$iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT.US$
Bitcoin didn't do very well this afternoon. It is currently in a critical position. The 20-day EMA (meaning Bitcoin, not an ETF) and the 60-day EMA have now come together. However, the 60-day average will definitely continue to rise, and if the price continues to fall below the 20-day average, it will be weighed down by the EMA and cause the 20-day average to continue to decline. As a result, deaths on the 20-day average intersected with the 60-day average. Once this is the case, it's quite troublesome.
I hope the bulls will step up tomorrow, so that at least the Bitcoin price can reach the 20-day average and stop falling, otherwise it will have to test the 60,000 mark again.
Bitcoin didn't do very well this afternoon. It is currently in a critical position. The 20-day EMA (meaning Bitcoin, not an ETF) and the 60-day EMA have now come together. However, the 60-day average will definitely continue to rise, and if the price continues to fall below the 20-day average, it will be weighed down by the EMA and cause the 20-day average to continue to decline. As a result, deaths on the 20-day average intersected with the 60-day average. Once this is the case, it's quite troublesome.
I hope the bulls will step up tomorrow, so that at least the Bitcoin price can reach the 20-day average and stop falling, otherwise it will have to test the 60,000 mark again.
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高贵的阿德莱德
commented on
$Tesla(TSLA.US$
I only bought one, and it was a fun bet. One hot pot 🍲 turned into several meals, so it's worth being happy. Retail investors come to trade stocks, mainly Tuyilu. Take the initiative to trade in the stock market. If you're not happy, don't do it. There are many ways for Chinese people to make money by doing side jobs in the US, such as investing in spy qqq, buying an investment house, starting a private kitchen if they have the skills, etc., and the benefits are good. When it comes to trading stocks, it's certainly important to make money; it's even more important to be happy.
So, I decided to eat hot pot this weekend! Next week, wrestle! Tasty hot pot and skewers aren't that easy to eat in the US either.
Tesla's fundamentals are still sluggish, but with dreaming and the inevitable overfall, it has experienced an astonishing surge after the earnings report. This is my attitude anyway: bet to win, get off the table quickly, then go eat chicken to avoid losing again.
However, it is definitely the right thing to do to increase market share by relying on cheap models. The future FSD business will be supported by the number of users. Just like the Apple ecosystem, the number of users must be large enough.
Follow-up trend of the tiger crotch: the upper side of the game decided that this was a bear market rebound. If you want to turn cows, it will take a long time to clean up, change hands thoroughly, and get rid of locked up retail customers. I'm not participating in this volatile market. After all, there are still so many good stocks.
A few stocks I've been watching before, updated:
$FactSet Research Systems(FDS.US$ Another wave of decline reached the weekly average of 120 yen. We've all received support here before, but now there's a problem,...
I only bought one, and it was a fun bet. One hot pot 🍲 turned into several meals, so it's worth being happy. Retail investors come to trade stocks, mainly Tuyilu. Take the initiative to trade in the stock market. If you're not happy, don't do it. There are many ways for Chinese people to make money by doing side jobs in the US, such as investing in spy qqq, buying an investment house, starting a private kitchen if they have the skills, etc., and the benefits are good. When it comes to trading stocks, it's certainly important to make money; it's even more important to be happy.
So, I decided to eat hot pot this weekend! Next week, wrestle! Tasty hot pot and skewers aren't that easy to eat in the US either.
Tesla's fundamentals are still sluggish, but with dreaming and the inevitable overfall, it has experienced an astonishing surge after the earnings report. This is my attitude anyway: bet to win, get off the table quickly, then go eat chicken to avoid losing again.
However, it is definitely the right thing to do to increase market share by relying on cheap models. The future FSD business will be supported by the number of users. Just like the Apple ecosystem, the number of users must be large enough.
Follow-up trend of the tiger crotch: the upper side of the game decided that this was a bear market rebound. If you want to turn cows, it will take a long time to clean up, change hands thoroughly, and get rid of locked up retail customers. I'm not participating in this volatile market. After all, there are still so many good stocks.
A few stocks I've been watching before, updated:
$FactSet Research Systems(FDS.US$ Another wave of decline reached the weekly average of 120 yen. We've all received support here before, but now there's a problem,...
