$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US)$ $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond BuyWrite Strategy ETF(TLTW.US)$ $Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF(TMF.US)$
The most important question now is whether the interest rate will fall this year. If it is not the interest rate, then the TLT will not be depleted
To discuss this topic, we need to use a very low yield rate compared to the 20-year yield, so I'm comparing it directly to 30 years, and the composition of the TLT changes over time, so it can only be compared to recent years.
2022/10/24
US30Y 4,425
TLT 87.269 (plus previous dividend current price of 91.85)
TLTW 24.70
TMF 59.236
2023/8/21
US30Y 4,474
TLT 89.894 (plus previous dividend current price of 92.23)
TLTW 26.199
TMF 54,366
2024/4/4
US30Y 4,478
TLT 92.68
TLTW 26.09
TMF 51.54
So if you're in 2022/1...

$Tesla(TSLA.US)$ Wow haha, keep taking it. 250

$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT.US)$
When buying long-term Treasury bonds, you need to think about whether you want to earn interest or spreads.
If you want to earn interest, then you keep lying down for the time being. If inflation is expected to be 2%, then the dividend rate is greater than 2, and your money will not depreciate.
If you want to make a spread, it may not be achieved this year. Given the current economic situation, the reversal of the short-term interest rate is bound to reverse. If the year-end decline is really only two digits, the 2y-10y cross is likely to be greater than 4.5. Now at 4.4% for 10 years, where else can TLT fall?
If you think the US won't go soft, now is the entry point. Think carefully that the yield curve has been upside down for more than 20 months and is down 46 points, and the yield curve is no longer a harbinger of recession?
In conclusion, buyers of long-term bonds will not lose for 20 years, unless the United States dies.

In Q4 2023, nominal GDP grew by 3.2% according to data this morning.
This would mean a $334.5 billion increase in nominal GDP.
Meanwhile, over the same time period the US added $834.2 billion of debt.
In other words, it cost us $2.50 of debt for every $1.00 of GDP last quarter, according to Zerohedge.
As Fed Chair Powell recently said, "we are on an unsustainable fiscal path."
What's the long term plan here?
$ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF(SQQQ.US)$ $S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US)$ $Nasdaq Composite Index(.IXIC.US)$ $Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI.US)$

$Tesla(TSLA.US)$
Everyone here is a fortune-teller. Guess how much.

$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$
NVDA is a good company. But its market value is third in the US and is unlikely to rise by 10% on the day.

$Hanryu Holdings(HRYU.US)$ Stopped falling and rebounded

$U.S. 30-Year Treasury Bonds Yield(US30Y.BD)$
The specifics of next week's refinancing bond issuance plan are as follows:
Issued $480 billion of 3-year bonds on November 7, up from $420 billion in the previous quarter
Issued $400 billion of 10-year Treasury bonds on November 8, up from $380 billion in the previous quarter
Issued $240 billion of 30-year bonds on November 9, up from $230 billion in the previous quarter
“The Ministry of Finance plans to gradually increase the size of the benchmark sale of fixed rate bonds and FRNs (floating rate notes), but the increase in sales of longer-term Treasury bonds will be more moderate,” the statement said.
Supply is expected to fall and long-term debt yields to fall. But the total is still too much. Look at the performance of 9/11.