes in a research note.
    Apple shares up 1.65% to $168.03 in early Wednesday trading.
    Analyst David Vogt notes that wait times - while still "elevated" - for the iPhone 13 Pro and iPhone 13 Pro Max have declined by two days since last week to 16 and 14 days, respectively. Wait times in the U.K., Germany and France also declined to 14 days, while the wait dropped to 16 days in Japan.
    The wait time for the Apple iPhone 13 Pro and iPhone 13 Pro Max is 18 days in China, with the wait time for the 13 Pro "in line with last year's model," while the wait times for the 13 Pro Max "have yet to drop to the degree we saw last year despite the high price point suggesting stronger demand," Vogt adds.
    The analyst expects December quarter iPhone units to come in at 80 million units and fiscal 2022 iPhone units to be 230 million, compared to 82 million and 235 million, respectively.
    Vogt has a $175 price target on Apple shares, which includes $14 a share on Apple's auto opportunity.
    On Tuesday, Taiwanese research firm TrendForce said Apple will unveil the third-generation of its iPhone SE in the first quarter of 2022.
    Apple iPhone 13 wait times in US and China continue to get better, UBS says
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    My personal thoughts are that the price action of $Altimeter Growth Corp(AGC.US)$/$Grab Holdings(GRAB.US)$ will be driven less by valuation/fundamental metrics and more by the intangibles. The emerging SEA market and its hot potential is very desirable for investors now, especially as a safer alternative to volatile China stocks. With few pure play ways available to invest there, AGC/Grab will certainly be a premium must have buy if not for its name recognition alone. After the merge I think the company will get a 9-12 month honeymoon show-me period before valuation metrics take the wheel and begin driving the share price.
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    Moderna loses patent fight against Arbutus related to vaccines; Arbutus up 40%

    A federal appeals court has upheld a ruling by the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office to not invalidate patents held by $Arbutus Biopharma(ABUS.US)$, dealing a blow to $Moderna(MRNA.US)$.
    The court ruled that Moderna had no standing to appeal.
    The patents in question cover a novel lipid formulation for nucleic acid delivery. These lipid nanoparticles are essential to protect mRNA therapies as they travel through the body to cells.
    As a result, Arbutus may be eligible for royalties from Moderna from sales of its COVID-19 vaccine.
    Moderna had argued that the claims in the patents were obvious and upholding them would open the company to patent infringement lawsuits.
    Moderna loses patent fight against Arbutus related to vaccines; Arbutus up 40%
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    $Grab Holdings(GRAB.US)$ I am neutral on shares, but I bought a number of Jan and April calls on $Altimeter Growth Corp(AGC.US)$ to take advantage of the volatility spike at merger. We had very low IV and historical volatility up until Aug 30 when the Motley Fool article came out about Grab's Q1 results. The IV spiked and dipped, but is still at elevated levels compared to before Aug 30. That being said, it is still below average and way below the peak around AGC's announcement of Grab as its target. There a number of compelling reasons why I think we will see a pop before merger, with a possibility of a selloff after.
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    PayPal stock rises after use of its BNPL service jumps on Black Friday

    $PayPal(PYPL.US)$ stock gains 1.6% in premarket trading after CEO Dan Schulman said the company's "Buy Now, Pay Later" option surged almost 400% Y/Y on Black Friday in an interview on CNBC's "Mad Money" program.
    "That's been one of the stars of the holiday season for us," Schulman said after the close on Tuesday.
    Keep in mind that the company has only been in BNPL for about a year or year and a half, which means the base from a year ago was very small.
    "We did some 750,000 transactions alone in one day on Black Friday," he told Jim Cramer referring to the Friday after Thanksgiving. And the company had more than $1B of process volume through its BNPL option in November. "We did over 1M first-time users for the first time ever in a month," he added.
    When asked if PayPal is a "second fiddle" in BNPL, Schulman said the company has grown to one of the top three or four BNPL players in the world.
    He also said the company is on track for 55M net new actives.
    BNPL rival $Affirm Holdings(AFRM.US)$ rises 1.6% in premarket. $Block(SQ.US)$, which is buying BNPL firm $Afterpay Ltd.(AFTPF.US)$, rises 0.6%. $MasterCard(MA.US)$ gains 1.8% and $Visa(V.US)$ is up 1.4%; both are involved in BNPL.
    In the past year, PayPal's stock decline of 14% contrasts with Square's 1.3% decline, Affirm's 159% surge, and the S&P 500's 28% increase as seen in the graph below.
    Previously (Nov. 28), Affirm Holdings and $Adyen N.V. Unsponsored ADR(ADYEY.US)$ stocks extend gains as PayPal, Visa, other peers slip.
    PayPal stock rises after use of its BNPL service jumps on Black Friday
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    $Grab Holdings(GRAB.US)$ Grab and GoTo should be very concerned with how easily SE was haul in $6.5B offering without much discount. $Altimeter Growth Corp(AGC.US)$
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    HOOD sinks 8% to a record low on heavy volume as investing app IPO lockup expire

    $Robinhood(HOOD.US)$ sank some 8% Wednesday to its lowest level since going public four months ago, falling on heavy volume as the popular investing app’s IPO lockup fully expired.
    HOOD dropped as much as 7.9% to a $23.89 intraday record low before recovering slightly to close at $23.93, shedding 7.8% on the session to reach its worst finish to date.
    The stock fell on heavy volume of 32.9M shares − more than 3x HOOD’s 9.7M daily average.
    Shares were apparently tanking due to the final and most significant in a series of lockup expirations that followed the company’s IPO. Some 569.7M shares bought at IPO by insiders and key investors like $Salesforce(CRM.US)$ became eligible for sale for the first time Wednesday.
    HOOD has been falling for the past four sessions, apparently in anticipation of the lockup’s expiration. All told, the stock has lost some 19.6% since last Wednesday’s close at $27.78.
    Robinhood operates a popular investing app that has introduced many Millennials and other new investors to the stock market. The company staged what had been an eagerly anticipated initial public offering in July.
    However, the IPO priced at the bottom of its expected $38-$42/share range, and then HOOD tanked instead of rising in its first post-IPO session. So far, the stock has fallen 37% from HOOD’s IPO price.
    Shares sank Wednesday despite word that Robinhood had introduced a new feature making it easy for customers to transfer assets from other brokerages into their HOOD accounts.
    The stock also failed to get a boost from news that Cathie Wood's $ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK.US)$ had snapped up some 837,000 HOOD shares on Tuesday.
    HOOD sinks 8% to a record low on heavy volume as investing app IPO lockup expire
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