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高贵的阿德莱德
commented on
$Tesla(TSLA.US$
I posted a post this morning saying that Tesla may run out of profit after the earnings report. Since there are too many deviations from the long-term moving average, a rebound is likely at any time. But I didn't bet on earnings, so I didn't buy it. Later, in a message with a mooer, I ended up laughing that I could use the money for a hot pot meal to buy a call and have fun. In the past, I was only kidding, but this time I actually spent a few hundred yuan to buy a call.
I never expected it to rise so much after the earnings report. It seems that I can participate often in this kind of small gambling experience in the future, but I will limit the amount to a few hundred yuan each time. After all, I don't want to make money this way. Money from gambling will be lost sooner or later. Deviating too far from the moving average is not a necessary condition for an increase; suppressing financial reports based on this is still gambling. I can only say that winning is slightly greater than losing.
Let's see how many meals of hot pot I can make money tomorrow.
No matter how high this TSLA rebound is, it is a bear market rebound. Of course, if you do a bear market rebound, you can also make a lot of money. But I'm not really interested in this kind of high-risk stuff. It is still necessary to close the moving average, choose a new direction, and successfully break through upward before entering a bull market. In the early days of the bull market, cars will rise steadily in the morning until later.
As for the subsequent trend of technology stocks, I am most concerned $Microsoft(MSFT.US$ As an emerging stock leader, Microsoft's earnings report and Friday PC are very important. This week is really important. Whether to return to the rise or continue to adjust, I'll see you on Friday. If it can return to the rise, it will rise again on Friday...
I posted a post this morning saying that Tesla may run out of profit after the earnings report. Since there are too many deviations from the long-term moving average, a rebound is likely at any time. But I didn't bet on earnings, so I didn't buy it. Later, in a message with a mooer, I ended up laughing that I could use the money for a hot pot meal to buy a call and have fun. In the past, I was only kidding, but this time I actually spent a few hundred yuan to buy a call.
I never expected it to rise so much after the earnings report. It seems that I can participate often in this kind of small gambling experience in the future, but I will limit the amount to a few hundred yuan each time. After all, I don't want to make money this way. Money from gambling will be lost sooner or later. Deviating too far from the moving average is not a necessary condition for an increase; suppressing financial reports based on this is still gambling. I can only say that winning is slightly greater than losing.
Let's see how many meals of hot pot I can make money tomorrow.
No matter how high this TSLA rebound is, it is a bear market rebound. Of course, if you do a bear market rebound, you can also make a lot of money. But I'm not really interested in this kind of high-risk stuff. It is still necessary to close the moving average, choose a new direction, and successfully break through upward before entering a bull market. In the early days of the bull market, cars will rise steadily in the morning until later.
As for the subsequent trend of technology stocks, I am most concerned $Microsoft(MSFT.US$ As an emerging stock leader, Microsoft's earnings report and Friday PC are very important. This week is really important. Whether to return to the rise or continue to adjust, I'll see you on Friday. If it can return to the rise, it will rise again on Friday...
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My positioning is mainly entertainment, supplemented by stock ratings. If everyone is happy to watch it, I'm happy, and I'm even happier if they can make money. We retail investors don't expect stock trading to become billionaires; the most important thing is to be happy.
高贵的阿德莱德
commented on
As the title says.
Although interest rates on 10-year treasury bonds have risen and fallen in the past two days, overall, they have maintained a good bullish ranking pattern.
The last time this trend occurred was in the summer of 2023.
At the time, US stocks had just gone through a beautiful wave of gains in late spring and early summer. TLT prices are also trending sideways.
No one has forgotten what happened since then.
If 10-year treasury bonds repeat this trend, then the long-term bond market will be very “exciting.” It's also the main reason I've been staying away from tlt lately.
As for the vclt I have, even though the dividend rate is over 5%, I plan to reduce my position when the price rises. It's just that there isn't that much pressure, because the dividends are good, which is about the same as holding cash; in the big case, they have survived until interest rates are cut. I didn't plan to invest in the stock market because of this money.
However, the stock side will be better. After all, it has already entered a bull market, so you can refer to the market adjustments from July to September last year. There may be a sharp retracement, but the overall outlook is positive.
All in all, I will keep a close eye on the trend of 10-year treasury bonds. When it ends its upward trend, the market is bound to usher in a beautiful wave of gains.
However, if interest rates continue to rise for too long, some countries with weak economies may collapse.
$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US$
$Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond ETF(VCLT.US$
$U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield(US10Y.BD$
Although interest rates on 10-year treasury bonds have risen and fallen in the past two days, overall, they have maintained a good bullish ranking pattern.
The last time this trend occurred was in the summer of 2023.
At the time, US stocks had just gone through a beautiful wave of gains in late spring and early summer. TLT prices are also trending sideways.
No one has forgotten what happened since then.
If 10-year treasury bonds repeat this trend, then the long-term bond market will be very “exciting.” It's also the main reason I've been staying away from tlt lately.
As for the vclt I have, even though the dividend rate is over 5%, I plan to reduce my position when the price rises. It's just that there isn't that much pressure, because the dividends are good, which is about the same as holding cash; in the big case, they have survived until interest rates are cut. I didn't plan to invest in the stock market because of this money.
However, the stock side will be better. After all, it has already entered a bull market, so you can refer to the market adjustments from July to September last year. There may be a sharp retracement, but the overall outlook is positive.
All in all, I will keep a close eye on the trend of 10-year treasury bonds. When it ends its upward trend, the market is bound to usher in a beautiful wave of gains.
However, if interest rates continue to rise for too long, some countries with weak economies may collapse.
$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US$
$Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond ETF(VCLT.US$
$U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield(US10Y.BD$
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高贵的阿德莱德
commented on
$Tesla(TSLA.US$
At present, the price has seriously deviated from the long-term moving average, and a sharp rebound may occur at any time. Even if the financial report falls short of expectations, as long as there is no particular slack, it may be viewed as running out of favor and bouncing back. At least there should be a wave of bears.
However, I won't touch this kind of market.
The decline is so severe that without a few weeks of bottoming out, it is impossible to turn 🐻 into 🐮. This kind of bear market bottoming out is too risky, and I don't think it's worth it. After all, it is currently a bull market. There is really no need to keep an eye on bear stocks in a bull market.
At present, the price has seriously deviated from the long-term moving average, and a sharp rebound may occur at any time. Even if the financial report falls short of expectations, as long as there is no particular slack, it may be viewed as running out of favor and bouncing back. At least there should be a wave of bears.
However, I won't touch this kind of market.
The decline is so severe that without a few weeks of bottoming out, it is impossible to turn 🐻 into 🐮. This kind of bear market bottoming out is too risky, and I don't think it's worth it. After all, it is currently a bull market. There is really no need to keep an eye on bear stocks in a bull market.
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高贵的阿德莱德
commented on
$Apple(AAPL.US$
$UnitedHealth(UNH.US$
$Alphabet-C(GOOG.US$
GOOG 131 has already opened a position and needs a real deal, I can post GOOG
$UnitedHealth(UNH.US$
$Alphabet-C(GOOG.US$
GOOG 131 has already opened a position and needs a real deal, I can post GOOG
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高贵的阿德莱德
commented on
Many value stocks are likely to see good buying spots this week. Although it's not necessarily the lowest point, for long-term entry or swing trading, instead of venturing on the left side to get the most profit, I would choose to step back or on the right side, which is usually an opportunity with better certainty and good returns.
The stocks I'm currently watching include
$McDonald's(MCD.US$
$Home Depot(HD.US$
$UnitedHealth(UNH.US$
$FactSet Research Systems(FDS.US$
Also considering whether to buy the Dow directly $SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average Trust(DIA.US$
Currently, AI chips have led technology stocks to take a breather, but confidence has clearly not recovered. I continue to hold heavy TSM positions and 2% NVDA positions, and stay on the sidelines.
When it comes to Bitcoin, not panicking at a low point is definitely the right thing to do. However, 67k is a pressure level right away, and I plan to continue to reduce part of my position around ibit38 $iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT.US$ If you have a chance to drop in the afternoon, just buy it back.
As for technology stocks, after the Dow rebounds steadily, the NASDAQ will also stabilize soon. The current decline is all reversing. After the car stops, I will get back on the bus. unless $NVIDIA(NVDA.US$ The financial report really blew up, otherwise...
The stocks I'm currently watching include
$McDonald's(MCD.US$
$Home Depot(HD.US$
$UnitedHealth(UNH.US$
$FactSet Research Systems(FDS.US$
Also considering whether to buy the Dow directly $SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average Trust(DIA.US$
Currently, AI chips have led technology stocks to take a breather, but confidence has clearly not recovered. I continue to hold heavy TSM positions and 2% NVDA positions, and stay on the sidelines.
When it comes to Bitcoin, not panicking at a low point is definitely the right thing to do. However, 67k is a pressure level right away, and I plan to continue to reduce part of my position around ibit38 $iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT.US$ If you have a chance to drop in the afternoon, just buy it back.
As for technology stocks, after the Dow rebounds steadily, the NASDAQ will also stabilize soon. The current decline is all reversing. After the car stops, I will get back on the bus. unless $NVIDIA(NVDA.US$ The financial report really blew up, otherwise...
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高贵的阿德莱德
commented on
$Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US$
This wave of decline was a bit severe. I bought it after the last financial report and took back more than half of my profit.
Opportunities have all come down. If it falls again, I'll consider increasing my position. Either keep buying TSM, or buy NVDA or AMD, and check back when the time comes.
However, instead of adding when falling, I prefer to add when stepping back after overfalling and rebounding, or wait until I get out of the bottom of W and come in on the right side. So for now it's still one word: wait!
$NVIDIA(NVDA.US$
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD.US$
Bitcoin ibit rebounded to 37 today. According to my plan, I reduced all the chips that entered the market below 37. The main purpose is to reduce positions and control risk. After that, if you give it a chance to drop to 6w again, just add it back. Bitcoin isn't a big problem; it just fluctuates in the short term.
$iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT.US$
This wave of decline was a bit severe. I bought it after the last financial report and took back more than half of my profit.
Opportunities have all come down. If it falls again, I'll consider increasing my position. Either keep buying TSM, or buy NVDA or AMD, and check back when the time comes.
However, instead of adding when falling, I prefer to add when stepping back after overfalling and rebounding, or wait until I get out of the bottom of W and come in on the right side. So for now it's still one word: wait!
$NVIDIA(NVDA.US$
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD.US$
Bitcoin ibit rebounded to 37 today. According to my plan, I reduced all the chips that entered the market below 37. The main purpose is to reduce positions and control risk. After that, if you give it a chance to drop to 6w again, just add it back. Bitcoin isn't a big problem; it just fluctuates in the short term.
$iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT.US$
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高贵的阿德莱德
commented on
$Apple(AAPL.US$
Although Bitcoin fell again today (not to mention it, lying flat, waiting for rescue from the bulls, or surrender directly below 60,000), I am in a good mood because I bought a new Apple phone. Incidentally, I opened an aapl position (previously only held in fixed investment accounts)
The bond account bought vclt $Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond ETF(VCLT.US$
The position has been reduced $Microsoft(MSFT.US$
Although Bitcoin fell again today (not to mention it, lying flat, waiting for rescue from the bulls, or surrender directly below 60,000), I am in a good mood because I bought a new Apple phone. Incidentally, I opened an aapl position (previously only held in fixed investment accounts)
The bond account bought vclt $Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond ETF(VCLT.US$
The position has been reduced $Microsoft(MSFT.US$
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高贵的阿德莱德
commented on
$iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT.US$
I didn't expect a direct fall of 36.
35-36 is the position of the neck line and is a very important support. A fall directly above the head and shoulder confirmed a break in position.
According to the plan, a stop-loss is required. However, at critical support levels, meat should not be cut.
It appears that today is a full-scale collapse of stocks and bonds, caused by the strengthening of the US dollar and tightening of liquidity. S&P $SPDR S&P 500 ETF(SPY.US$ It fell close to 5,000 points, $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US$ It also fell to 88, all important support levels. Based on past experience, it is not appropriate to sell in a panic at this time; at least wait to sell.
Let me think again what to do![]()
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I didn't expect a direct fall of 36.
35-36 is the position of the neck line and is a very important support. A fall directly above the head and shoulder confirmed a break in position.
According to the plan, a stop-loss is required. However, at critical support levels, meat should not be cut.
It appears that today is a full-scale collapse of stocks and bonds, caused by the strengthening of the US dollar and tightening of liquidity. S&P $SPDR S&P 500 ETF(SPY.US$ It fell close to 5,000 points, $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US$ It also fell to 88, all important support levels. Based on past experience, it is not appropriate to sell in a panic at this time; at least wait to sell.
Let me think again what to do
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